Tornado Warning 14, NWS Green Bay, WI

030 
WWUS53 KGRB 152349
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
649 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

WIC075-160000-
/O.CON.KGRB.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-220616T0000Z/
Marinette WI-
649 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL MARINETTE COUNTY...
    
At 649 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 10 miles southeast of Pembine, or 23 miles southeast of
Kingsford, moving northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Miscauno Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4567 8781 4565 8782 4560 8777 4556 8779
      4556 8783 4554 8780 4550 8779 4544 8786
      4540 8785 4537 8788 4537 8787 4534 8792
      4551 8795
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 207DEG 56KT 4553 8783 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Uhlmann

614 
WWUS53 KGRB 152354
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
654 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

WIC075-160004-
/O.EXP.KGRB.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-220616T0000Z/
Marinette WI-
654 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MARINETTE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 700 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for northeastern
Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4567 8781 4565 8782 4560 8777 4556 8779
      4556 8783 4554 8780 4550 8779 4544 8786
      4540 8785 4537 8788 4537 8787 4534 8792
      4551 8795
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 207DEG 56KT 4558 8779 

$$

Uhlmann

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
553 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

Updated aviation portion for 00Z TAF issuance
and new information added to update section

.UPDATE...
Issued at 548 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

Threat for widespread damaging winds in E-C WI has increased
substantially during the past hour. KGRB WSR88D indicating over 90
kt inbounds on 0.5 elevation slice of base velocity. There will
also be a risk of tornadoes with circulations that develop within
the line.

Threat is much lower over N-C WI, but need to see the storms
currently over that area shift off to the east before we can clear
the watch from that area.
&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Thursday
Issued at 235 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

Showers and thunderstorms are currently developing to the west of
the cwa, and even in the western cwa, early this afternoon ahead
of an approaching cold front. Although these storms are currently
not severe, the aforementioned cold front is expected to overcome
the capping inversion in place. Once this occurs, thunderstorms
will have sufficient ingredients for severe weather as SBCAPE
values are 2-3 J/g along with steep mid level lapse rates and very
strong winds just off the surface. If storms are discrete and
supercellular 0-1 km shear values of 15 to 20 knots will be
sufficient for some tornadoes. If storms coalesce into a more
linear mode, as suggested by the hi-res models shortly after
discrete cells form, 0-3 km shear values around 30 knots from the
southwest will raise the threat for QLCS tornadoes if any part of
the line becomes normal to these shear vectors. Given all these
parameters in place, all severe weather modes are on the table
through this evening with damaging winds, large hail, and a few
tornadoes possible.

In addition to severe weather, flash flooding will be possible as
PWAT values soar to 1.5 to 2 inches. Although storms are not
expected to be slow moving, the southern portion of portions of
central and east-central Wisconsin received 1 to 2 inches of rain
during the last 2 days. This would pose an increased threat for
flooding across these areas as soil moisture is already fairly
high.

The storms should exit the area late this evening, with clearing
skies during the overnight hours. A tight pressure gradient on
Thursday will cause surface winds to increase precipitously during
the morning hours, gusting to 40 mph or more at times during the
day on Thursday. Although temperatures will still be warm on
Thursday with highs in the 80s, dew points falling into the 50s
will make for a more pleasant day across the area.

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Wednesday
Issued at 235 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

High pressure will keep the weather dry to end the work week and
into the first part of the weekend as temperatures return to more
seasonable levels. Isentropic lift ahead of a warm front could
bring some showers and isolated thunderstorms late in the weekend.
Instability looks to be fairly limited; therefore, mainly showers
and a few thunderstorms are expected.

Temperatures will soar behind the departing warm front for the
early part of next week, as highs soar back into the 90s away from
Lake Michigan. Some weak shortwaves tracking around the periphery
of the upper level ridge across the western Great Lakes could
bring some isolated to scattered thunderstorm to the region at
times during the early part of the week; however exact timing of
these features is problematic at best this far out.

A cold front will track through the region late Tuesday into
early Wednesday as the upper level ridge breaks down. This will
allow for additional isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorm through the middle part of the week as temperatures
moderate a bit back into the 80s for Wednesday.
&&

.AVIATION...for 00Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 548 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

The primary aviation issue will be thunderstorms this evening.
Destructive winds are possible in E-C WI.

Gusty surface winds will be the primary aviation weather issue
tomorrow.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE.........Skowronski
SHORT TERM.....Kurimski
LONG TERM......Kurimski
AVIATION.......Skowronski

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
154 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-161900-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
154 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and evening.
Damaging winds, large hail, torrential rain, and isolated
tornadoes are the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Southwest winds gusting over 40 mph could produce minor tree or
power line damage on Thursday.

Occasional thunderstorms are possible next week, but it is too
early to pin down specific timing.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and
evening.

LMZ521-522-541>543-161900-
The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock
Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan-
154 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake
Michigan and the waters of Green Bay.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon and evening. Strong
to severe storms are likely, with strong winds, large hail, and
isolated waterspouts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for southwest winds gusting
to around 30 knots Thursday.

Occasional thunderstorms are possible next week. Any thunderstorm
would pose a hazard to mariners.

Kurimski

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
615 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 PM     TSTM WND GST     GREENVILLE              44.29N 88.53W
06/15/2022  E55 MPH          OUTAGAMIE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
619 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0614 PM     TORNADO          NAVARINO                44.61N 88.48W
06/15/2022                   SHAWANO            WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OBSERVED TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN NAVARINO.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
623 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

WIZ013-021-073-074-160015-
Southern Oconto County WI-Southern Marinette County WI-
Northern Oconto County WI-Northern Marinette County WI-
623 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Marinette and
northern Oconto Counties through 715 PM CDT...

At 623 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near McCaslin Mountain Natural Area to 8 miles
northeast of Bear Paw Scout Camp to 8 miles northeast of Gillett.
Movement was northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Pound around 635 PM CDT.
  Crivitz and Wausaukee around 640 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of these storms include Pembine.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for northeastern
Wisconsin.

&&

LAT...LON 4568 8778 4565 8783 4560 8777 4556 8779
      4556 8783 4550 8779 4544 8786 4535 8789
      4535 8775 4539 8769 4534 8765 4519 8774
      4493 8829 4521 8831 4534 8864 4538 8858
      4538 8843 4547 8842 4576 8794 4576 8790
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 234DEG 59KT 4535 8854 4525 8825 4500 8823

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Uhlmann

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
628 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     TSTM WND GST     GREEN BAY               44.51N 88.00W
06/15/2022  M59.00 MPH       BROWN              WI   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

SAC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
634 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LARSEN                  44.18N 88.61W
06/15/2022                   WINNEBAGO          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
636 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND GST     APPLETON                44.26N 88.40W
06/15/2022  M59 MPH          OUTAGAMIE          WI   AWOS

&&