Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 420

August 10, 202121 counties in Illinois; 28 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 10, 2021, 3:47 PM CDT for 21 counties in Illinois; 28 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2021, 3:47 PM CDT (20:47 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2021, 9:18 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 49 counties

Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 4:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane, Iowa, Lafayette, Sauk73 min
Aug 10, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJo Daviess56 min
Aug 10, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXIowa, Lafayette80 min
Aug 10, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Whiteside45 min
Aug 10, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Dane, Green, Iowa, Sauk67 min
Aug 10, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson, Whiteside51 min
Aug 10, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee, Ogle, Winnebago81 min
Aug 10, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane, Dodge, Jefferson, Rock78 min
Aug 10, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNStephenson41 min
Aug 10, 6:00 PM CDTTornado WarningGRBOutagamie, Shawano30 min
Aug 10, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDodge, Jefferson, Kenosha, Racine, Walworth, Washington and 1 more97 min
Aug 10, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, LaSalle, Lee65 min
Aug 10, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Dane20 min
Aug 10, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNStephenson13 min
Aug 10, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, McHenry74 min
Aug 10, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBBrown, Outagamie46 min
Aug 10, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTCook, DuPage, Kane, Lake, McHenry86 min
Aug 10, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTGrundy, Kane, Kendall82 min
Aug 10, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau25 min
Aug 10, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine54 min
Aug 10, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTCook, DuPage, Will95 min
Aug 10, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGRBBrown, Door, Kewaunee46 min
Aug 10, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTWill49 min
Aug 10, 7:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGRBBrown3 hr
Aug 10, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, LaSalle47 min
Aug 10, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXSheboygan51 min
Aug 10, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine32 min
Aug 10, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBCalumet, Kewaunee, Manitowoc38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 32 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 42 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
32 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-550 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
828 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

203 
WWUS20 KWNS 102045
SEL0  
SPC WW 102045
ILZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-110300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 420
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Illinois
  Southeastern Wisconsin
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms across eastern Iowa will continue to expand
while spreading eastward and northeastward into Wisconsin and
Illinois through late evening.  The storm environment favors storm
clusters capable of producing damaging winds (some significant up to
75 mph) and occasional large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest
of Oshkosh WI to 25 miles west southwest of Marseilles IL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 419...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
27025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Knox, LaSalle, Livingston, Marshall, Peoria and 4 more87 min
Aug 10, 10:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene and 9 more3 hr
Aug 10, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHenderson, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren6 hr
Aug 10, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin and 21 more2 hr
Aug 10, 3:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Kane, Lake and 6 more2 hr
Aug 10, 5:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess, Kane and 7 more84 min
Aug 10, 12:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Bayfield, Iron, Sawyer, Vilas88 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.