Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Warnings in 2023

Tornado Warning 28, NWS Birmingham, AL

January 12, 2023Autauga County, Dallas County, Alabama

NWS Birmingham, AL issued this tornado warning at Jan 12, 2023, 12:18 PM CST for Autauga County, Dallas County, Alabama. It was in force for 57 min. 7 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 12, 2023, 12:18 PM CST (18:18 UTC)
Expired
Jan 12, 2023, 1:15 PM CST
In force
57 min
Issued by
NWS Birmingham, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Emergency
Tornado emergency
Tornado
Observed
Hail
0.75 in

Counties Autauga County, AL, Dallas County, AL

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 12, 12:42 PM CSTTSTM WND DMG3 Ssw Billingsley, ALTREES DOWN. LIKELY DUE TO FORWARD FLANK DOWNDRAFT OF TORNADIC SUPERCELL.
Jan 12, 12:48 PM CSTTORNADO2 Ese Vida Junction, AL*** 7 FATAL, 16 INJ *** A LONG TRACK TORNADO AFFECTED 5 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE TORNADO DAMAGE WAS OVER 76 MILES LONG AND WAS 1500 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT.
Jan 12, 12:48 PM CSTTORNADO2 Se Vida Junction, ALMAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE REPORTED ALONG US 82.
Jan 12, 12:50 PM CSTTORNADO4 Ene Vida Junction, ALHEAVY DAMAGE ALONG NUMEROUS ROADWAYS IN THE JOFFRE AND OLD KINGSTON COMMUNITIES.
Jan 12, 12:50 PM CSTTORNADO4 Ene Vida Junction, ALHEAVY DAMAGE ALONG NUMEROUS ROADWAYS IN THE JOFFRE AND OLD KINGSTON COMMUNITIES. CORRECTS SOURCE OF REPORT.
Jan 12, 12:58 PM CSTTORNADO3 E New Prospect, ALSEVERE DAMAGE REPORTED ALONG CR 68 IN THE AREA OF US 31.
Jan 12, 1:02 PM CSTTORNADO2 Sse Marbury, ALDAMAGE TO A CHURCH AND MARBURY VFD BUILDING. TREES IN ROADWAY AT HIGHWAY 143 AND CR 68.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 6 storm reports to this tornado warning; the first came 30 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 12, 10:20 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2023-01-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 497 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2023-01-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 248 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
497 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
650 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
248 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
321 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

989 
WFUS54 KBMX 121818
TORBMX
ALC001-047-121915-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0028.230112T1818Z-230112T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1218 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Autauga County in central Alabama...
  East central Dallas County in south central Alabama...

* Until 115 PM CST.
    
* At 1218 PM CST, a tornado producing storm was located over Dallas
  County Horse Arena, or over Selma, moving northeast at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Prattville, Valley Grande, Deatsville, Autaugaville, Billingsley,
  Booth, Mulberry, Marbury, Vida Junction, Gardner Island,
  Burnsville, New Prospect, Barrett Creek and Dawson Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3252 8704 3266 8675 3266 8672 3268 8671
      3270 8667 3271 8641 3250 8641 3239 8677
      3239 8681 3237 8691
TIME...MOT...LOC 1818Z 240DEG 46KT 3241 8706 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
8 follow-up statements
944 
WWUS54 KBMX 121820
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1220 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC001-047-121915-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Autauga AL-Dallas AL-
1220 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR AUTAUGA
AND EAST CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTIES...
        
At 1220 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Selma, moving northeast at 55 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Prattville, Valley Grande, Deatsville, Autaugaville, Billingsley,
Booth, Mulberry, Marbury, Vida Junction, Gardner Island, Burnsville,
New Prospect, Barrett Creek and Dawson Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3252 8704 3266 8675 3266 8672 3268 8671
      3270 8667 3271 8641 3250 8641 3239 8677
      3239 8681 3237 8691
TIME...MOT...LOC 1820Z 240DEG 46KT 3242 8703 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
692 
WWUS54 KBMX 121830 RRA
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1230 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC001-047-121915-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Autauga AL-Dallas AL-
1230 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
AUTAUGA AND EAST CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTIES...
        
At 1230 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Burnsville, or near Valley Grande, moving northeast at
50 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Deatsville, Booth, Mulberry, Marbury, Vida Junction, Gardner Island,
Burnsville, Dawson Mill and New Prospect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3250 8702 3270 8658 3271 8641 3253 8641
      3240 8694
TIME...MOT...LOC 1830Z 245DEG 43KT 3247 8690 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
962 
WWUS54 KBMX 121834
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1234 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC047-121843-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Dallas AL-
1234 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central
Alabama. A Tornado Watch also remains in effect until 500 PM CST for
central, south central and east central Alabama.

