Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 46

March 22, 202135 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 22, 2021, 11:10 PM CDT for 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 22, 2021, 11:10 PM CDT (04:10 UTC)
Expired
Mar 23, 2021, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Austin County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Houston County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Madison County, TX, Medina County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Polk County, TX, Real County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 11:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Edwards, Medina, Real, Uvalde59 min
Mar 22, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr, Medina61 min
Mar 22, 11:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson48 min
Mar 23, 12:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Uvalde65 min
Mar 23, 12:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Hays, Kendall and 1 more55 min
Mar 23, 12:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Grimes, Madison47 min
Mar 23, 1:06 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXComal, Guadalupe, Hays24 min
Mar 23, 1:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Kendall, Medina and 1 more62 min
Mar 23, 1:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXGrimes, Houston, Madison, Trinity, Walker41 min
Mar 23, 1:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Comal, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Hays and 1 more64 min
Mar 23, 1:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Frio, Medina34 min
Mar 23, 1:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXPolk, San Jacinto, Trinity, Walker35 min
Mar 23, 1:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGonzales, Guadalupe32 min
Mar 23, 2:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Karnes, Wilson26 min
Mar 23, 2:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Lavaca and 1 more59 min
Mar 23, 2:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXPolk, Trinity31 min
Mar 23, 3:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFayette, Lavaca33 min
Mar 23, 3:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXColorado26 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 289 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-03-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-03-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 404 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
679 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
404 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
672 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

009 
WWUS20 KWNS 230408
SEL6  
SPC WW 230408
TXZ000-230900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 46
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1110 PM CDT Mon Mar 22 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Central and Southeast Texas

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1110 PM
  until 400 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple storm clusters including some supercells will
continue eastward through the overnight across the Texas Hill County
and broader parts of central into southeast Texas. Isolated large
hail and damaging winds will be the primary hazards, but a tornado
cannot be entirely ruled out.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Huntsville TX to 25 miles northwest of Hondo TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 45...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
26030.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 8:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown and 53 more65 min
Mar 22, 10:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 52 more54 min
Mar 22, 10:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelta, Fannin, Franklin, Hopkins, Hunt, Kaufman and 6 more61 min
Mar 23, 1:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Brazos and 29 more91 min
Mar 23, 3:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Austin, Colorado, DeWitt, Fayette, Fort Bend and 20 more56 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.