Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 533
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 24, 2021, 5:44 PM CDT for 53 counties in Illinois; 4 counties in Kentucky; 14 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 24, 2021, 5:44 PM CDT (22:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 25, 2021, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 71 counties
Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Mason County, IL, Menard County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Perry County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Union County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO
The radar
The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Cass, Menard, Morgan, Sangamon, Scott | 49 min |
| Oct 24, 6:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ILX | Cass, Morgan, Scott | 24 min |
| Oct 24, 6:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Champaign, McLean, Vermilion | 34 min |
| Oct 24, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Cass, Mason, Menard, Morgan, Sangamon, Tazewell | 62 min |
| Oct 24, 6:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILX | Cass, Morgan, Scott | 3 hr |
| Oct 24, 6:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ILX | Menard, Sangamon | 26 min |
| Oct 24, 7:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | DeWitt, Logan, McLean, Macon, Menard, Sangamon and 1 more | 41 min |
| Oct 24, 7:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe | 51 min |
| Oct 24, 7:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Iron, Madison, Reynolds, Saint Francois | 27 min |
| Oct 24, 8:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Monroe, Randolph | 42 min |
| Oct 24, 8:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois | 40 min |
| Oct 24, 8:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Iron, Madison, Reynolds | 50 min |
| Oct 24, 8:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Iron, Madison, Reynolds | 52 min |
| Oct 24, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair | 48 min |
| Oct 24, 8:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Randolph | 41 min |
| Oct 24, 8:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Perry | 48 min |
| Oct 24, 8:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Madison, Saint Francois | 27 min |
| Oct 24, 9:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Clinton, Randolph, Saint Clair, Washington | 45 min |
| Oct 24, 9:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Perry | 57 min |
| Oct 24, 9:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Saint Clair | 54 min |
| Oct 24, 9:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Randolph | 40 min |
| Oct 24, 9:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Iron, Madison | 49 min |
| Oct 24, 9:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Iron, Madison | 4 hr |
| Oct 24, 9:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Randolph | 19 min |
| Oct 24, 9:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Saint Clair | 30 min |
| Oct 24, 9:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Perry | 57 min |
| Oct 24, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Jackson | 48 min |
| Oct 24, 9:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Bond, Clinton, Madison | 42 min |
| Oct 24, 9:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ILX | Christian, Macon, Shelby | 21 min |
| Oct 24, 9:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Marion, Washington | 16 min |
| Oct 24, 10:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Jefferson | 6 min |
| Oct 24, 10:05 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Perry | 6 hr |
| Oct 24, 10:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Madison | 4 hr |
| Oct 24, 10:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Bollinger | 6 hr |
| Oct 24, 10:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Clinton, Fayette, Marion | 62 min |
| Oct 24, 10:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Fayette, Marion | 26 min |
| Oct 24, 10:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau | 51 min |
| Oct 24, 10:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Clay, Effingham | 33 min |
| Oct 24, 11:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Cape Girardeau | 18 min |
| Oct 24, 11:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau | 25 min |
| Oct 24, 11:34 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Jackson | 6 hr |
| Oct 24, 11:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Union | 38 min |
| Oct 24, 11:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Bollinger | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 335 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 972 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 120 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 162 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
505
WWUS20 KWNS 242241
SEL3
SPC WW 242241
ILZ000-MOZ000-250600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 533
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
545 PM CDT Sun Oct 24 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Illinois
Southeast Missouri
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and Monday morning from 545 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop eastward across Missouri into
Illinois this evening, with strong winds aloft increasing the risk
of severe storm activity. Damaging winds, a few tornadoes, and
large hail will be possible across this region.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of Champaign IL to
20 miles southeast of Poplar Bluff MO. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 531...WW 532...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 9:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Hancock | 3 hr |
| Oct 24, 2:13 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Greene | 2 hr |
| Oct 24, 12:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Jersey | 3 hr |
| Oct 24, 2:06 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Pike | 9 hr |
| Oct 24, 5:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 39 more | 3 hr |
| Oct 23, 9:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 24 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 24, 3:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bates, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Daviess, Grundy and 10 more | 92 min |
| Oct 24, 3:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade, Lincoln and 8 more | 85 min |
| Oct 24, 5:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 41 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2021Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2021Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.