LAT...LON 3244 8687 3246 8686 3248 8689 3249 8688
      3254 8691 3255 8690 3270 8658 3271 8641
      3253 8641 3243 8683
TIME...MOT...LOC 1833Z 246DEG 51KT 3249 8682 

$$

ALC001-121915-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Autauga AL-
1234 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
AUTAUGA COUNTY...
        
At 1233 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Mulberry, or 9
miles east of Valley Grande, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Deatsville, Booth, Mulberry, Marbury, Vida Junction, Dawson Mill and
New Prospect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3244 8687 3246 8686 3248 8689 3249 8688
      3254 8691 3255 8690 3270 8658 3271 8641
      3253 8641 3243 8683
TIME...MOT...LOC 1833Z 246DEG 51KT 3249 8682 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
884 
WWUS54 KBMX 121848
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1248 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC001-121915-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Autauga AL-
1248 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA COUNTY...
        
At 1248 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located over Vida Junction,
or 13 miles northwest of Prattville, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Deatsville, Marbury, Vida Junction and New Prospect. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 8667 3259 8671 3270 8655 3271 8641
      3259 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 240DEG 44KT 3257 8664 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
925 
WWUS54 KBMX 121851
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1251 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC001-121915-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Autauga AL-
1251 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA COUNTY...
        
At 1251 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Vida Junction, or 12 miles northwest of Prattville,
moving northeast at 55 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Deatsville, Marbury, Vida Junction and New Prospect. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 8667 3259 8671 3270 8655 3271 8641
      3259 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 1851Z 240DEG 46KT 3259 8659 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
006 
WWUS54 KBMX 121853
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1253 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC001-121915-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Autauga AL-
1253 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR AUTAUGA COUNTY...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA COUNTY...
        
At 1251 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
near Vida Junction, or 12 miles northwest of Prattville, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for AUTAUGA COUNTY. This is a PARTICULARLY 
DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Deatsville, Marbury, Vida Junction and New Prospect. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 8667 3259 8671 3270 8655 3271 8641
      3259 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 1851Z 240DEG 46KT 3259 8659 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
500 
WWUS54 KBMX 121904
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
104 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC001-121915-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Autauga AL-
104 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR AUTAUGA COUNTY...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA COUNTY...
        
At 103 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
near Marbury, or 12 miles north of Millbrook, moving northeast at 55
mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for AUTAUGA COUNTY. This is a PARTICULARLY 
DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Marbury.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3261 8648 3266 8651 3270 8652 3271 8641
      3261 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 240DEG 46KT 3267 8642 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
530 
WWUS54 KBMX 121908
SVSBMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
108 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC001-121918-
/O.EXP.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Autauga AL-
108 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
115 PM CST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 PM CST for central
Alabama. A Tornado Watch also remains in effect until 500 PM CST for
central and east central Alabama.

LAT...LON 3261 8648 3266 8651 3270 8652 3271 8641
      3261 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 240DEG 46KT 3269 8638 

$$

17/KLAWS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jan 12, 11:21 AM CST, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 11:21 AM CST, 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1121 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...New AVIATION...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE FOR SEVERE WEATHER...
Issued at 955 AM CST THU JAN 12 2023

A line of showers and thunderstorms are approaching the Interstate
59 corridor north of Tuscaloosa and is crossing the Interstate 59
corridor south of Tuscaloosa. This activity continues to move
east-northeast around 40 mph. The best tornado environment per
sounding data and RAP mesoanalysis is across our southwest
counties where the overlap between SBCAPE over 1000 J/kg with
0-0.5 km and 0-1 km bulk shear exceeding 45 kts. Verifying the
RAP model shows a low bias in the model SRH 0-1 km compared to the
BMX sounding that SRH 0-1 km values are about 70 m2/s2 too low.
Wind shear values are strong and are more than supportive for
mesocyclones and some tornadoes. RAP model instability fields have
less error but also appear to be 200-300 J/kg too low on SBCAPE
computed fields.

The overall environment for tornadoes is best near and south of
Tuscaloosa County at this point with this activity continuing to
move further east into a destabilizing airmass with cap just above
700 mb per the latest BMX sounding. Instability values will
continue to increase through early afternoon east of the line. A
gradual decrease in shear will result as the main surface low
continues to move further north of the area into the Ohio River
Valley, but with wind fields already elevated and running higher
than some mesoscale modeling, the tornado risk will continue.
There will also continue to be a risk for damaging winds and some
larger hail with the more intense cores and bowing line segments.

