Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 547

November 10, 20216 counties in Kansas; 54 counties in Oklahoma; Archer County, Clay County, Wichita County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Nov 10, 2021, 3:26 PM CST for 6 counties in Kansas; 54 counties in Oklahoma; Archer County, Clay County, Wichita County, Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 10, 2021, 3:26 PM CST (21:26 UTC)
Expired
Nov 10, 2021, 10:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 63 counties

Chautauqua County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK, Archer County, TX, Clay County, TX, Wichita County, TX

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 10, 3:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarfield, Kingfisher, Logan46 min
Nov 10, 4:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTGreenwood, Woodson42 min
Nov 10, 4:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOUNKingfisher, Logan52 min
Nov 10, 5:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNWichita52 min
Nov 10, 5:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOUNLogan, Oklahoma, Payne49 min
Nov 10, 5:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton45 min
Nov 10, 5:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOUNArcher, Clay, Wichita47 min
Nov 10, 5:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Payne42 min
Nov 10, 5:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGrady, Stephens17 min
Nov 10, 5:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay, Wichita49 min
Nov 10, 6:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Pawnee43 min
Nov 10, 6:17 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNClay28 min
Nov 10, 6:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOUNPayne27 min
Nov 10, 6:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Stephens40 min
Nov 10, 6:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Payne, Pottawatomie51 min
Nov 10, 6:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatOUNArcher, Clay, Wichita45 min
Nov 10, 6:40 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Stephens27 min
Nov 10, 6:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJefferson21 min
Nov 10, 6:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa47 min
Nov 10, 7:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Clay45 min
Nov 10, 7:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner38 min
Nov 10, 7:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie, Seminole50 min
Nov 10, 7:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata25 min
Nov 10, 7:20 PM CSTTornado WarningTSARogers, Tulsa10 min
Nov 10, 7:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Rogers23 min
Nov 10, 7:26 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedTSARogers, Tulsa, Wagoner34 min
Nov 10, 7:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Mayes, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner46 min
Nov 10, 7:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLabette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson43 min
Nov 10, 7:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan19 min
Nov 10, 7:46 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNCarter, Murray27 min
Nov 10, 7:51 PM CSTTornado WarningTSAMayes, Rogers39 min
Nov 10, 8:15 PM CSTTornado WarningTSADelaware, Mayes30 min
Nov 10, 8:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware33 min
Nov 10, 8:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware33 min
Nov 10, 8:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Muskogee35 min
Nov 10, 9:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-11-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 48 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-11-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 55 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
48 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
632 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

257 
WWUS20 KWNS 102125
SEL7  
SPC WW 102125
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-110400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 547
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Kansas
  Central and Eastern Oklahoma
  Western North Texas

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 325 PM
  until 1000 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop through late
afternoon initially across central Oklahoma into southeast Kansas,
with additional development and general eastward movement of these
storms into western North Texas and eastern Oklahoma by
early/mid-evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest
of Chanute KS to 45 miles south southwest of Ardmore OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 546...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 10, 10:53 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Chase, Clay, Dickinson, Geary and 10 more2 hr
Nov 10, 1:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Coffey, Doniphan, Douglas, Franklin and 10 more6 hr
Nov 10, 5:29 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson and 8 more2 hr
Nov 10, 1:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Creek, Garfield and 17 more2 hr
Nov 10, 5:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cotton, Jefferson, Love and 1 more114 min
Nov 10, 5:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis and 15 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.