Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 61, NWS Chicago, IL

August 10, 20215 counties in Illinois

NWS Chicago, IL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 10, 2021, 6:34 PM CDT for 5 counties in Illinois. It was in force for 86 min. 30 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2021, 6:34 PM CDT (23:34 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2021, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
86 min
Issued by
NWS Chicago, IL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Cook County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Kane County, IL, Lake County, IL, McHenry County, IL

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 10, 6:38 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Ne Lake In The Hills, ILBILLBOARD DESTROYED ALONG VIRGINIA AVE IN CRYSTAL LAKE.
Aug 10, 6:38 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Ne Lake In The Hills, ILMULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED IN THE CRYSTAL LAKE, ALGONQUIN, CARY, AND MCHENRY AREAS. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 6:39 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 E Crystal Lake, ILNUMEROUS TREES AND TREE LIMBS DOWNED NEAR PINGREE ROAD AND US31 IN CRYSTAL LAKE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 6:45 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 451 Wsw Oakwood Hills, IL
Aug 10, 6:48 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 60Island Lake, IL
Aug 10, 6:55 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 572 Ne Union, ILGUST OF 57 MPH NEAR FRANKLINVILLE ROAD AND IL-176. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:03 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 N Bull Valley, ILPUBLIC REPORT OF TREE BRANCHES DOWNED NEAR BULL VALLEY. RELAYED VIA MPING. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:05 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGGreenwood, ILNUMEROUS TREES DOWNED NEAR WONDER LAKE. ONE TREE HAS MOST BRANCHED REMOVED. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:05 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGMchenry, ILDELAYED REPORT RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. LARGE TREE DOWN THROUGH ROOF, WITH LARGE TREE ALSO BLOWN DOWN IN NEIGHBORING YARD. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:11 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGElgin, ILNUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREE BRANCHES DOWNED IN ELGIN AND VICINITY. RELAYED VIA MPING. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:11 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGSleepy Hollow, ILDELAYED REPORT. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. LARGE TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN AND LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN OR UPROOTED NEAR BEAU BRUMMEL DR AND SLEEPY HOLLOW RD.
Aug 10, 7:12 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGWest Dundee, ILDELAYED REPORT RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. MULTIPLE LARGE TREES AND TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN THROUGHOUT TOWN. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:15 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGAlgonquin, ILPUBLIC REPORT OF AN UPROOTED AND ANOTHER SNAPPED TREE IN ALGONQUIN. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:17 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 W Schaumburg, ILAPPROXIMATELY 5 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMB DOWNED.
Aug 10, 7:18 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Ene South Barrington, ILLARGE TREES DOWN.
Aug 10, 7:29 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 51Mount Prospect, ILPRIVATE WEATHER STATION REPORTS 51 MPH GUST IN MT PROSPECT.
Aug 10, 7:30 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGGrayslake, ILTRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS SHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF IN GRAYSLAKE AREA. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:30 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 601 Nnw Roselle, ILPRIVATE WEATHER STATION REPORTED 60 MPH GUST NEAR ROSELLE.
Aug 10, 7:33 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGElmhurst, ILPUBLIC REPORT OF LARGE BRANCHES DOWNED IN ELMHURST AREA. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:35 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGDes Plaines, ILTRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS LARGE TREE SNAPPED IN DES PLAINES. OTHER REPORTS OF TREE DAMAGED ALSO RECEIVED IN VICINITY. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:35 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 571 W Elmhurst, ILPRIVATE WEATHER STATION REPORTS 57 MPH WIND GUST IN ELMHURST.
Aug 10, 7:36 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGBuffalo Grove, ILSEVERAL TREES DOWNED AROUND BUFFALO GROVE.
Aug 10, 7:38 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 Ene Wadsworth, ILTRAINED SPOTTER RELAYED 5 INCH TO 2 FOOT DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN IN AN AROUND WADSWORTH.
Aug 10, 7:45 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGSkokie, ILLARGE TREE UPROOTED AND FELL ONTO CAR.
Aug 10, 7:45 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 65Evanston, ILDELAYED REPORT. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
Aug 10, 7:47 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGEvanston, ILSEVERAL LARGE TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED THROUGHOUT EVANSTON.
Aug 10, 7:47 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGFranklin Park, ILSPOTTER REPORTS 60 MPH GUST NEAR GRAND AVENUE AND MANHEIM ROAD NEAR FRANKLIN PARK.
Aug 10, 7:50 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 Nw West Ridge - Chica, ILTREE DOWNED NEAR KEDZIE AVENUE AND TOUHY AVENUE IN CHICAGO. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:50 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 Ssw Wilmette, ILPHOTOS SHARED TO SOCIAL MEDIA SHOW BRANCHES DOWNED NEAR HARRISON STREET AND PROSPECT AVENUE IN EVANSTON. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
Aug 10, 7:55 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 54Highwood, ILTRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS 54 MPH WIND GUST IN HIGHWOOD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 27 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 4 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 10, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3755 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -37 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3755 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
819 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