The next update is scheduled to be issued before 1 pm CST.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 251 AM CST THU JAN 12 2023

Severe storms are likely today.

A strong cold front will be moving into Central AL this morning and
will continue southeastward through the area during the day.

Key messages:

1. Gradient winds (not associated with thunderstorms) will likely
cause impacts today. Sustained winds of 20-30mph with gusts around
40 mph will be possible beginning as early as 8-9am and persisting
through 6 PM.

2. As the front moves through the area, thunderstorms that develop
along the boundary will be capable of producing damaging winds up to
70 mph. Tornadoes and hail up to 1" are also possible with the
thunderstorm activity, but the highest confidence remains with the
damaging wind threat.

Forecast:

Thunderstorms are expected to develop along the cold front as it
moves through Central AL during the day today. Latest guidance
suggests that we'll see enough destabilization to support strong to
severe storms. High resolution models overnight have trended with a
a more southerly component to the surface winds than previous
guidance had shown. This results in more directional shear and
large/curved hodograph profiles, which could indicate a slight
increase in the tornado potential than previously forecast, though
the winds are still expected to veer to the southwest with time,
decreasing the tornado threat. However, the main concern continues
to be the potential for damaging straight line winds as any
thunderstorms activity could help mix some strong winds aloft down
to the surface. The potential for hail up to 1" is also present due
to the instability and higher lapse rates. It's worth noting that
the forward speed of the front itself is rather quick, which could
lead to the higher than normal wind gusts that we'd typically see
with cool season QLCS events.

The front is expected to exit to our southeast by 6 PM this evening,
ending the severe chances for Central AL. The gusty winds may
continue through the night, but should gradually diminish after the
front passes.

Much colder air builds in this evening and tonight with temperatures
dropping to near freezing across the north overnight. There could be
enough wrap-around moisture from the departing upper low to generate
a few snow flurries across the northern half of Central AL after
midnight tonight. We're not expecting any accumulation or impacts
with any snow flurries.

25/Owen

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 251 AM CST THU JAN 12 2023

Friday through Wednesday.

Any lingering showers due to wrap around moisture should lift out of
our area by late Friday morning. Temperatures will be dropping
through the day on Friday with Friday night/Saturday morning low
temperatures expected to be in the 20s area-wide. Dry and colder
weather will continue through the weekend with increasing rain
chances through the early part of next week as a trough lifts
through the Plains and into the Great Lakes region. The path of this
system is pretty far north and most of the dynamics remain displaced
well to the north, so not expecting any potential for strong storms
with it. Thunderstorms probabilities remain minimal due to the
limited instability, so we'll continue to leave any mention of
thunderstorms out of the forecast Monday through Wednesday as the
frontal boundary moves into our area, stalls, then potentially lifts
back northward. Given the uncertainty in timing of the front and
where/if it stalls, the rain chances remain fairly broad through
early next week.

25/Owen

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1117 AM CST THU JAN 12 2023

A line of rain with thunderstorms, some severe, will continue
moving east across the area. TCL will be impacted by nearby TS
through 19z followed by an end to the thunderstorm activity.
BHM/EET/ASN/ANB will continue to be impacted through 20z followed
by decreased thunderstorm activity. MGM and TOI will be impacted
over the early afternoon hours. Low clouds will persist across the
area though rain and storms will push to the east. More moisture
may return overnight into early Friday morning near BHM/ASN/ANB.

05

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A line of strong to severe showers and storms will move through
the area today, with breezy winds outside of any thunderstorms as
well. Colder and drier air moves in for Friday with afternoon RH
values in the 45 to 55 percent range and northwesterly 20ft winds
around 10 to 12 mph. Afternoon RH values will be in the 30 to 40
percent range over the weekend with lighter winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     66  34  42  25 /  90  20  20   0
Anniston    68  37  42  27 /  90  30  20   0
Birmingham  67  37  42  28 /  90  10  10   0
Tuscaloosa  70  38  45  27 /  90  10  10   0
Calera      67  38  43  28 /  90  10  10   0
Auburn      72  40  44  28 /  90  50  10   0
Montgomery  75  40  47  28 /  90  30  10   0
Troy        77  40  47  28 /  90  40  10   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for the following
counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers-
Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah-
Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo-
Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St.
Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.

&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...05
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 2:57 AM CST, 9 hours 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
257 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALZ011>015-017>050-131200-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
257 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

Strong to severe storms are possible on Thursday generally from 9 am
through 7 pm as a cold front moves through the area. The main
concern will be damaging winds, though a tornado or two cannot be
ruled out, along with isolated hail up to 1 inch.

