Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2022

Tornado Watch 34

March 6, 202228 counties in Arkansas; 18 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 6, 2022, 7:58 PM CST for 28 counties in Arkansas; 18 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 6, 2022, 7:58 PM CST (01:58 UTC)
Expired: Mar 7, 2022, 2:00 AM CST
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 1.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 65 kt

All 46 counties

Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Taney County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 177 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 40%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 30%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 70%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 6, 7:58 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Ozark, Taney	47 min
Mar 6, 7:59 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp	28 min
Mar 6, 8:28 PM CST	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	SGF	Douglas, Ozark	47 min
Mar 6, 8:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	34 min
Mar 6, 8:47 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Ozark, Taney	28 min
Mar 6, 8:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Logan, Scott	34 min
Mar 6, 9:04 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Ozark	56 min
Mar 6, 9:18 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Marion	14 min
Mar 6, 9:27 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Montgomery, Polk, Scott	11 min
Mar 6, 9:29 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy	30 min
Mar 6, 9:33 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Ozark, Texas	42 min
Mar 6, 9:37 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Marion	23 min
Mar 6, 9:50 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Ozark	40 min
Mar 6, 9:51 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Baxter, Marion	16 min
Mar 6, 9:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Scott, Yell	38 min
Mar 6, 9:57 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Baxter, Marion, Searcy	33 min
Mar 6, 10:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Pope, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren	25 min
Mar 6, 10:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas	55 min
Mar 6, 10:12 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Howell, Shannon, Texas	21 min
Mar 6, 10:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Conway, Perry, Pope, Yell	35 min
Mar 6, 10:31 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Izard, Searcy, Stone	29 min
Mar 6, 10:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon	17 min
Mar 6, 10:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carter, Ripley	50 min
Mar 6, 10:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Oregon, Shannon	33 min
Mar 6, 11:00 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Oregon	30 min
Mar 6, 11:46 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LZK	Fulton, Randolph, Sharp	29 min
Mar 7, 12:23 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Clay	52 min
Mar 7, 12:28 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler, Ripley	47 min
Mar 7, 12:48 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Clay, Greene	42 min
Mar 7, 1:12 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Clay	33 min
Mar 7, 1:28 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Craighead, Greene, Mississippi	32 min
Mar 7, 1:28 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Scott	11 min
Mar 7, 1:46 AM CST	Tornado Warning	MEG	Clay, Greene	44 min
Mar 7, 1:56 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MEG	Clay, Greene	49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 449 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -29 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1244 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 249 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 381 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.7
Supercell composite: 16.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 6, 7:03 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne, Conway and 25 more	57 min
Mar 6, 8:46 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baxter, Fulton, Izard, Johnson, Logan, Marion and 2 more	89 min
Mar 6, 10:48 PM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Faulkner and 22 more	117 min
Mar 7, 12:44 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 18 more	91 min
Mar 7, 1:07 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 18 more	6 hr
Mar 7, 2:34 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Arkansas, Phillips	86 min
Mar 7, 1:31 AM CST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott	89 min
Mar 7, 1:52 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	Mississippi	5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2022 Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2022 Every tornado watch in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.