Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 51
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 25, 2021, 3:48 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 25, 2021, 3:48 PM CDT (20:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 25, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 123 counties
Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Martin County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Scott County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Allen County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bedford County, TN, Benton County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Weakley County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN
The radar
The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 60%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Davidson, Maury, Williamson | 29 min |
| Mar 25, 4:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Davidson, Sumner, Williamson, Wilson | 37 min |
| Mar 25, 4:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Robertson, Sumner | 25 min |
| Mar 25, 4:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Barren, Simpson, Warren | 46 min |
| Mar 25, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Hickman, Humphreys, Perry | 30 min |
| Mar 25, 5:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Hart, Warren | 36 min |
| Mar 25, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Hardin, Larue, Nelson | 24 min |
| Mar 25, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Hardeman, McNairy | 49 min |
| Mar 25, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Hardin, Larue, Nelson, Spencer | 31 min |
| Mar 25, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Decatur, Hardin, Henderson, McNairy | 46 min |
| Mar 25, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Gibson, Posey, Vanderburgh, Warrick | 47 min |
| Mar 25, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Decatur, Hardin, McNairy | 62 min |
| Mar 25, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Henry, Oldham, Shelby | 37 min |
| Mar 25, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 35 min |
| Mar 25, 6:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Hardin | 30 min |
| Mar 25, 7:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Hickman, Lewis, Maury, Williamson | 26 min |
| Mar 25, 7:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Lewis, Perry, Wayne | 41 min |
| Mar 25, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IND | Daviess, Greene, Martin | 45 min |
| Mar 25, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Hickman, Lewis, Maury, Williamson | 9 min |
| Mar 25, 7:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Lawrence, Lewis, Maury, Wayne | 39 min |
| Mar 25, 7:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Davidson, Williamson | 38 min |
| Mar 25, 8:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Butler, Grayson, Ohio | 37 min |
| Mar 25, 8:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Davidson, DeKalb, Rutherford, Smith, Williamson, Wilson | 32 min |
| Mar 25, 8:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Bedford, Marshall, Maury, Rutherford, Williamson | 25 min |
| Mar 25, 8:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Bedford, Giles, Marshall, Maury, Rutherford | 34 min |
| Mar 25, 8:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Smith, Trousdale, Wilson | 34 min |
| Mar 25, 8:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IND | Brown, Jackson, Lawrence, Monroe | 43 min |
| Mar 25, 8:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Rutherford | 26 min |
| Mar 25, 9:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OHX | Jackson, Macon, Smith | 14 min |
| Mar 25, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cannon, DeKalb, Rutherford, Smith, Wilson | 36 min |
| Mar 25, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Grayson, Hardin, Hart, Larue | 33 min |
| Mar 25, 9:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Grayson, Hardin, Larue | 24 min |
| Mar 25, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | DeKalb, Putnam, White | 35 min |
| Mar 25, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Hardin, Hart, Larue, Nelson | 33 min |
| Mar 25, 9:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Hardin, Larue, Nelson | 30 min |
| Mar 25, 10:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Boyle, Green, Larue, Marion, Mercer, Nelson and 2 more | 29 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 60 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -88 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 753 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 168 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 113 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
077
WWUS20 KWNS 252045
SEL1
SPC WW 252045
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-260400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 51
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northeast Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
from southern Illinois southward into west Tennessee and track
across the watch area. Rapidly strengthening winds aloft will
increase the risk of damaging winds, large hail, and a few
tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Evansville IN to 90
miles south southwest of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 50...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 15 more | 117 min |
| Mar 25, 5:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Barren, Breckinridge, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway and 23 more | 83 min |
| Mar 25, 9:02 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Franklin, Giles, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion, Moore and 1 more | 118 min |
| Mar 25, 10:12 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Franklin, Giles, Lincoln, Marion, Moore | 3 hr |
| Mar 25, 11:26 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Franklin, Giles, Lawrence, Lincoln, Moore, Wayne | 9 hr |
| Mar 25, 2:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Benton, Cannon, Cheatham, Chester, Davidson and 16 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 25, 4:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Hamilton, Loudon, McMinn and 5 more | 119 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2021Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.