Strong gusty winds are expected for much of the day across Central
Alabama well in advance of any thunderstorm activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
on today.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 12, 9:46 AM CST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
946 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALZ017-121615-
Blount AL-
946 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Blount County
through 1015 AM CST...

At 946 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles southwest of Arab to near Hanceville to
near Blount Springs. Movement was east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Blountsville, Cleveland, Snead, Susan Moore, McLarty, Bangor,
Strawberry, Brooksville, Fowler Spring and Chamblees Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central and
northeastern Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8630 3408 8632 3391 8692 3394 8688
      3394 8685 3395 8684 3395 8682 3396 8682
      3397 8677 3399 8676 3403 8670 3406 8671
      3405 8668 3408 8670 3409 8669 3409 8667
      3412 8663 3412 8660 3425 8651 3426 8645
TIME...MOT...LOC 1546Z 248DEG 55KT 3429 8660 3410 8672 3397 8686

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

32/Davis
Special weather statement, Jan 12, 9:49 AM CST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
949 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALZ023-121615-
Tuscaloosa AL-
949 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of central Tuscaloosa
County through 1015 AM CST...

At 949 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Bull City to near Shelton State Community
College to near Jena. Movement was east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Tuscaloosa, Northport, Holt, Lake View, Brookwood, Coaling, Coker,
Abernant, McFarland Mall, Shelton State Community College, Tuscaloosa
Amphitheater, Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa Regional Airport, Lake
Wildwood, University Mall, Deerlick Creek Campgrounds, Bankhead Lock
And Dam, Bull City, Englewood and Cottondale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CST for central and
west central Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 8776 3332 8757 3349 8733 3350 8728
      3351 8726 3349 8729 3348 8729 3346 8734
      3342 8726 3340 8725 3339 8723 3337 8723
      3336 8720 3332 8718 3331 8713 3329 8713
      3307 8759 3304 8783 3313 8784
TIME...MOT...LOC 1549Z 248DEG 47KT 3343 8726 3316 8761 3309 8779

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

32/Davis
Local storm report, Jan 12, 10:21 AM CST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1021 AM CST THU JAN 12 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW LUPTON             33.92N 87.41W
01/12/2023                   WALKER             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ALONG THE 1000 BLOCK OF PROSPECT
            ROAD.

0908 AM     HAIL             2 NW LUPTON             33.96N 87.41W
01/12/2023  E0.50 INCH       WALKER             AL   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF PEA-SIZED HAIL FALLING FOR SEVERAL
            MINUTES.

0914 AM     HAIL             GAMBLE                  33.88N 87.33W
01/12/2023  E0.50 INCH       WALKER             AL   PUBLIC

            HALF-INCH HAIL ESTIMATED IN THE GAMBLE
            COMMUNITY.

0924 AM     TORNADO          EMELLE                  32.73N 88.31W
01/12/2023                   SUMTER             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            DAMAGE REPORTED IN THE AREA OF HIGHWAY 17.
            REPORTS OF A MOBILE HOME DESTROYED IN
            EMELLE. TDS OBSERVED VIA RADAR.

0928 AM     TORNADO          3 ENE EMELLE            32.74N 88.27W
01/12/2023                   SUMTER             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE ON HOUSE ALONG HAMMER SUMTERVILLE ROAD.
            TDS OBSERVED VIA RADAR.

0937 AM     TORNADO          3 S GAINESVILLE         32.77N 88.17W
01/12/2023                   SUMTER             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            DEBRIS IN THE ROAD AT INTERSECTION OF
            HIGHWAY 39 AND CR 24. TDS OBSERVED VIA
            RADAR.

1009 AM     HAIL             5 SW BROOKSVILLE        34.14N 86.54W
01/12/2023  E0.70 INCH       BLOUNT             AL   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 12, 10:51 AM CST, 1 hour 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1051 AM CST THU JAN 12 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1014 AM     HAIL             1 ESE LIVINGSTON        32.58N 88.17W
01/12/2023  E1.00 INCH       SUMTER             AL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF QUARTER-SIZED HAIL JUST
            EAST OF LIVINGSTON.

1007 AM     TORNADO          2 NW AKRON              32.90N 87.77W
01/12/2023                   HALE               AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IN THE OAK VILLAGE
            AREA. TREES DOWN ALONG CR 42 NORTH OF AKRON.
            TDS OBSERVED.