113 
WUUS53 KLOT 102334
SVRLOT
ILC031-043-089-097-111-110100-
/O.NEW.KLOT.SV.W.0061.210810T2334Z-210811T0100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville
634 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

The National Weather Service in Chicago has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Lake County in northeastern Illinois...
  Kane County in northeastern Illinois...
  McHenry County in northeastern Illinois...
  Northern DuPage County in northeastern Illinois...
  Northwestern Cook County in northeastern Illinois...

* Until 800 PM CDT.

* At 634 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line 
  extending from South Beloit to near Rochelle, moving east at 45 
  mph.

  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to 
           mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Chicago, Elgin, Waukegan, Arlington Heights, Evanston, Schaumburg,
  Palatine, Skokie, Des Plaines, Mount Prospect, Wheaton, Hoffman
  Estates, Glenview, Elmhurst, Lombard, Buffalo Grove, Bartlett,
  Crystal Lake, Ohare Airport and Streamwood.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground
lightning is occurring with these storms. Move indoors immediately.
Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. Remember, if you can
hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4249 8780 4238 8781 4236 8783 4227 8783
      4213 8774 4206 8767 4203 8767 4188 8791
      4187 8860 4206 8860 4207 8859 4215 8859
      4215 8860 4250 8858
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 267DEG 40KT 4248 8905 4199 8905 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

OEMC zones...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.  
1...2...and 3.
 
$$

FRIEDLEIN
6 follow-up statements
366 
WWUS53 KLOT 102349
SVSLOT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville
649 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

ILC031-043-089-097-111-110100-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210811T0100Z/
Lake IL-Kane IL-McHenry IL-DuPage IL-Cook IL-
649 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR LAKE...KANE...MCHENRY...NORTHERN DUPAGE AND NORTHWESTERN COOK
COUNTIES...

At 648 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line 
extending from near Clinton to near Malta, moving east at 45 mph. 
These storms have a history of produce severe wind gusts and damage 
in and near Rockford.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Chicago, Elgin, Waukegan, Arlington Heights, Evanston, Schaumburg,
Palatine, Skokie, Des Plaines, Mount Prospect, Wheaton, Hoffman
Estates, Glenview, Elmhurst, Lombard, Buffalo Grove, Bartlett,
Crystal Lake, Ohare Airport and Streamwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4249 8780 4238 8781 4236 8783 4227 8783
      4213 8774 4206 8767 4203 8767 4188 8791
      4187 8860 4206 8860 4207 8859 4215 8859
      4215 8860 4250 8858
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 267DEG 40KT 4249 8884 4200 8884 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

OEMC zones...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.  
1...2...and 3.
 
$$

FRIEDLEIN
016 
WWUS53 KLOT 110002
SVSLOT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville
702 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

ILC031-043-089-097-111-110100-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210811T0100Z/
Lake IL-Kane IL-McHenry IL-DuPage IL-Cook IL-
702 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR LAKE...KANE...MCHENRY...NORTHERN DUPAGE AND NORTHWESTERN COOK
COUNTIES...

