Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 420
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 10, 2021, 3:47 PM CDT for 21 counties in Illinois; 28 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 10, 2021, 3:47 PM CDT (20:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 10, 2021, 9:18 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 49 counties
Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waukesha County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI
The radar
The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 4:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dane, Iowa, Lafayette, Sauk | 73 min |
| Aug 10, 4:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jo Daviess | 56 min |
| Aug 10, 4:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Iowa, Lafayette | 80 min |
| Aug 10, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Carroll, Jo Daviess, Whiteside | 45 min |
| Aug 10, 5:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Dane, Green, Iowa, Sauk | 67 min |
| Aug 10, 5:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson, Whiteside | 51 min |
| Aug 10, 5:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Lee, Ogle, Winnebago | 81 min |
| Aug 10, 5:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dane, Dodge, Jefferson, Rock | 78 min |
| Aug 10, 5:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 41 min |
| Aug 10, 6:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | GRB | Outagamie, Shawano | 30 min |
| Aug 10, 6:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Dodge, Jefferson, Kenosha, Racine, Walworth, Washington and 1 more | 97 min |
| Aug 10, 6:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | DeKalb, LaSalle, Lee | 65 min |
| Aug 10, 6:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Columbia, Dane | 20 min |
| Aug 10, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Stephenson | 13 min |
| Aug 10, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Boone, DeKalb, McHenry | 74 min |
| Aug 10, 6:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Brown, Outagamie | 46 min |
| Aug 10, 6:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Cook, DuPage, Kane, Lake, McHenry | 86 min |
| Aug 10, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Grundy, Kane, Kendall | 82 min |
| Aug 10, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Bureau | 25 min |
| Aug 10, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Kenosha, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine | 54 min |
| Aug 10, 6:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Cook, DuPage, Will | 95 min |
| Aug 10, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Brown, Door, Kewaunee | 46 min |
| Aug 10, 7:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Will | 49 min |
| Aug 10, 7:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | GRB | Brown | 3 hr |
| Aug 10, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | DeKalb, LaSalle | 47 min |
| Aug 10, 7:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Sheboygan | 51 min |
| Aug 10, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Kenosha, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine | 32 min |
| Aug 10, 7:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRB | Calumet, Kewaunee, Manitowoc | 38 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 32 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -550 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 828 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 42 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 117 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
203
WWUS20 KWNS 102045
SEL0
SPC WW 102045
ILZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-110300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 420
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Illinois
Southeastern Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms across eastern Iowa will continue to expand
while spreading eastward and northeastward into Wisconsin and
Illinois through late evening. The storm environment favors storm
clusters capable of producing damaging winds (some significant up to
75 mph) and occasional large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest
of Oshkosh WI to 25 miles west southwest of Marseilles IL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 419...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 8:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bureau, Knox, LaSalle, Livingston, Marshall, Peoria and 4 more | 87 min |
| Aug 10, 10:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene and 9 more | 3 hr |
| Aug 10, 2:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Henderson, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren | 6 hr |
| Aug 10, 2:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin and 21 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 10, 3:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Kane, Lake and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 10, 5:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess, Kane and 7 more | 84 min |
| Aug 10, 12:02 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashland, Bayfield, Iron, Sawyer, Vilas | 88 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.