Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1104

June 25, 20219 counties in Oklahoma; Childress County, Collingsworth County, Hall County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 25, 2021, 8:49 PM CDT for 9 counties in Oklahoma; Childress County, Collingsworth County, Hall County, Texas. It was in force for 86 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2021, 8:49 PM CDT (01:49 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2021, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
86 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 315...318

Counties Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Major County, OK, Washita County, OK, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Hall County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-06-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 957 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-06-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 295 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
957 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-173 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1729 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
295 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
439 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

018 
ACUS11 KWNS 260149
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260149 
OKZ000-TXZ000-260315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1104
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0849 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

Areas affected...Southeastern TX Panhandle...western OK

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 315...318...

Valid 260149Z - 260315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 315, 318
continues.

SUMMARY...Hail and wind remain possible across western Oklahoma into
the eastern Texas Panhandle.

DISCUSSION...Cloud tops have gradually cooled across south-central
KS, south into the eastern TX Panhandle. Radar data suggests an MCV
may be forming near DDC, and this appears to be aiding the southward
frontal surge across the northern TX Panhandle. Convection has
struggled to advance appreciably east into OK, but the evolving MCV
and frontal surge are likely indicators this activity is going to
move across central into eastern portions of ww318 over the next
several hours. More isolated activity extends southwest to near PVW
where large hail has been noted at times.

..Darrow.. 06/26/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   34809959 34140075 34650132 35599974 36529850 36029778
            34809959

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 11:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEllis, Roger Mills84 min
Jun 25, 11:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa, Washington63 min
Jun 25, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Custer and 11 more5 hr
Jun 26, 1:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer, Grady and 7 more67 min
Jun 26, 12:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin and 12 more2 hr
Jun 26, 3:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarmon2 hr
Jun 26, 3:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCaddo, Carter, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Grady and 10 more9 hr
Jun 26, 6:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCComanche, Cotton, Grady, Jackson, Jefferson, McClain and 2 more93 min
Jun 26, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBailey, Briscoe, Castro, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hall and 6 more8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.