Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1005

June 19, 202131 counties in Indiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 19, 2021, 1:02 AM EDT for 31 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 88 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2021, 1:02 AM EDT (05:02 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2021, 2:30 AM EDT
In force
88 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 280
All 31 counties

Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Vigo County, IN

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2021-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2257 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2021-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 214 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2257 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1236 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
214 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
240 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.9
Supercell composite
17.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

363 
ACUS11 KWNS 190503
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190502 
INZ000-190630-

Mesoscale Discussion 1005
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 AM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

Areas affected...central IN

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 280...

Valid 190502Z - 190630Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 280
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues for WW 280, and a
local watch extension may be needed to cover the short term
potential.

DISCUSSION...Latest mesoanalysis shows moderate buoyancy and ample
shear remaining in place across much of the watch area, with
strong/intermittently severe storms ongoing as of 0450z.  Latest
high-res guidance suggests some severe threat will continue in the
short term, likely requiring a local watch extension beyond the 06z
scheduled expiration.  

Upstream, severe thunderstorms are expected to evolve into a bowing
segment, possibly requiring a new ww for portions of
western/southern IN in the pre-dawn hours.

..Bunting.. 06/19/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND...

LAT...LON   40288529 40148485 39608538 39208552 39008565 38848611
            38768642 38698683 38588711 38988752 40058744 40348742
            40288529

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 8:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Daviess, Dearborn, Decatur and 21 more67 min
Jun 18, 9:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Dearborn, Franklin, Jefferson, Ohio, Ripley and 3 more6 hr
Jun 19, 3:10 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clay, Fountain, Greene, Hendricks and 15 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.