Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 40

March 18, 202113 counties in Florida; 27 counties in Georgia; 13 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 18, 2021, 11:42 AM EDT for 13 counties in Florida; 27 counties in Georgia; 13 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 18, 2021, 11:42 AM EDT (15:42 UTC)
Expired
Mar 18, 2021, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 53 counties

Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Duval County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Union County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Burke County, GA, Camden County, GA, Candler County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Echols County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Screven County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Beaufort County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Charleston County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Jasper County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC

The radar

The Charleston,SC radar (KCLX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 1:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAppling, Bacon, Pierce, Ware, Wayne30 min
Mar 18, 1:38 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXAppling, Pierce, Wayne14 min
Mar 18, 1:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXColumbia, Gilchrist, Suwannee49 min
Mar 18, 1:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSBryan, Liberty, Long, Tattnall43 min
Mar 18, 2:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Gilchrist46 min
Mar 18, 2:40 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXAlachua, Gilchrist35 min
Mar 18, 2:55 PM EDTTornado WarningCHSBryan, Chatham21 min
Mar 18, 2:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Union47 min
Mar 18, 3:07 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Union23 min
Mar 18, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBaker, Bradford, Clay, Duval, Union38 min
Mar 18, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBaker, Bradford, Clay, Duval36 min
Mar 18, 4:10 PM EDTTornado WarningJAXClay, Duval11 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2021-03-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 219 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2021-03-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 170 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
219 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-83 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
679 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
170 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
244 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

595 
WWUS20 KWNS 181540
SEL0  
SPC WW 181540
FLZ000-GAZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-182200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 40
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 AM EDT Thu Mar 18 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  North Florida
  Eastern Georgia
  Southern South Carolina
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Thursday morning and evening from 1140 AM until
  600 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A broken line of thunderstorms should spread
east-northeast from south-central Georgia and the eastern Florida
Panhandle. Intensification is expected with the development of a few
embedded supercells this afternoon. Tornado and damaging wind are
the primary hazards.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 20 miles east of Orangeburg SC to 50
miles southwest of Jacksonville FL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 39...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 11:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa90 min
Mar 18, 12:02 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBay, Calhoun, Escambia, Holmes, Jackson, Okaloosa and 3 more9 hr
Mar 18, 2:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEscambia, Holmes, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa83 min
Mar 18, 5:28 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Holmes, Jackson, Walton, Washington92 min
Mar 18, 7:32 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Jackson and 6 more58 min
Mar 18, 7:53 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCDixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Jefferson, Lafayette and 5 more5 hr
Mar 18, 11:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Dixie, Hamilton, Jefferson, Lafayette, Madison and 2 more115 min
Mar 18, 10:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Barrow, Clarke, Elbert, Franklin, Habersham and 5 more2 hr
Mar 18, 2:08 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCElbert, Lincoln4 hr
Mar 18, 3:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCElbert3 hr
Mar 18, 5:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChesterfield, Lancaster, Marlboro63 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2021Tornado Watches in Florida, 2021Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.