At 701 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line 
extending from near Hebron to near Huntley, moving east at 60 mph. 
These storms have a history of producing wind damage.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Chicago, Elgin, Waukegan, Arlington Heights, Evanston, Schaumburg,
Palatine, Skokie, Des Plaines, Mount Prospect, Wheaton, Hoffman
Estates, Glenview, Elmhurst, Lombard, Buffalo Grove, Bartlett,
Crystal Lake, Ohare Airport and Streamwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4249 8780 4238 8781 4236 8783 4227 8783
      4213 8774 4206 8767 4203 8767 4188 8791
      4187 8860 4206 8860 4207 8859 4215 8859
      4215 8860 4250 8858
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 247DEG 53KT 4248 8847 4215 8850 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

OEMC zones...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.  
1...2...and 3.
 
$$

FRIEDLEIN
640 
WWUS53 KLOT 110023
SVSLOT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville
723 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

ILC031-043-089-097-111-110100-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210811T0100Z/
Lake IL-Kane IL-McHenry IL-DuPage IL-Cook IL-
723 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR LAKE...KANE...MCHENRY...NORTHERN DUPAGE AND NORTHWESTERN COOK
COUNTIES...

At 722 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Channel Lake to near Streamwood, moving east at 
50 mph. These storms have a history of producing severe wind 
gusts and wind damage across far northern Illinois.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Chicago, Elgin, Waukegan, Arlington Heights, Evanston, Schaumburg,
Palatine, Skokie, Des Plaines, Mount Prospect, Wheaton, Hoffman
Estates, Glenview, Elmhurst, Lombard, Buffalo Grove, Bartlett,
Crystal Lake, Ohare Airport and Streamwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4249 8780 4238 8781 4236 8783 4227 8783
      4213 8774 4206 8767 4203 8767 4188 8791
      4187 8860 4206 8860 4207 8859 4215 8859
      4215 8860 4250 8858
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 250DEG 43KT 4250 8819 4202 8822 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

OEMC zones...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.  
1...2...and 3.
 
$$

FRIEDLEIN
312 
WWUS53 KLOT 110038
SVSLOT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville
738 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

ILC031-043-089-097-111-110100-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210811T0100Z/
Lake IL-Kane IL-McHenry IL-DuPage IL-Cook IL-
738 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR LAKE...NORTHEASTERN KANE...EASTERN MCHENRY...NORTHERN DUPAGE AND
NORTHWESTERN COOK COUNTIES...

At 737 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Pleasant Prairie to Elk Grove Village, moving 
east at 45 mph. O'Hare Airport has gusted to 58 mph with these 
storms, and these storms have a history of producing widespread wind 
damage.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Chicago, Elgin, Waukegan, Arlington Heights, Evanston, Schaumburg,
Palatine, Skokie, Des Plaines, Mount Prospect, Wheaton, Hoffman
Estates, Glenview, Elmhurst, Lombard, Buffalo Grove, Bartlett,
Crystal Lake, Ohare Airport and Streamwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4249 8780 4238 8781 4236 8783 4227 8783
      4213 8774 4206 8767 4203 8767 4188 8791
      4187 8851 4250 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 0037Z 267DEG 40KT 4251 8798 4203 8801 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

OEMC zones...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.  
1...2...and 3.
 
$$

FRIEDLEIN
676 
WWUS53 KLOT 110047
SVSLOT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville
747 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

ILC089-111-110056-
/O.CAN.KLOT.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210811T0100Z/
Kane IL-McHenry IL-
747 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN KANE AND EASTERN
MCHENRY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area.Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. Gusty winds to over 
35 mph will continue for a short period after the storms.

LAT...LON 4249 8780 4238 8781 4236 8783 4227 8783
      4219 8779 4213 8774 4206 8767 4203 8767
      4188 8791 4188 8826 4216 8820 4250 8820
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 267DEG 40KT 4251 8788 4203 8791 

$$

ILC031-043-097-110100-
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210811T0100Z/
Lake IL-DuPage IL-Cook IL-
747 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR LAKE...NORTHERN DUPAGE AND NORTHWESTERN COOK COUNTIES...

