Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 153
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 8, 2021, 4:00 PM CDT for 17 counties in Kansas; 10 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 8, 2021, 4:00 PM CDT (21:00 UTC)
- Expired
- May 8, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 27 counties
Barton County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Ness County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Smith County, KS, Trego County, KS, Adams County, NE, Clay County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 148 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Hodgeman, Ness | 45 min |
| May 8, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ellis, Ness, Rush | 46 min |
| May 8, 5:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Franklin, Nuckolls, Webster | 51 min |
| May 8, 5:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Fillmore, Thayer | 24 min |
| May 8, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Franklin | 26 min |
| May 8, 6:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ellis, Rush | 39 min |
| May 8, 6:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ellis | 37 min |
| May 8, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Nuckolls, Webster | 47 min |
| May 8, 6:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Adams, Franklin, Webster | 12 min |
| May 8, 6:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne, Rooks | 29 min |
| May 8, 6:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ellis | 21 min |
| May 8, 6:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Clay, Nuckolls, Webster | 44 min |
| May 8, 6:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ellis, Rush | 41 min |
| May 8, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne | 39 min |
| May 8, 7:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Nuckolls, Thayer | 40 min |
| May 8, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Smith | 43 min |
| May 8, 7:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Barton, Ellsworth, Russell | 39 min |
| May 8, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Thayer | 46 min |
| May 8, 7:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Thayer | 34 min |
| May 8, 7:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith | 32 min |
| May 8, 8:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, Lincoln, Saline | 67 min |
| May 8, 8:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, Lincoln | 58 min |
| May 8, 8:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Saline | 43 min |
| May 8, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Franklin, Webster | 51 min |
| May 8, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, Lincoln, Saline | 62 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -649 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2080 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 52 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
974
WWUS20 KWNS 082058
SEL3
SPC WW 082058
KSZ000-NEZ000-090200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 153
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Sat May 8 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of central and north central Kansas
South central Nebraska
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected by about 5 pm CDT in
Kansas, with additional storms likely to form this evening into
southern Nebraska. More isolated supercells with large hail and
damaging winds will be the main threat initially, with some
potential for upscale growth into a cluster toward 8-9 pm CDT. A
tornado cannot be ruled out later this evening with any supercells
that persist near the surface warm front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles south southwest
of Russell KS to 115 miles north of Russell KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 3:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Ellis, Ellsworth, Jewell, Lincoln, Mitchell and 7 more | 2 hr |
| May 8, 6:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Barton, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson and 29 more | 114 min |
| May 8, 6:30 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Douglas, Franklin, Geary and 12 more | 7 hr |
| May 8, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Doniphan, Marshall, Nemaha | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.