Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 46
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 22, 2021, 11:10 PM CDT for 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 22, 2021, 11:10 PM CDT (04:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 23, 2021, 4:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 35 counties
Austin County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Houston County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Madison County, TX, Medina County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Polk County, TX, Real County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX
The radar
The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 11:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Edwards, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 59 min |
| Mar 22, 11:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr, Medina | 61 min |
| Mar 22, 11:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazos, Burleson | 48 min |
| Mar 23, 12:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Uvalde | 65 min |
| Mar 23, 12:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Hays, Kendall and 1 more | 55 min |
| Mar 23, 12:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazos, Grimes, Madison | 47 min |
| Mar 23, 1:06 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Comal, Guadalupe, Hays | 24 min |
| Mar 23, 1:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Kendall, Medina and 1 more | 62 min |
| Mar 23, 1:19 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Grimes, Houston, Madison, Trinity, Walker | 41 min |
| Mar 23, 1:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Comal, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Hays and 1 more | 64 min |
| Mar 23, 1:48 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar, Frio, Medina | 34 min |
| Mar 23, 1:55 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity, Walker | 35 min |
| Mar 23, 1:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gonzales, Guadalupe | 32 min |
| Mar 23, 2:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bexar, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Karnes, Wilson | 26 min |
| Mar 23, 2:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Lavaca and 1 more | 59 min |
| Mar 23, 2:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Polk, Trinity | 31 min |
| Mar 23, 3:03 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Fayette, Lavaca | 33 min |
| Mar 23, 3:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Colorado | 26 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 289 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 679 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 404 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 672 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted.
009 WWUS20 KWNS 230408 SEL6 SPC WW 230408 TXZ000-230900- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 46 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1110 PM CDT Mon Mar 22 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Southeast Texas * Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1110 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Multiple storm clusters including some supercells will continue eastward through the overnight across the Texas Hill County and broader parts of central into southeast Texas. Isolated large hail and damaging winds will be the primary hazards, but a tornado cannot be entirely ruled out. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles east northeast of Huntsville TX to 25 miles northwest of Hondo TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 45... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 26030. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 8:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown and 53 more | 65 min |
| Mar 22, 10:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 52 more | 54 min |
| Mar 22, 10:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Delta, Fannin, Franklin, Hopkins, Hunt, Kaufman and 6 more | 61 min |
| Mar 23, 1:29 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Brazos and 29 more | 91 min |
| Mar 23, 3:19 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Angelina, Austin, Colorado, DeWitt, Fayette, Fort Bend and 20 more | 56 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.