Alert archive / New Jersey / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 336

July 6, 20216 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 6, 2021, 1:32 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 6, 2021, 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2021, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 56 counties

Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Cecil County, MD, Harford County, MD, Kent County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Lebanon40 min
Jul 6, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Chester, Montgomery52 min
Jul 6, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe76 min
Jul 6, 4:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon33 min
Jul 6, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXPutnam32 min
Jul 6, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington49 min
Jul 6, 5:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMorris, Sussex, Warren60 min
Jul 6, 5:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIChester, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia41 min
Jul 6, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region40 min
Jul 6, 5:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren59 min
Jul 6, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region56 min
Jul 6, 5:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union37 min
Jul 6, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Somerset, Warren65 min
Jul 6, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Camden31 min
Jul 6, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset58 min
Jul 6, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region47 min
Jul 6, 6:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region27 min
Jul 6, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset64 min
Jul 6, 6:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXSuffolk47 min
Jul 6, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean and 1 more59 min
Jul 6, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean, Somerset61 min
Jul 6, 8:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren46 min
Jul 6, 8:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Somerset53 min
Jul 6, 8:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset40 min
Jul 6, 9:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXUnion60 min
Jul 6, 9:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset41 min
Jul 6, 9:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Somerset61 min
Jul 6, 9:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 230 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 139 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
230 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-195 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1202 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

729 
WWUS20 KWNS 061726
SEL6  
SPC WW 061726
CTZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-CWZ000-070200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 336
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Connecticut
  Delaware
  Eastern Maryland
  New Jersey
  Southern New York
  Eastern Pennsylvania
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
  1000 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms are expected to develop southeastward
into the region by late afternoon and early evening with damaging
winds as the primary risk.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Bridgeport CT to 20 miles south southwest of Wilmington DE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 335...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 12:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 6, 1:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region7 hr
Jul 6, 4:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jul 6, 5:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Middlesex, Morris and 5 more95 min
Jul 5, 9:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCayuga, Jefferson, Lewis, Monroe, Oneida, Onondaga and 5 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.