At 746 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Pleasant Prairie to Des Plaines, moving east at 45 
mph. These storms have a history of producing wind damage, as well 
as a 58 mph gust at O'Hare Airport.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Chicago, Elgin, Waukegan, Arlington Heights, Evanston, Schaumburg,
Palatine, Skokie, Des Plaines, Mount Prospect, Wheaton, Hoffman
Estates, Glenview, Elmhurst, Lombard, Buffalo Grove, Bartlett, Ohare
Airport, Streamwood and Carol Stream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4249 8780 4238 8781 4236 8783 4227 8783
      4219 8779 4213 8774 4206 8767 4203 8767
      4188 8791 4188 8826 4216 8820 4250 8820
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 267DEG 40KT 4251 8788 4203 8791 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

OEMC zones...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING.  
1...2...and 3.
 
$$

FRIEDLEIN
754 
WWUS53 KLOT 110059
SVSLOT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville
759 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

ILC031-043-097-110109-
/O.EXP.KLOT.SV.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210811T0100Z/
Lake IL-DuPage IL-Cook IL-
759 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LAKE...NORTHERN DUPAGE AND
NORTHWESTERN COOK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 800 PM CDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
northeastern Illinois.

LAT...LON 4249 8780 4238 8781 4236 8783 4227 8783
      4219 8779 4213 8774 4206 8767 4203 8767
      4188 8791 4188 8826 4216 8820 4250 8820
TIME...MOT...LOC 0059Z 267DEG 40KT 4252 8772 4204 8775 

$$

FRIEDLEIN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Chicago, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 10, 6:30 PM CDT, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 6:30 PM CDT, 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL
630 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

.SHORT TERM...
245 PM CDT

Through Wednesday Morning...

As anticipated, thunderstorms are erupting within two areas in
Iowa - the first near a subtle mesoscale convective vortex just
north of the IA/MO state line, and the second along a northwestern
wind shift in northeastern Iowa. The storms have been explosive
in growth, as evident by one storm producing 1" hail report within
15 minutes of the the first lightning strike. Such behavior is
not surprising given extreme instability in place, with surface
dew points in the lower 80s(!), surface temperatures in the upper
80s to lower 90s, and mid-level lapse rates of 8.3 K/km supporting
RAP-analyzed MLCAPE of 4500-5000 J/kg. While deep-layer shear will
remain less than we normally expect for organized severe weather
episodes, extreme instability often "picks up the slack."

Accordingly, any storm that develops today will almost certainly
become severe with a threat for all severe hazards (damaging hail,
destructive winds, and brief tornadoes). The greatest threat
appears to be damaging winds strong enough to uproot trees given
such extreme instability but weak shear (e.g. top-heavy cores as
well as potential to "grow upscale" via the amalgamation of beefy
cold pools). We already see signs of an organized line developing
in northeastern Iowa, which itself may turn east to southeast
into northern Illinois this evening. Finally, while low-level
shear will be less than yesterday, plentiful low-level moisture as
well as extreme low-level stretching potential will nevertheless
keep the threat for tornadoes present, albeit favoring brief
touchdowns rather than those that carry long tracks. The timeframe
of greatest concern remains 6 to 11 PM CDT.

Tonight through Wednesday morning, a stout 35-40 kt 850 mb low-
level jet will develop and point into eastern Iowa and northern
Illinois atop a convectively-generated outflow boundary. Depending
on where the boundary stalls tonight (e.g. where will LFCs be
breached?), regenerating thunderstorms are likely somewhere in the
Lower Great Lakes. Where storms to redevelop, concern is high
that an axis of hefty rainfall totals and hence flash flooding
will occur considering ample instability to take advantage of
PWATs > 2". In these situation, total rainfall amounts can easily
exceed 6 inches. Confidence in exactly where such rainfall totals
may occur, however, remains low. If you had to twist our arms,
we'd say areas along and south of a line from Dixon to Kankakee
have the highest threat for flash flooding tonight into Wednesday
morning (looking at midnight to 10 AM or so).

One final note - heat index values are currently 105 to 110
across the area. Take frequent breaks and stay hydrated if
outdoors.

Borchardt

&&

.LONG TERM...
334 PM CDT

Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night...

The forecast for Wednesday is repeat of Tuesday, with concerns again
centering on heat and thunderstorms in the warm, moist and unsettled
weather pattern.

Following morning convection in the region, it appears the early to
mid afternoon will be a period of drying/subsidence ahead of
stronger mid level flow and an approaching cold front. Forecasted
925 mb temperatures and surface dewpoints look to be just a tad
lower than today. Having widespread 105-110 heat indices today, feel
like while we look to take a tip downward and may have lingering
cloud cover, the several days of uncomfortable weather support
another Heat Advisory Wednesday afternoon.

