Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Little Rock, AR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
545 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

.AVIATION...
A cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms across the area
this evening and overnight. Some will be severe and a few will be
capable of producing tornadoes. Expect the rain to move out of the
area Monday morning. MVFR to IFR conditions will be expected in
the storms.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 336 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022)
SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Tuesday

An active pattern is in store today as two rounds of strong to
severe thunderstorms are expected through the overnight hours. The
first round of storms, this afternoon and evening, are expected to
be scattered out ahead of the frontal boundary. These storms will
likely have the best chance of producing damaging winds, small hail,
and tornadoes. The greatest tornado threat looks to be for northern
AR as this area is closest to the boundary. The second round will
occur tonight into the early morning hours on Monday as a line of
showers and thunderstorms push through the state. Damaging winds are
expected to be the primary concern associated with this round
although small hail and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
Localized heavy rainfall is also possible, particularly over the
Ozarks region.

Portions of central and northern AR will see the best chance for
severe storms due to the location of the frontal boundary in
northern AR.

Temperatures are expected to be above average today as warm, moist
air is surging ahead of the cold front. This will cause afternoon
highs today to get in to the 70s and lower 80s for much of central
and southern AR while northern AR will likely stay in the 60s. As
the cold front pushes across the state early Monday morning, it will
bring with it cold and drier air. High temperatures on Monday are
expected to be in the 50s across much of the state.

LONG TERM...Tuesday Night Through Saturday

The extended period will begin with a large area of high
pressure extending from the mid-Atlantic states through the Ohio
Valley into northern Arkansas. At the same time, a wave of low
pressure will develop in the Gulf of Mexico, and will track toward
the southeast United States. As the system heads to the northeast,
there are chances of showers Tuesday night in southern/eastern
sections of the state.

The forecast calls for a brief warming trend/dry conditions
Wednesday and Thursday. A strong cold front will arrive
from the northwest Thursday night, and it will turn colder.
Below average temperatures are expected Friday into the
weekend. In fact, widespread freezes should occur Friday and
Saturday nights.

Scattered showers will accompany the front, with the possibility of
light snow in the Ozark Mountains Friday morning. Moisture will be
limited, so this looks like a low impact event.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

Aviation...51

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
927 AM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-071600-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
927 AM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Two rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms are expected today
into the overnight hours. The first round of storms, this
afternoon and evening, are expected to be scattered out ahead of a
frontal boundary. These storms will likely have the best chance
of producing damaging winds, small hail, and tornadoes. The
second round will occur tonight into the overnight hours as a line
of showers and thunderstorms push through the state. Damaging
winds are expected to be the primary concern associated with this
round although small hail and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled
out. Localized heavy rainfall is also possible, particularly over
the Ozarks region.

The area of greatest concern for strong to severe thunderstorms
will be from the western Arkansas River Valley through northeast
Arkansas. The highest potential for severe storms will be during
the afternoon and evening hours, though some threat will persist
into the morning hours Monday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday Through Saturday

Rain chances will end on Monday afternoon and evening as the weekend
cold front departs. Much colder air will move back into Arkansas,
with freezing temperatures possible across portions of the north and
west by Tuesday morning. Some rain chances will be noted over
southern Arkansas Tuesday through Wednesday, but no hazardous or
severe weather is expected through most of the coming work week.

Looking further out through the remainder of the week, more
widespread colder temperatures will be possible by the end of the
week and into next weekend. In fact, it appears that much of the
state will be in danger of additional widespread hard freezes into
mid-March.

In addition to late-season hard freezes, some wintry precipitation
may accompany the cold snap next weekend, with some snow fall
possible over portions of northwestern Arkansas and the higher
terrain of the Ozark Mountains. Impactful accumulations are not
anticipated, and shifts in coverage and magnitude of expected wintry
precip should be expected through the week.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is likely, especially over the northern half of
Arkansas this afternoon and tonight.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

233

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
829 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

ARZ003-004-070300-
Marion AR-Boone AR-
829 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Marion
and northern Boone Counties through 900 PM CST...

At 829 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Omaha, or 12 miles southeast of Branson, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Diamond City...                   Lead Hill...
Omaha...                          Roberson Hollow...
Self...                           Price Place...
Crumpler Subdivision...           New Hope in Boone County...
Burlington...                     Bull Shoals Lake...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CST for north central
Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9258 3649 9258 3633 9329 3650 9329
TIME...MOT...LOC 0229Z 245DEG 45KT 3648 9313

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

67

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
831 PM CST SUN MAR 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0724 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE ZION              36.10N  91.72W
03/06/2022                   IZARD              AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            *** 5 INJ *** A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH A POSSIBLE
            TORNADO DAMAGED TWO HOUSES WITH POSSIBLY 5 INJURED. THIS
            WAS ON JACKSON SCHOOLHOUSE RD. 3 ENE OF ZION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2200254

51

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
906 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

ARZ003-012-070345-
Newton AR-Boone AR-
906 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Newton and
southeastern Boone Counties through 945 PM CST...

At 906 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Upper Buffalo Wilderness Area, or 18 miles southwest of Jasper,
moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jasper...                         Western Grove...
Valley Springs...                 Olvey...
Carver...                         Erbie...
Upper Buffalo Wilderness Area...  Lost Valley State Park...
Piercetown...                     Walnut...
Pruitt...                         Bellefonte...
Bass...                           Marble Falls...
Yardelle...                       Fallsville...
Crossroad...                      Swain...
Gum Springs in Newton County...   Gaither...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CST for western and
north central Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 9294 3587 9295 3573 9351 3575 9352
      3582 9352 3588 9353 3588 9350 3592 9351
      3593 9349 3595 9349 3595 9347 3597 9347
      3597 9345 3603 9345
TIME...MOT...LOC 0306Z 245DEG 49KT 3589 9349

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

67

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
908 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

ARZ003-070345-
Boone AR-
908 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Boone County through
945 PM CST...

At 908 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Osage, or 15 miles southeast of Berryville, moving northeast at 35
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Harrison...                       Diamond City...
Bergman...                        Lead Hill...
Valley Springs...                 Olvey...
Myrtle...                         Capps...
Willis...                         Red Bank...
Crawford...                       Winington...
Bellefonte...                     Alpena...
Everton...                        Zinc...
South Lead Hill...                Batavia...
Bear Creek Springs...             Hopewell in Boone County...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CST for north central
Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3613 9289 3612 9301 3612 9330 3631 9329
      3648 9289
TIME...MOT...LOC 0308Z 246DEG 32KT 3616 9344

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

67

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
926 PM CST SUN MAR 06 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE DALTON             36.40N  91.12W
03/06/2022                   RANDOLPH           AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL POWER POLES KNOCKED DOWN ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO
            POULTRY HOUSES AND TWO STRUCTURES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2200255

67

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