Tornado Warning 25, NWS Little Rock, AR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
545 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022

.AVIATION...
A cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms across the area
this evening and overnight. Some will be severe and a few will be
capable of producing tornadoes. Expect the rain to move out of the
area Monday morning. MVFR to IFR conditions will be expected in
the storms.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 336 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022)
SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Tuesday

An active pattern is in store today as two rounds of strong to
severe thunderstorms are expected through the overnight hours. The
first round of storms, this afternoon and evening, are expected to
be scattered out ahead of the frontal boundary. These storms will
likely have the best chance of producing damaging winds, small hail,
and tornadoes. The greatest tornado threat looks to be for northern
AR as this area is closest to the boundary. The second round will
occur tonight into the early morning hours on Monday as a line of
showers and thunderstorms push through the state. Damaging winds are
expected to be the primary concern associated with this round
although small hail and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
Localized heavy rainfall is also possible, particularly over the
Ozarks region.

Portions of central and northern AR will see the best chance for
severe storms due to the location of the frontal boundary in
northern AR.

Temperatures are expected to be above average today as warm, moist
air is surging ahead of the cold front. This will cause afternoon
highs today to get in to the 70s and lower 80s for much of central
and southern AR while northern AR will likely stay in the 60s. As
the cold front pushes across the state early Monday morning, it will
bring with it cold and drier air. High temperatures on Monday are
expected to be in the 50s across much of the state.

LONG TERM...Tuesday Night Through Saturday

The extended period will begin with a large area of high
pressure extending from the mid-Atlantic states through the Ohio
Valley into northern Arkansas. At the same time, a wave of low
pressure will develop in the Gulf of Mexico, and will track toward
the southeast United States. As the system heads to the northeast,
there are chances of showers Tuesday night in southern/eastern
sections of the state.

The forecast calls for a brief warming trend/dry conditions
Wednesday and Thursday. A strong cold front will arrive
from the northwest Thursday night, and it will turn colder.
Below average temperatures are expected Friday into the
weekend. In fact, widespread freezes should occur Friday and
Saturday nights.

Scattered showers will accompany the front, with the possibility of
light snow in the Ozark Mountains Friday morning. Moisture will be
limited, so this looks like a low impact event.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

Aviation...51

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>