Concern will then shift to the longwave trough over the upper
Midwest that will steer a cold front toward the upper/mid
Mississippi Valley late Wednesday. Convective initiation is likely
along the front in another extremely buoyant airmass. It is still
unclear on the convective coverage, but it seems favorable that this
activity will again approach the local area late afternoon and
evening. This would support a higher end wind threat should factors
come together, and this will be a period to watch.

The front will not fly on through, therefore we will need to watch
for additional training thunderstorms Wednesday night which will
pose a flooding threat.

KMD

Thursday through Monday...Previous forecast discussion
unchanged...Capping will remain a limiting factor in convective
coverage on Thursday as larger-scale forcing will be confined to the
mid-level wave brushing the area. However, modest deep layer shear
up to 25 knots within a highly unstable environment conditional upon
breaking the cap warrants chance PoPs and a mention of severe storm
potential through most of this period. This is particularly the case
Thursday afternoon across the south half of the CWA.

South of the boundary on Thursday, very humid conditions will
persist, with afternoon heat index values possibly surpassing 100F.

Thursday night and Friday: A slow-moving cold front will shift south
across the forecast area, with convective potential at any given
time mainly tied to the location of the front. Guidance has slowed
the progression of the front, resulting in the introduction of low
chance of thunderstorms across the south half of the CWA through the
day (but especially the afternoon) on Friday. Drier profiles behind
Thursday's potential storms reduces afternoon heat concerns as well
as coverage of storms.

Saturday through Monday: High pressure will build across the region
through the weekend and into early next week, bringing dry weather
along with cooler and much less humid conditions.

Kluber

&&

.AVIATION...
For the 00Z TAFs...

630 PM...Primary forecast concern is thunderstorm chances this
evening, Wednesday morning and again Wednesday afternoon/evening.

A line of thunderstorms will move across northern IL and the
terminals over the next few hours. Wind gusts in the 30-40kt range
will be possible with these storms along with ifr cigs/vis with
heavy rain. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the
line of storms. Trends become uncertain for thunderstorms
overnight into Wednesday morning. Its possible that new convection
will develop further south across central IL tonight and may
remain generally south of the terminals into Wednesday morning.
Given low confidence, opted to maintain current prob mention for
now. A lull is expected from late morning through mid afternoon
and then there will be another period of possible thunderstorms
from late afternoon across northwest IL through mid evening across
the Chicago terminals. There seems to be a consensus from the
models for this time period and opted to include prob mention with
this forecast.

Other concerns will be gusty south/southwest winds this evening
and again Wednesday. Some mvfr cigs will be possible at times, but
confidence too low to include with this forecast. cms

&&

.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Heat Advisory...ILZ003-ILZ004-ILZ005-ILZ006-ILZ008-ILZ010-ILZ011-
     ILZ012-ILZ013-ILZ019-ILZ020-ILZ021-ILZ023-ILZ032-ILZ033-
     ILZ039-ILZ103-ILZ104-ILZ105-ILZ106-ILZ107-ILZ108 until 7 PM
     Tuesday.

     Heat Advisory...ILZ003-ILZ004-ILZ005-ILZ006-ILZ008-ILZ010-ILZ011-
     ILZ012-ILZ013-ILZ019-ILZ020-ILZ021-ILZ023-ILZ032-ILZ033-
     ILZ039-ILZ103-ILZ104-ILZ105-ILZ106-ILZ107-ILZ108...noon
     Wednesday to 7 PM Wednesday.

IN...Heat Advisory...INZ001-INZ002-INZ010-INZ011-INZ019 until 7 PM
     Tuesday.

     Heat Advisory...INZ001-INZ002-INZ010-INZ011-INZ019...noon
     Wednesday to 7 PM Wednesday.

LM...None.
&&

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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 10, 3:09 PM CDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
309 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002-
010-011-019-112015-
Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will-
Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
309 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021 /409 PM EDT Tue Aug 10 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North Central
Illinois...Northeast Illinois and Northwest Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
     Limited Tornado risk.
     Limited hail risk...up to 1 inch in diameter.
     Elevated damaging wind risk...up to 70.
  Limited Flooding Risk.
  Significant Excessive Heat Risk.

DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms developing across eastern Iowa and will track
across the area this evening. Each storm will be capable of
producing winds strong enough to uproot trees, damaging hail,
brief tornadoes, and torrential downpours. The primary
thunderstorm threat will be between 6 and 11 PM CDT.

