Tornado Warning 11, NWS Green Bay, WI

748 
WWUS53 KGRB 152318 RRA
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
618 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

WIC083-115-152345-
/O.CON.KGRB.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-220615T2345Z/
Oconto WI-Shawano WI-
618 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
OCONTO AND EASTERN SHAWANO COUNTIES...
    
At 618 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 7 miles west of
Pulaski, or 11 miles southeast of Shawano, moving northeast at 70
mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Gillett around 630 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include
Oconto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4459 8847 4467 8858 4506 8812 4502 8812
      4502 8804 4488 8784 4467 8818 4467 8823
      4468 8823 4468 8825 4464 8824 4458 8833
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 224DEG 62KT 4471 8837 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Kurimski

758 
WWUS53 KGRB 152330
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
630 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

WIC083-115-152345-
/O.CON.KGRB.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-220615T2345Z/
Oconto WI-Shawano WI-
630 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
OCONTO AND EAST CENTRAL SHAWANO COUNTIES...
    
At 629 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles southeast of Gillett, or 18 miles east of
Shawano, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
  Oconto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4482 8840 4506 8812 4502 8812 4502 8804
      4488 8784 4467 8818 4468 8823 4468 8825
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 225DEG 54KT 4481 8821 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Kurimski

934 
WWUS53 KGRB 152340
SVSGRB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
640 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

WIC083-115-152349-
/O.EXP.KGRB.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-220615T2345Z/
Oconto WI-Shawano WI-
640 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHERN OCONTO AND EAST CENTRAL SHAWANO
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM CDT...
    
The Tornado Warning that was previously in effect has been reissued 
for southern Oconty County and is in effect until 715 pm. Please 
refer to that bulletin for the latest severe weather information.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for northeastern
Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4482 8840 4506 8812 4502 8812 4502 8804
      4488 8784 4467 8818 4468 8823 4468 8825
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 224DEG 62KT 4494 8804 

$$

Kurimski

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
553 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

Updated aviation portion for 00Z TAF issuance
and new information added to update section

.UPDATE...
Issued at 548 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

Threat for widespread damaging winds in E-C WI has increased
substantially during the past hour. KGRB WSR88D indicating over 90
kt inbounds on 0.5 elevation slice of base velocity. There will
also be a risk of tornadoes with circulations that develop within
the line.

Threat is much lower over N-C WI, but need to see the storms
currently over that area shift off to the east before we can clear
the watch from that area.
&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Thursday
Issued at 235 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

Showers and thunderstorms are currently developing to the west of
the cwa, and even in the western cwa, early this afternoon ahead
of an approaching cold front. Although these storms are currently
not severe, the aforementioned cold front is expected to overcome
the capping inversion in place. Once this occurs, thunderstorms
will have sufficient ingredients for severe weather as SBCAPE
values are 2-3 J/g along with steep mid level lapse rates and very
strong winds just off the surface. If storms are discrete and
supercellular 0-1 km shear values of 15 to 20 knots will be
sufficient for some tornadoes. If storms coalesce into a more
linear mode, as suggested by the hi-res models shortly after
discrete cells form, 0-3 km shear values around 30 knots from the
southwest will raise the threat for QLCS tornadoes if any part of
the line becomes normal to these shear vectors. Given all these
parameters in place, all severe weather modes are on the table
through this evening with damaging winds, large hail, and a few
tornadoes possible.

In addition to severe weather, flash flooding will be possible as
PWAT values soar to 1.5 to 2 inches. Although storms are not
expected to be slow moving, the southern portion of portions of
central and east-central Wisconsin received 1 to 2 inches of rain
during the last 2 days. This would pose an increased threat for
flooding across these areas as soil moisture is already fairly
high.

The storms should exit the area late this evening, with clearing
skies during the overnight hours. A tight pressure gradient on
Thursday will cause surface winds to increase precipitously during
the morning hours, gusting to 40 mph or more at times during the
day on Thursday. Although temperatures will still be warm on
Thursday with highs in the 80s, dew points falling into the 50s
will make for a more pleasant day across the area.

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Wednesday
Issued at 235 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

High pressure will keep the weather dry to end the work week and
into the first part of the weekend as temperatures return to more
seasonable levels. Isentropic lift ahead of a warm front could
bring some showers and isolated thunderstorms late in the weekend.
Instability looks to be fairly limited; therefore, mainly showers
and a few thunderstorms are expected.

Temperatures will soar behind the departing warm front for the
early part of next week, as highs soar back into the 90s away from
Lake Michigan. Some weak shortwaves tracking around the periphery
of the upper level ridge across the western Great Lakes could
bring some isolated to scattered thunderstorm to the region at
times during the early part of the week; however exact timing of
these features is problematic at best this far out.

A cold front will track through the region late Tuesday into
early Wednesday as the upper level ridge breaks down. This will
allow for additional isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorm through the middle part of the week as temperatures
moderate a bit back into the 80s for Wednesday.
&&

.AVIATION...for 00Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 548 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

The primary aviation issue will be thunderstorms this evening.
Destructive winds are possible in E-C WI.

Gusty surface winds will be the primary aviation weather issue
tomorrow.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE.........Skowronski
SHORT TERM.....Kurimski
LONG TERM......Kurimski
AVIATION.......Skowronski

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
154 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-161900-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
154 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and evening.
Damaging winds, large hail, torrential rain, and isolated
tornadoes are the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Southwest winds gusting over 40 mph could produce minor tree or
power line damage on Thursday.

Occasional thunderstorms are possible next week, but it is too
early to pin down specific timing.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and
evening.

LMZ521-522-541>543-161900-
The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock
Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan-
154 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake
Michigan and the waters of Green Bay.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon and evening. Strong
to severe storms are likely, with strong winds, large hail, and
isolated waterspouts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for southwest winds gusting
to around 30 knots Thursday.

Occasional thunderstorms are possible next week. Any thunderstorm
would pose a hazard to mariners.

Kurimski

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
533 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     TSTM WND GST     WAUTOMA                 44.06N 89.28W
06/15/2022  M66.00 MPH       WAUSHARA           WI   ASOS

&&

SAC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
539 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     TSTM WND GST     REDGRANITE              44.03N 89.09W
06/15/2022  E70.00 MPH       WAUSHARA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SAC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
604 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E WITTENBERG          44.81N 89.11W
06/15/2022                   SHAWANO            WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 29.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
605 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0457 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WAUSAU                  44.96N 89.63W
06/15/2022                   MARATHON           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN IN THE CITY OF WAUSAU.

0541 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W WAUTOMA             44.07N 89.30W
06/15/2022                   WAUSHARA           WI   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN;
            POWER POLES BROKEN.

0544 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSE PINE RIVER        44.12N 89.07W
06/15/2022                   WAUSHARA           WI   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: 1-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN;
            SHINGLES BLOWN OFF.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
607 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W COLOMA              44.02N 89.57W
06/15/2022                   WAUSHARA           WI   PUBLIC

            TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
615 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 PM     TSTM WND GST     GREENVILLE              44.29N 88.53W
06/15/2022  E55 MPH          OUTAGAMIE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&