Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 207
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 26, 2021, 1:27 PM MDT for 17 counties in Nebraska; Bennett County, Fall River County, Oglala Lakota County, South Dakota; 7 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 26, 2021, 1:27 PM MDT (19:27 UTC)
- Expired
- May 26, 2021, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 27 counties
Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Kimball County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Bennett County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Campbell County, WY, Converse County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Weston County, WY
The radar
The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 176 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Keith, Lincoln | 40 min |
| May 26, 3:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Box Butte, Dawes, Sioux | 37 min |
| May 26, 3:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Dawes | 40 min |
| May 26, 3:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Campbell, Crook, Weston | 63 min |
| May 26, 3:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Logan, McPherson | 42 min |
| May 26, 3:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Dawes | 45 min |
| May 26, 4:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Crook, Weston | 46 min |
| May 26, 4:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Niobrara | 25 min |
| May 26, 4:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Box Butte, Dawes | 51 min |
| May 26, 4:47 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Sioux | 28 min |
| May 26, 5:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Sheridan | 42 min |
| May 26, 5:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Cheyenne, Morrill | 33 min |
| May 26, 5:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Banner | 34 min |
| May 26, 5:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Box Butte, Sioux | 34 min |
| May 26, 5:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Cheyenne | 30 min |
| May 26, 6:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Box Butte | 49 min |
| May 26, 6:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Banner, Kimball | 13 min |
| May 26, 6:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Cherry, Sheridan | 47 min |
| May 26, 7:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Keith, Perkins | 40 min |
| May 26, 7:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Arthur, Keith, Lincoln, McPherson | 36 min |
| May 26, 7:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Keith, Lincoln, Perkins | 46 min |
| May 26, 8:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Hooker, Logan, McPherson, Thomas | 43 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 797 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 48 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 366 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
464
WWUS20 KWNS 261923
SEL7
SPC WW 261923
NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-270300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 207
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
125 PM MDT Wed May 26 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Nebraska
Southwest South Dakota
Eastern Wyoming
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 125 PM
until 900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop and intensity this
afternoon over eastern Wyoming and spread eastward across the watch.
Very large hail and damaging winds are expected with the most
intense cells. An isolated tornado or two are also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles northwest of
Chadron NE to 20 miles east southeast of Sidney NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...WW 206...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 9:14 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dundy, Hitchcock, Red Willow | 61 min |
| May 26, 11:45 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arthur, Banner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Deuel and 5 more | 2 hr |
| May 26, 3:42 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Chase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Lincoln and 2 more | 8 hr |
| May 26, 4:44 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arthur, Chase, Cheyenne, Deuel, Dundy, Franklin and 13 more | 2 hr |
| May 26, 5:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Blaine, Buffalo, Butler, Clay, Custer and 28 more | 8 hr |
| May 26, 5:48 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Box Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sheridan, Sioux | 87 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.