Alert archive / South Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 41

March 18, 2021Elbert County, Lincoln County, Georgia; 6 counties in North Carolina; 16 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 18, 2021, 2:08 PM EDT for Elbert County, Lincoln County, Georgia; 6 counties in North Carolina; 16 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 18, 2021, 2:08 PM EDT (18:08 UTC)
Expired
Mar 18, 2021, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 24 counties

Elbert County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, Cabarrus County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Union County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Laurens County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Saluda County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 2:37 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPCherokee, Spartanburg23 min
Mar 18, 3:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCherokee, Spartanburg, Union43 min
Mar 18, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAENewberry41 min
Mar 18, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMecklenburg34 min
Mar 18, 4:38 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPMecklenburg, Union37 min
Mar 18, 5:13 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Union31 min
Mar 18, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAELancaster36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2021-03-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2021-03-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 470 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
486 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
470 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
562 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

884 
WWUS20 KWNS 181805
SEL1  
SPC WW 181805
GAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-182200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 41
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Far northeast Georgia
  Southwest North Carolina
  Upstate South Carolina

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until
  600 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A couple supercells may develop near a mesolow and warm
front intersection across Upstate South Carolina before spreading
into southwest North Carolina.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles north of Charlotte NC to 55
miles west of Columbia SC. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 40...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 11:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCQuitman90 min
Mar 18, 12:02 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaker, Bibb, Butts, Calhoun, Carroll, Chattahoochee and 38 more9 hr
Mar 18, 2:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChattahoochee, Clay, Marion, Quitman, Randolph, Stewart and 1 more83 min
Mar 18, 5:28 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Early, Seminole92 min
Mar 18, 7:32 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtkinson, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun and 28 more58 min
Mar 18, 7:53 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Bleckley, Brooks, Calhoun and 32 more5 hr
Mar 18, 10:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Barrow, Clarke, Elbert, Franklin, Habersham and 5 more2 hr
Mar 18, 11:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brantley and 37 more115 min
Mar 18, 11:42 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Brantley, Bryan, Bulloch and 21 more6 hr
Mar 18, 3:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCElbert3 hr
Mar 18, 4:45 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham and 20 more4 hr
Mar 18, 5:09 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Gates, Hertford and 3 more6 hr
Mar 18, 5:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Cabarrus, Camden and 45 more63 min
Mar 18, 7:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Chatham, Cumberland, Durham, Edgecombe and 21 more56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2021Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2021Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.