0954 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW EUTAW              32.85N 87.90W
01/12/2023                   GREENE             AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG MESOPOTAMIA
            STREET NEAR ROBERT BROWN MIDDLE SCHOOL.
            POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 12, 11:12 AM CST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1112 AM CST THU JAN 12 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1102 AM     TORNADO          GREENSBORO              32.70N 87.59W
01/12/2023                   HALE               AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORT OF TORNADO OBSERVED IN GREENSBORO.
            TREE DOWN ON HOME ALONG PEAR ROAD.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 12, 11:35 AM CST, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1135 AM CST THU JAN 12 2023

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 AM     TORNADO          1 W HAGLER              33.04N 87.35W
01/12/2023                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT OF DEBRIS ON US 82 NEAR
            HAGLER. TDS OBSERVED.

1115 AM     HAIL             3 N MAYLENE             33.24N 86.87W
01/12/2023  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            QUARTER-SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT FOX VALLEY.

1121 AM     HAIL             2 E ALABASTER           33.25N 86.78W
01/12/2023  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF QUARTER-SIZE HAIL IN
            ALABASTER.

1127 AM     HAIL             4 SW CHELSEA            33.30N 86.68W
01/12/2023  E1.00 INCH       SHELBY             AL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF QUARTER-SIZED HAIL.

1024 AM     TORNADO          4 NW PHIPPS             32.97N 87.55W
01/12/2023                   HALE               AL   UNKNOWN

            SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO TREES AND
            STRUCTURES SOUTH OF MOUNDVILLE. TDS OBSERVED
            VIA RADAR.

1057 AM     TORNADO          2 ESE GREENSBORO MUNI A 32.67N 87.63W
01/12/2023                   HALE               AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE SOUTH OF
            GREENSBORO.

1102 AM     TORNADO          GREENSBORO              32.70N 87.59W
01/12/2023                   HALE               AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM REPORT OF TORNADO OBSERVED IN GREENSBORO.
            TREE DOWN ON HOME ALONG PEAR ROAD.

1055 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW WEST BLOCTON      33.11N 87.13W
01/12/2023                   BIBB               AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES SNAPPED ALONG TRUMAN ALDRICH PARKWAY
            SOUTH OF WEST BLOCTON HIGH SCHOOL.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 12, 7:33 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXMarion27 min
Jan 12, 8:04 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXWinston26 min
Jan 12, 8:07 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXWinston24 min
Jan 12, 8:39 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXFayette36 min
Jan 12, 8:58 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXGreene, Sumter62 min
Jan 12, 9:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXWalker, Winston37 min
Jan 12, 9:16 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXWalker, Winston3 min
Jan 12, 9:46 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXBlount29 min
Jan 12, 9:49 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXTuscaloosa26 min
Jan 12, 9:51 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Tuscaloosa54 min
Jan 12, 9:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXSumter50 min
Jan 12, 10:12 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Marengo, Sumter63 min
Jan 12, 10:25 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXBibb, Tuscaloosa32 min
Jan 12, 10:53 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXMarengo56 min
Jan 12, 10:53 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXPerry45 min
Jan 12, 11:14 AM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedBMXBibb45 min
Jan 12, 11:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXShelby41 min
Jan 12, 11:32 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXDallas, Perry58 min
Jan 12, 11:36 AM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedBMXChilton54 min
Jan 12, 11:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBMXSt. Clair, Talladega52 min
Jan 12, 12:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBMXCalhoun, Cleburne45 min
Jan 12, 12:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXCoosa, Shelby, Talladega43 min
Jan 12, 12:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXCalhoun, Cherokee, Cleburne25 min
Jan 12, 12:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBMXClay66 min
Jan 12, 12:50 PM CSTTornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedBMXChilton, Coosa, Elmore55 min
Jan 12, 1:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBMXAutauga, Coosa, Elmore51 min
Jan 12, 1:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXCleburne, Randolph38 min
Jan 12, 1:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXDallas, Lowndes, Montgomery66 min
Jan 12, 1:24 PM CSTTornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedCatastrophic damage threatBMXTallapoosa40 min
Jan 12, 1:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBMXTallapoosa41 min
Jan 12, 1:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBMXChambers41 min
Jan 12, 1:57 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedBMXChambers, Randolph29 min
Jan 12, 2:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBMXElmore, Macon, Montgomery, Tallapoosa57 min
Jan 12, 2:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXChambers, Lee54 min
Jan 12, 2:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXLowndes, Montgomery50 min
Jan 12, 3:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXBarbour, Pike64 min
Jan 12, 3:14 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXBullock, Lee, Macon, Russell46 min
Jan 12, 3:17 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXBarbour, Pike47 min
Jan 12, 3:53 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXRussell37 min
Jan 12, 4:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXRussell30 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Alabama, 2023Every tornado warning in 2023Tornadoes in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.