Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 112

April 27, 202114 counties in Colorado

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 27, 2021, 11:45 AM MDT for 14 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2021, 11:45 AM MDT (17:45 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2021, 7:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Douglas County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO

The radar

The Denver radar (KFTG), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 12:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Weld26 min
Apr 27, 1:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld31 min
Apr 27, 2:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert28 min
Apr 27, 2:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln52 min
Apr 27, 2:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Morgan32 min
Apr 27, 2:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln41 min
Apr 27, 3:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Morgan, Washington32 min
Apr 27, 3:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULincoln47 min
Apr 27, 3:41 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln34 min
Apr 27, 4:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson57 min
Apr 27, 4:06 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDCheyenne24 min
Apr 27, 4:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULincoln33 min
Apr 27, 4:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan, Morgan, Washington17 min
Apr 27, 4:31 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDCheyenne29 min
Apr 27, 4:36 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln24 min
Apr 27, 4:40 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDKit Carson35 min
Apr 27, 4:47 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDKit Carson, Yuma43 min
Apr 27, 5:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne32 min
Apr 27, 5:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma29 min
Apr 27, 5:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington26 min
Apr 27, 5:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson, Yuma26 min
Apr 27, 6:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson, Yuma67 min
Apr 27, 6:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 42 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3214 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

685 
WWUS20 KWNS 271740
SEL2  
SPC WW 271740
COZ000-280100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 112
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM MDT Tue Apr 27 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Colorado

* Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1145 AM until
  700 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity
through the afternoon, with the strongest cells capable of large
hail.  An isolated tornado or two is also possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles northwest of
Limon CO to 45 miles north of Burlington CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 11:15 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan and 5 more3 hr
Apr 27, 2:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan and 6 more118 min
Apr 27, 4:24 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Phillips, Washington, Yuma2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.