Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 281
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 18, 2021, 9:09 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 18, 2021, 9:09 PM EDT (01:09 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 19, 2021, 3:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 67 counties
Clark County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Washington County, IN, Bath County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Carter County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Knott County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, Mason County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Pike County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Pike County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Warren County, OH, Cabell County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Mason County, WV, Putnam County, WV
The radar
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 9:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Adams, Brown, Clinton, Highland | 51 min |
| Jun 18, 9:11 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ILN | Dearborn, Ohio | 34 min |
| Jun 18, 9:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Campbell | 45 min |
| Jun 18, 9:16 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Clinton, Greene, Warren | 3 hr |
| Jun 18, 9:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Campbell, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Owen, Pendleton | 52 min |
| Jun 18, 9:26 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Butler, Montgomery, Warren | 3 hr |
| Jun 18, 9:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Ohio, Switzerland | 15 min |
| Jun 18, 9:32 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Clinton, Highland, Pike | 3 hr |
| Jun 18, 9:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Bracken, Campbell, Lewis, Mason, Pendleton, Robertson | 56 min |
| Jun 18, 9:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Harrison | 34 min |
| Jun 18, 10:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Fleming, Rowan | 51 min |
| Jun 18, 10:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Jefferson, Scott | 31 min |
| Jun 18, 10:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Lewis, Mason, Robertson | 41 min |
| Jun 18, 10:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Bath, Elliott, Fleming, Menifee, Morgan, Rowan | 49 min |
| Jun 18, 11:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Butler, Clermont, Hamilton, Warren | 42 min |
| Jun 18, 11:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | Elliott, Johnson, Magoffin, Morgan | 50 min |
| Jun 18, 11:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Jefferson | 33 min |
| Jun 18, 11:39 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Jefferson | 6 hr |
| Jun 18, 11:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILN | Brown, Clermont, Clinton, Highland, Warren | 19 min |
| Jun 19, 12:22 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Trimble | 6 hr |
| Jun 19, 12:23 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Carroll, Owen | 4 hr |
| Jun 19, 1:05 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Henry | 6 hr |
| Jun 19, 1:28 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILN | Switzerland | 4 hr |
| Jun 19, 1:51 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Henry | 5 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2257 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -56 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1236 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 214 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 240 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.9
- Supercell composite
- 17.6
The text
As transmitted.
226 WWUS20 KWNS 190107 SEL1 SPC WW 190107 INZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-WVZ000-190700- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 281 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 910 PM EDT Fri Jun 18 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Indiana Northern Kentucky Southern Ohio Western West Virginia * Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 910 PM until 300 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to move south-southeastward across the region this evening, and possibly into the overnight, with damaging winds and some severe hail as the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of Louisville KY to 30 miles southeast of Athens OH. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 279...WW 280... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector 30035. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 8:53 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Clark, Daviess, Dearborn, Decatur and 21 more | 67 min |
| Jun 19, 1:02 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Boone, Brown, Clay, Clinton, Daviess and 25 more | 88 min |
| Jun 19, 3:10 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bartholomew, Brown, Clay, Fountain, Greene, Hendricks and 15 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 18, 11:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bath, Boyd, Carter, Elliott, Fleming, Lawrence and 3 more | 96 min |
| Jun 19, 7:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Columbiana, Geauga, Jefferson, Mahoning, Portage and 3 more | 83 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.