Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 335

July 6, 20215 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 6, 2021, 1:13 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 6, 2021, 1:13 PM EDT (17:13 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2021, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 56 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Greene County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

49 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 1:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Cortland, Onondaga, Tompkins26 min
Jul 6, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego38 min
Jul 6, 1:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Onondaga32 min
Jul 6, 1:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Tioga27 min
Jul 6, 1:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Chenango, Cortland, Onondaga, Tompkins33 min
Jul 6, 1:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Delaware, Otsego, Sullivan41 min
Jul 6, 1:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOneida21 min
Jul 6, 1:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango34 min
Jul 6, 2:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Cortland, Tioga, Tompkins45 min
Jul 6, 2:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOtsego21 min
Jul 6, 2:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chemung, Tioga, Tompkins34 min
Jul 6, 2:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung, Tioga31 min
Jul 6, 2:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie38 min
Jul 6, 2:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware35 min
Jul 6, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Delaware30 min
Jul 6, 2:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYUlster52 min
Jul 6, 2:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego, Tioga36 min
Jul 6, 2:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Madison, Oneida, Otsego46 min
Jul 6, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Sullivan45 min
Jul 6, 3:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYGreene, Schoharie39 min
Jul 6, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Delaware, Otsego, Tioga37 min
Jul 6, 3:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire63 min
Jul 6, 3:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire60 min
Jul 6, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSullivan23 min
Jul 6, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Columbia, Rensselaer37 min
Jul 6, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Susquehanna, Wyoming47 min
Jul 6, 3:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Sullivan24 min
Jul 6, 3:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Delaware, Sullivan63 min
Jul 6, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYDutchess, Ulster62 min
Jul 6, 3:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire56 min
Jul 6, 3:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampshire, Worcester56 min
Jul 6, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Luzerne, Pike, Susquehanna, Wayne, Wyoming39 min
Jul 6, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia24 min
Jul 6, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire49 min
Jul 6, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester40 min
Jul 6, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region45 min
Jul 6, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region55 min
Jul 6, 4:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Sullivan49 min
Jul 6, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region37 min
Jul 6, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester62 min
Jul 6, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCortland, Tioga, Tompkins30 min
Jul 6, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester33 min
Jul 6, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region60 min
Jul 6, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Cortland, Tioga, Tompkins34 min
Jul 6, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXEssex, Middlesex, Suffolk, Worcester62 min
Jul 6, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXNortheastern Connecticut Planning Region42 min
Jul 6, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Tioga48 min
Jul 6, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXNortheastern Connecticut Planning Region53 min
Jul 6, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXBristol, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 326 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 182 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
326 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-120 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
941 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
202 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

546 
WWUS20 KWNS 061710
SEL5  
SPC WW 061710
CTZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CWZ000-070000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 335
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
115 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Connecticut
  Massachusetts
  Southern New Hampshire
  Southern New York
  Northern Pennsylvania
  Rhode Island
  Southern Vermont
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 115 PM until
  800 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to develop and intensify
and generally move east-southeastward across the region through late
afternoon and early evening. Although some hail is possible,
damaging thunderstorm winds will be the most common hazard.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west of Elmira
NY to 25 miles southeast of Boston MA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 12:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 6, 1:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region8 hr
Jul 6, 4:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jul 5, 9:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCayuga, Jefferson, Lewis, Monroe, Oneida, Onondaga and 5 more2 hr
Jul 6, 5:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Queens and 3 more95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.