Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 153

May 8, 202117 counties in Kansas; 10 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 8, 2021, 4:00 PM CDT for 17 counties in Kansas; 10 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2021, 4:00 PM CDT (21:00 UTC)
Expired
May 8, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Barton County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Ness County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Smith County, KS, Trego County, KS, Adams County, NE, Clay County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 148 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHodgeman, Ness45 min
May 8, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Ness, Rush46 min
May 8, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Nuckolls, Webster51 min
May 8, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer24 min
May 8, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin26 min
May 8, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Rush39 min
May 8, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis37 min
May 8, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Webster47 min
May 8, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Franklin, Webster12 min
May 8, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne, Rooks29 min
May 8, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis21 min
May 8, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Nuckolls, Webster44 min
May 8, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Rush41 min
May 8, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne39 min
May 8, 7:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Thayer40 min
May 8, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Smith43 min
May 8, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton, Ellsworth, Russell39 min
May 8, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDThayer46 min
May 8, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDThayer34 min
May 8, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith32 min
May 8, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Lincoln, Saline67 min
May 8, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Lincoln58 min
May 8, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSaline43 min
May 8, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Webster51 min
May 8, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Lincoln, Saline62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2021-05-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2021-05-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -29 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-649 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2080 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

974 
WWUS20 KWNS 082058
SEL3  
SPC WW 082058
KSZ000-NEZ000-090200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 153
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Sat May 8 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Parts of central and north central Kansas
  South central Nebraska

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected by about 5 pm CDT in
Kansas, with additional storms likely to form this evening into
southern Nebraska.  More isolated supercells with large hail and
damaging winds will be the main threat initially, with some
potential for upscale growth into a cluster toward 8-9 pm CDT.  A
tornado cannot be ruled out later this evening with any supercells
that persist near the surface warm front.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles south southwest
of Russell KS to 115 miles north of Russell KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 3:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Ellis, Ellsworth, Jewell, Lincoln, Mitchell and 7 more2 hr
May 8, 6:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Barton, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson and 29 more114 min
May 8, 6:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Douglas, Franklin, Geary and 12 more7 hr
May 8, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Marshall, Nemaha6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.