Dangerous heat will continue this afternoon with heat related
illness probable after 30 minutes of being in direct sunlight.

Additional thunderstorms may develop after midnight and produce
torrential downpours with a threat for flash flooding. At this
point, it appears such renewed thunderstorms will be south of
Interstate 80.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wednesday...
  Limited Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
  Elevated Excessive Heat Risk.
  Limited Non Thunderstorm Wind Risk.
Thursday...
  Limited Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
  Elevated Excessive Heat Risk.
Friday...
  Elevated Thunderstorm Risk.

DISCUSSION:

Warm and humid conditions will persist Wednesday and Thursday,
with afternoon heat indices possibly surpassing 105 F during the
afternoon.

Another round of strong to severe storms may occur Wednesday
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotters may be needed this evening and overnight.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

 Moving toward the east at 40 mph.

LMZ740>745-112015-
Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL-
Wilmette Harbor to Northerly Island IL-
Northerly Island to Calumet Harbor IL-
Calumet Harbor IL to Gary IN-Gary to Burns Harbor IN-
Burns Harbor to Michigan City IN-
309 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Illinois
nearshore waters of Lake Michigan and the Indiana nearshore
waters of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
     Limited hail risk...up to 1 inch in diameter.
     Limited thunderstorm wind gust risk...up to 60 kt.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wednesday...
  Hazardous conditions for small craft may occur.
  Limited Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
Thursday...
  Limited Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
Friday...
  Limited Thunderstorm Risk.

Borchardt

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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 10, 5:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville
521 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

ILZ003-008-010-102315-
Winnebago IL-Ogle IL-Lee IL-
521 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Lee, Ogle and
Winnebago Counties through 615 PM CDT...

At 520 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Galena to Tampico. Additional scattered
strong storms were developing just southwest of the Rockford metro.
Movement was northeast at 40 mph. Additional organized stronger
storms, potentially reaching severe limits, will likely move into
this area after 6 to 630 PM.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rockford, Beloit, Loves Park, Machesney Park, Dixon, Roscoe,
Rochelle, South Beloit, Rockton, Byron, Oregon, Mount Morris, Amboy,
Polo, Rockford Airport, Cherry Valley, Winnebago, Davis Junction,
Pecatonica and Forreston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
north central Illinois.

&&

LAT...LON 4250 8894 4189 8894 4158 8924 4158 8963
      4193 8963 4193 8969 4220 8969 4220 8940
      4250 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 234DEG 37KT 4219 9018 4154 8972

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

FRIEDLEIN
Local storm report, Aug 10, 6:09 PM CDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
609 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ESE LOVES PARK        42.30N 89.01W
08/10/2021                   WINNEBAGO          IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            8-IN DIAMETER TREE DOWN ALONG SPRING BROOK
            ROAD WEST OF MULFORD ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY
            RADAR.

&&

WSL
Local storm report, Aug 10, 6:17 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
617 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E ROCKFORD            42.27N 89.05W
08/10/2021                   WINNEBAGO          IL   AMATEUR RADIO

            POWER LINES DOWNED ON STATE STREET NEAR PALM
            AVENUE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

WSL
Local storm report, Aug 10, 6:33 PM CDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
633 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NNW ROCHELLE          41.94N 89.07W
08/10/2021  M58 MPH          OGLE               IL   PUBLIC

            PRIVATE WEATHER STATION REPORTED 58 MPH GUST
            IN NORTHWEST ROCHELLE.

&&

WSL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Chicago, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage42 min
Aug 9, 8:21 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLOT114 min
Aug 9, 9:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLOTGrundy26 min
Aug 9, 9:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTKankakee, Will45 min
Aug 9, 10:06 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTWill54 min
Aug 9, 10:12 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLOT2 hr
Aug 10, 3:07 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryLOTBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy and 12 more28 hr
Aug 10, 5:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLOTLee, Ogle, Winnebago54 min
Aug 10, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee, Ogle, Winnebago81 min
Aug 10, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, LaSalle, Lee65 min
Aug 10, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, McHenry74 min
Aug 10, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTGrundy, Kane, Kendall82 min
Aug 10, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTCook, DuPage, Will95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.