Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 212

May 26, 202116 counties in Kansas; 34 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 26, 2021, 6:07 PM CDT for 16 counties in Kansas; 34 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2021, 6:07 PM CDT (23:07 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 50 counties

Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Washington County, KS, Adams County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Butler County, NE, Clay County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Logan County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Polk County, NE, Saline County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 7:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas31 min
May 26, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Harlan, Kearney, Phelps45 min
May 26, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHooker, Logan, McPherson, Thomas43 min
May 26, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDRooks47 min
May 26, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas, Gosper44 min
May 26, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDRooks37 min
May 26, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas, Harlan30 min
May 26, 10:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith35 min
May 26, 11:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Rooks, Smith26 min
May 26, 11:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell52 min
May 27, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Republic30 min
May 27, 12:18 AM CDTTornado WarningTOPDickinson, Morris13 min
May 27, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Republic33 min
May 27, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMorris46 min
May 27, 12:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPGeary, Wabaunsee47 min
May 27, 1:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Republic33 min
May 27, 1:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic, Washington23 min
May 27, 1:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Republic, Washington49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 141 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2021 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

735 
WWUS20 KWNS 262305
SEL2  
SPC WW 262305
KSZ000-NEZ000-270700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 212
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
605 PM CDT Wed May 26 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Kansas
  Central and southern Nebraska

* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 605 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms are expected to move into
southern and western portions of the watch area in the next couple
hours, with upscale expansion into severe convective complex(es)
through the evening.  A tornado or two may occur in the southern and
western parts of the watch.  The bulk of the area will be under a
dominant threat for severe wind and large to locally very large
hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles south
southwest of Broken Bow NE to 25 miles north northeast of Manhattan
KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...WW 206...WW
207...WW 208...WW 209...WW 210...WW 211...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
27030.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 10:14 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas61 min
May 26, 1:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Cheyenne, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Finney and 31 more88 min
May 26, 3:11 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarton, Ellsworth, Lincoln, McPherson, Reno, Rice and 2 more8 hr
May 26, 4:42 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBarber, Cheyenne, Clark, Comanche, Decatur, Edwards and 29 more8 hr
May 26, 5:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Cloud, Decatur, Ellis, Ellsworth, Graham and 13 more2 hr
May 26, 12:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Banner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Deuel and 5 more2 hr
May 26, 2:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Banner, Box Butte, Cherry, Cheyenne, Dawes and 11 more8 hr
May 26, 6:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sheridan, Sioux87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.