Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 419
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 10, 2021, 2:08 PM CDT for 4 counties in Illinois; 34 counties in Iowa; 6 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 10, 2021, 2:08 PM CDT (19:08 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 10, 2021, 7:46 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 44 counties
Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Henry County, IA, Howard County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Henderson County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Warren County, IL, Adams County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Grant County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Richland County, WI, Vernon County, WI
The radar
The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Chickasaw, Fayette, Winneshiek | 50 min |
| Aug 10, 2:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer | 46 min |
| Aug 10, 2:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Allamakee, Clayton, Fayette, Winneshiek | 62 min |
| Aug 10, 2:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Buchanan | 50 min |
| Aug 10, 2:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk | 18 min |
| Aug 10, 3:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Marshall, Poweshiek, Tama | 60 min |
| Aug 10, 3:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Delaware, Dubuque | 23 min |
| Aug 10, 3:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Allamakee, Clayton | 52 min |
| Aug 10, 3:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Buchanan, Delaware, Linn | 50 min |
| Aug 10, 3:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Delaware, Dubuque | 31 min |
| Aug 10, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Buchanan, Iowa | 41 min |
| Aug 10, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Allamakee | 64 min |
| Aug 10, 4:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Delaware, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones, Linn | 56 min |
| Aug 10, 4:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Buchanan, Delaware, Linn | 36 min |
| Aug 10, 4:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar, Jackson, Jones, Linn | 52 min |
| Aug 10, 4:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ARX | Richland | 18 min |
| Aug 10, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Clinton, Jackson, Jones | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3755 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -67 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 819 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -37 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 4 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
181
WWUS20 KWNS 101904
SEL9
SPC WW 101904
IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-110100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 419
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Iowa
A small part of northwestern Illinois
Southwestern Wisconsin
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming across parts of central and
northeastern Iowa, and these storms have the potential to increase
in both coverage and intensity through the afternoon. The storm
environment appears favorable for storm clusters capable of
producing isolated significant severe outflow gusts to 75 mph and
isolated large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles north northwest
of Dubuque IA to 20 miles west southwest of Burlington IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 8:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bureau, Knox, LaSalle, Livingston, Marshall, Peoria and 4 more | 87 min |
| Aug 10, 10:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene and 9 more | 3 hr |
| Aug 10, 2:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin and 21 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 10, 3:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Kane, Lake and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 10, 3:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 15 more | 6 hr |
| Aug 10, 5:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess, Kane and 7 more | 84 min |
| Aug 10, 1:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 35 more | 93 min |
| Aug 10, 12:02 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashland, Bayfield, Iron, Sawyer, Vilas | 88 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.