Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 547
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Nov 10, 2021, 3:26 PM CST for 6 counties in Kansas; 54 counties in Oklahoma; Archer County, Clay County, Wichita County, Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 10, 2021, 3:26 PM CST (21:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 10, 2021, 10:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 63 counties
Chautauqua County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK, Archer County, TX, Clay County, TX, Wichita County, TX
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 3:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Garfield, Kingfisher, Logan | 46 min |
| Nov 10, 4:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Greenwood, Woodson | 42 min |
| Nov 10, 4:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Kingfisher, Logan | 52 min |
| Nov 10, 5:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Wichita | 52 min |
| Nov 10, 5:11 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Logan, Oklahoma, Payne | 49 min |
| Nov 10, 5:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cotton | 45 min |
| Nov 10, 5:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Clay, Wichita | 47 min |
| Nov 10, 5:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Payne | 42 min |
| Nov 10, 5:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Grady, Stephens | 17 min |
| Nov 10, 5:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Clay, Wichita | 49 min |
| Nov 10, 6:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Pawnee | 43 min |
| Nov 10, 6:17 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Clay | 28 min |
| Nov 10, 6:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Payne | 27 min |
| Nov 10, 6:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Carter, Garvin, Stephens | 40 min |
| Nov 10, 6:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Payne, Pottawatomie | 51 min |
| Nov 10, 6:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Clay, Wichita | 45 min |
| Nov 10, 6:40 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Carter, Garvin, Stephens | 27 min |
| Nov 10, 6:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Jefferson | 21 min |
| Nov 10, 6:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa | 47 min |
| Nov 10, 7:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Clay | 45 min |
| Nov 10, 7:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 38 min |
| Nov 10, 7:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie, Seminole | 50 min |
| Nov 10, 7:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata | 25 min |
| Nov 10, 7:20 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Rogers, Tulsa | 10 min |
| Nov 10, 7:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Rogers | 23 min |
| Nov 10, 7:26 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 34 min |
| Nov 10, 7:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Mayes, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 46 min |
| Nov 10, 7:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Labette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson | 43 min |
| Nov 10, 7:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Bryan | 19 min |
| Nov 10, 7:46 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Carter, Murray | 27 min |
| Nov 10, 7:51 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Mayes, Rogers | 39 min |
| Nov 10, 8:15 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Delaware, Mayes | 30 min |
| Nov 10, 8:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Delaware | 33 min |
| Nov 10, 8:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware | 33 min |
| Nov 10, 8:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Muskogee | 35 min |
| Nov 10, 9:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 46 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 48 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -27 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 632 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 55 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
257
WWUS20 KWNS 102125
SEL7
SPC WW 102125
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-110400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 547
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Central and Eastern Oklahoma
Western North Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 325 PM
until 1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop through late
afternoon initially across central Oklahoma into southeast Kansas,
with additional development and general eastward movement of these
storms into western North Texas and eastern Oklahoma by
early/mid-evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest
of Chanute KS to 45 miles south southwest of Ardmore OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 546...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:53 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Chase, Clay, Dickinson, Geary and 10 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 10, 1:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Coffey, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin and 10 more | 6 hr |
| Nov 10, 5:29 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Atchison, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 10, 1:26 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Creek, Garfield and 17 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 10, 5:06 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cotton, Jefferson, Love and 1 more | 114 min |
| Nov 10, 5:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis and 15 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.