Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 190

May 18, 202123 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 18, 2021, 7:34 PM CDT for 23 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2021, 7:34 PM CDT (00:34 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2021, 1:56 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 23 counties

Austin County, TX, Bee County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harris County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Refugio County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 8:24 PM CDTTornado WarningHGXAustin, Colorado, Fort Bend, Waller, Wharton36 min
May 18, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Colorado, Fort Bend, Waller, Wharton49 min
May 18, 8:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXAustin, Burleson, Colorado, Waller, Washington, Wharton113 min
May 18, 9:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPVictoria3 hr
May 18, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXFort Bend, Harris, Waller35 min
May 18, 9:12 PM CDTTornado WarningHGXFort Bend, Harris, Waller33 min
May 18, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXGrimes, Harris, Montgomery, Waller35 min
May 18, 9:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXAustin, Brazoria, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Montgomery and 2 more3 hr
May 18, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris, Montgomery31 min
May 18, 9:44 PM CDTTornado WarningHGXFort Bend, Harris31 min
May 18, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris39 min
May 18, 10:31 PM CDTTornado WarningHGXChambers, Harris, Liberty29 min
May 18, 10:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPVictoria2 hr
May 18, 11:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXBrazoria, Jackson, Matagorda, Wharton3 hr
May 18, 11:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPCalhoun, Victoria3 hr
May 19, 12:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPCalhoun, Refugio, Victoria43 min
May 19, 12:21 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXJackson, Matagorda3 hr
May 19, 12:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, McMullen46 min
May 19, 12:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Matagorda27 min
May 19, 12:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPBee, Duval, Jim Wells, Live Oak, McMullen, San Patricio47 min
May 19, 1:35 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPCalhoun, Victoria115 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2386 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2386 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
721 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
6.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

212 
WWUS20 KWNS 190030
SEL0  
SPC WW 190030
TXZ000-CWZ000-190700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 190
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southeast and south Texas
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 730 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Slow-moving QLCS with embedded supercell structures should
evolve east-northeast towards the Upper to Middle Texas Coast
tonight. Brief tornadoes and damaging winds will be the primary
severe hazards, with large hail also possible with any trailing
cells to the southwest.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles north northeast of Houston
TX to 70 miles west of Beeville TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 188...WW 189...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 25025.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 8:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Nacogdoches, Panola and 4 more60 min
May 18, 8:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Fort Bend, Harris, Jackson, Montgomery, Waller and 1 more96 min
May 18, 10:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Newton, Orange, Tyler96 min
May 18, 11:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDimmit, Duval, Jim Hogg, La Salle, Webb, Zapata90 min
May 19, 3:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Dimmit, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells and 5 more118 min
May 19, 5:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrooks, Cameron, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells and 8 more8 hr
May 19, 7:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHidalgo, Jim Hogg, Starr96 min
May 19, 8:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Cameron, Hidalgo, Kenedy, Willacy89 min
May 19, 2:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crane, Crockett and 24 more3 hr
May 19, 6:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Crockett, Ector, Glasscock, Irion, Midland and 6 more84 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.