Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 518
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 10, 2021, 6:13 PM CDT for 7 counties in Oklahoma; 51 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 10, 2021, 6:13 PM CDT (23:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 11, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 58 counties
Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Coal County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 6:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Young | 38 min |
| Oct 10, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Callahan, Shackelford | 13 min |
| Oct 10, 7:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto, Stephens | 57 min |
| Oct 10, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Eastland, Erath, Palo Pinto, Stephens | 46 min |
| Oct 10, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack, Palo Pinto, Stephens, Young | 37 min |
| Oct 10, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Comanche, Eastland, Erath | 48 min |
| Oct 10, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown, Coleman | 48 min |
| Oct 10, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Hood, Jack, Montague, Palo Pinto, Parker and 1 more | 66 min |
| Oct 10, 8:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack, Parker, Wise | 52 min |
| Oct 10, 8:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto, Parker | 47 min |
| Oct 10, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, Comanche, Erath, Hamilton, Hood, Mills and 1 more | 67 min |
| Oct 10, 8:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Denton, Grayson, Parker and 2 more | 55 min |
| Oct 10, 8:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Bryan, Carter, Johnston, Love, Marshall | 52 min |
| Oct 10, 8:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Carter, Coal, Garvin, Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc and 1 more | 46 min |
| Oct 10, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Cooke, Denton, Grayson | 39 min |
| Oct 10, 9:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, Ellis, Hill, Johnson, Somervell | 59 min |
| Oct 10, 9:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Hughes, Lincoln, Payne, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie, Seminole | 43 min |
| Oct 10, 9:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Johnson | 33 min |
| Oct 10, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas, Denton, Fannin, Grayson, Hunt and 3 more | 65 min |
| Oct 10, 9:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Coal, Johnston, Marshall | 47 min |
| Oct 10, 9:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Coal, Hughes, Pontotoc, Seminole | 45 min |
| Oct 10, 10:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis, Hill, Johnson | 27 min |
| Oct 10, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Ellis, Freestone, Henderson, Hill, Kaufman, Limestone and 2 more | 65 min |
| Oct 10, 10:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Hughes | 25 min |
| Oct 10, 10:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis | 36 min |
| Oct 10, 10:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Coal | 45 min |
| Oct 10, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Delta, Fannin, Hopkins, Hunt, Kaufman, Lamar and 3 more | 56 min |
| Oct 10, 11:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Anderson, Freestone, Henderson, Kaufman, Limestone, Navarro and 1 more | 56 min |
| Oct 10, 11:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Delta, Hopkins, Hunt, Lamar, Rains, Van Zandt | 47 min |
| Oct 11, 1:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Leon, Robertson | 49 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 688 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 215 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 218 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
215
WWUS20 KWNS 102311
SEL8
SPC WW 102311
OKZ000-TXZ000-110700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 518
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
610 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Oklahoma
North central and central Texas
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 610 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Storms are expected to intensify along a progressive
Pacific cold front across northwest Texas and become severe as they
continue through north central and central TX this evening. All
severe hazards are possible with this activity.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles west of Brownwood TX to 50
miles southeast of Durant OK. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 516...WW 517...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...DialSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Garfield, Grady and 13 more | 116 min |
| Oct 10, 3:22 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 33 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 10, 4:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Comanche, Cotton, Grady, McClain, Stephens, Tillman | 95 min |
| Oct 10, 6:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Grady, Lincoln and 5 more | 118 min |
| Oct 10, 3:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Callahan, Coleman, Eastland, Jack and 6 more | 119 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.