Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 112
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 27, 2021, 11:45 AM MDT for 14 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 27, 2021, 11:45 AM MDT (17:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 27, 2021, 7:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Douglas County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO
The radar
The Denver radar (KFTG), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 12:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Weld | 26 min |
| Apr 27, 1:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 31 min |
| Apr 27, 2:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Elbert | 28 min |
| Apr 27, 2:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 52 min |
| Apr 27, 2:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Morgan | 32 min |
| Apr 27, 2:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 41 min |
| Apr 27, 3:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Morgan, Washington | 32 min |
| Apr 27, 3:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 47 min |
| Apr 27, 3:41 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 34 min |
| Apr 27, 4:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson | 57 min |
| Apr 27, 4:06 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 24 min |
| Apr 27, 4:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 33 min |
| Apr 27, 4:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan, Morgan, Washington | 17 min |
| Apr 27, 4:31 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 29 min |
| Apr 27, 4:36 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 24 min |
| Apr 27, 4:40 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 35 min |
| Apr 27, 4:47 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Kit Carson, Yuma | 43 min |
| Apr 27, 5:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 32 min |
| Apr 27, 5:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 29 min |
| Apr 27, 5:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Washington | 26 min |
| Apr 27, 5:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson, Yuma | 26 min |
| Apr 27, 6:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson, Yuma | 67 min |
| Apr 27, 6:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 50 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 42 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3214 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 67 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 51 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 72 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
685
WWUS20 KWNS 271740
SEL2
SPC WW 271740
COZ000-280100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 112
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM MDT Tue Apr 27 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
* Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1145 AM until
700 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity
through the afternoon, with the strongest cells capable of large
hail. An isolated tornado or two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles northwest of
Limon CO to 45 miles north of Burlington CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 11:15 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Arapahoe, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan and 5 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 27, 2:32 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Arapahoe, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan and 6 more | 118 min |
| Apr 27, 4:24 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Phillips, Washington, Yuma | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.