Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 302
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 21, 2021, 2:20 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 21, 2021, 2:20 PM EDT (18:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 21, 2021, 8:18 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 77 counties
Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Washington County, MD, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, Highland County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Grant County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Pendleton County, WV
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 3:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Frederick, Shenandoah, City of Winchester | 45 min |
| Jun 21, 3:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 42 min |
| Jun 21, 3:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Page, Shenandoah, Warren | 52 min |
| Jun 21, 3:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Washington | 46 min |
| Jun 21, 4:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Frederick, Shenandoah, Warren, City of Winchester | 39 min |
| Jun 21, 4:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Washington | 51 min |
| Jun 21, 4:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Page, Rappahannock, Warren | 27 min |
| Jun 21, 4:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick, Washington | 50 min |
| Jun 21, 4:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 49 min |
| Jun 21, 4:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Franklin | 59 min |
| Jun 21, 4:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre | 32 min |
| Jun 21, 4:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William | 32 min |
| Jun 21, 4:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga | 30 min |
| Jun 21, 4:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick | 28 min |
| Jun 21, 5:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery | 43 min |
| Jun 21, 5:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, York | 40 min |
| Jun 21, 5:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Lycoming | 37 min |
| Jun 21, 5:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick | 50 min |
| Jun 21, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William | 31 min |
| Jun 21, 5:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Sullivan, Tioga | 44 min |
| Jun 21, 5:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | York | 34 min |
| Jun 21, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's and 1 more | 46 min |
| Jun 21, 5:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 47 min |
| Jun 21, 6:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Cecil, Harford | 46 min |
| Jun 21, 6:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Sullivan | 15 min |
| Jun 21, 6:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, Howard, City of Baltimore | 47 min |
| Jun 21, 6:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Prince George's | 45 min |
| Jun 21, 6:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Garrett | 29 min |
| Jun 21, 6:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Cecil, Harford | 39 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 329 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -164 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 801 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 33 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 40 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
515 WWUS20 KWNS 211818 SEL2 SPC WW 211818 DCZ000-MDZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-CWZ000-220200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 302 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 220 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Western and Central Maryland Central Pennsylvania Northern Virginia Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms will move across the mountains into the watch area this afternoon, with damaging winds and hail possible in the strongest cells. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles east southeast of Elkins WV to 25 miles northeast of Williamsport PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 299...WW 300...WW 301... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 1:51 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Cecil, Frederick and 8 more | 114 min |
| Jun 21, 4:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Caroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 6 hr |
| Jun 21, 6:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Caroline, Cecil, Harford, Howard and 5 more | 60 min |
| Jun 21, 11:59 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 12 more | 91 min |
| Jun 21, 12:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Cambria, Cameron and 19 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 21, 3:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Pike, Susquehanna, Wayne and 1 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 21, 3:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Cambria, Cameron, Clearfield, Elk and 6 more | 58 min |
| Jun 21, 6:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradford, Carbon, Columbia, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Monroe and 6 more | 55 min |
| Jun 21, 5:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Scott, City of Bristol | 91 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.