Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 207

May 26, 202117 counties in Nebraska; Bennett County, Fall River County, Oglala Lakota County, South Dakota; 7 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 26, 2021, 1:27 PM MDT for 17 counties in Nebraska; Bennett County, Fall River County, Oglala Lakota County, South Dakota; 7 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2021, 1:27 PM MDT (19:27 UTC)
Expired
May 26, 2021, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 27 counties

Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Kimball County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Bennett County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Campbell County, WY, Converse County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 176 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 2:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith, Lincoln40 min
May 26, 3:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Dawes, Sioux37 min
May 26, 3:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes40 min
May 26, 3:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell, Crook, Weston63 min
May 26, 3:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLogan, McPherson42 min
May 26, 3:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes45 min
May 26, 4:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCrook, Weston46 min
May 26, 4:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSNiobrara25 min
May 26, 4:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Dawes51 min
May 26, 4:47 PM MDTTornado WarningCYSSioux28 min
May 26, 5:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFSheridan42 min
May 26, 5:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCheyenne, Morrill33 min
May 26, 5:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner34 min
May 26, 5:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Sioux34 min
May 26, 5:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCheyenne30 min
May 26, 6:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte49 min
May 26, 6:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Kimball13 min
May 26, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Sheridan47 min
May 26, 7:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith, Perkins40 min
May 26, 7:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Keith, Lincoln, McPherson36 min
May 26, 7:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith, Lincoln, Perkins46 min
May 26, 8:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHooker, Logan, McPherson, Thomas43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 48 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
797 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
366 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

464 
WWUS20 KWNS 261923
SEL7  
SPC WW 261923
NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-270300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 207
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
125 PM MDT Wed May 26 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western Nebraska
  Southwest South Dakota
  Eastern Wyoming

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 125 PM
  until 900 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop and intensity this
afternoon over eastern Wyoming and spread eastward across the watch.
 Very large hail and damaging winds are expected with the most
intense cells.  An isolated tornado or two are also possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles northwest of
Chadron NE to 20 miles east southeast of Sidney NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...WW 206...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 9:14 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDundy, Hitchcock, Red Willow61 min
May 26, 11:45 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Banner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Deuel and 5 more2 hr
May 26, 3:42 PM MDTTornado Watch PDSSPCChase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Lincoln and 2 more8 hr
May 26, 4:44 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Chase, Cheyenne, Deuel, Dundy, Franklin and 13 more2 hr
May 26, 5:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Blaine, Buffalo, Butler, Clay, Custer and 28 more8 hr
May 26, 5:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Dawes, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sheridan, Sioux87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.