Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 419

August 10, 20214 counties in Illinois; 34 counties in Iowa; 6 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 10, 2021, 2:08 PM CDT for 4 counties in Illinois; 34 counties in Iowa; 6 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2021, 2:08 PM CDT (19:08 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2021, 7:46 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 44 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Henry County, IA, Howard County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Henderson County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Warren County, IL, Adams County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Grant County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Richland County, WI, Vernon County, WI

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 2:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXChickasaw, Fayette, Winneshiek50 min
Aug 10, 2:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer46 min
Aug 10, 2:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAllamakee, Clayton, Fayette, Winneshiek62 min
Aug 10, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan50 min
Aug 10, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk18 min
Aug 10, 3:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Poweshiek, Tama60 min
Aug 10, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDelaware, Dubuque23 min
Aug 10, 3:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAllamakee, Clayton52 min
Aug 10, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware, Linn50 min
Aug 10, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDelaware, Dubuque31 min
Aug 10, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Buchanan, Iowa41 min
Aug 10, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAllamakee64 min
Aug 10, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDelaware, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones, Linn56 min
Aug 10, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Buchanan, Delaware, Linn36 min
Aug 10, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Jackson, Jones, Linn52 min
Aug 10, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXRichland18 min
Aug 10, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNClinton, Jackson, Jones45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3755 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -37 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3755 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
819 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

181 
WWUS20 KWNS 101904
SEL9  
SPC WW 101904
IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-110100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 419
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM CDT Tue Aug 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Iowa
  A small part of northwestern Illinois
  Southwestern Wisconsin

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until
  800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming across parts of central and
northeastern Iowa, and these storms have the potential to increase
in both coverage and intensity through the afternoon.  The storm
environment appears favorable for storm clusters capable of
producing isolated significant severe outflow gusts to 75 mph and
isolated large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles north northwest
of Dubuque IA to 20 miles west southwest of Burlington IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
27025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Knox, LaSalle, Livingston, Marshall, Peoria and 4 more87 min
Aug 10, 10:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene and 9 more3 hr
Aug 10, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin and 21 more2 hr
Aug 10, 3:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Kane, Lake and 6 more2 hr
Aug 10, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 15 more6 hr
Aug 10, 5:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess, Kane and 7 more84 min
Aug 10, 1:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 35 more93 min
Aug 10, 12:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Bayfield, Iron, Sawyer, Vilas88 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.