Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1083

June 24, 20216 counties in Colorado; 12 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 24, 2021, 5:31 PM MDT for 6 counties in Colorado; 12 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2021, 5:31 PM MDT (23:31 UTC)
Expired
Jun 24, 2021, 7:30 PM MDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 310

Counties Cheyenne County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-06-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-06-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2028 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

543 
ACUS11 KWNS 242332
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242331 
KSZ000-COZ000-250130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1083
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0631 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

Areas affected...eastern Colorado/western Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310...

Valid 242331Z - 250130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe weather risk -- mainly in the form of large hail,
along with the possibility of locally damaging wind gusts --
continues across WW 210.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows isolated strong/severe storms
-- including a left/right pair of storms originating from an earlier
supercell split near the Kiowa/Prowers County border in eastern
Colorado -- continuing across portions of WW 210.  The storms are
occurring in a low-level easterly/upslope flow regime north of the
southeastern Colorado/southwestern Kansas baroclinic zone, where
ample high-based CAPE continues to support isolated/vigorous
updrafts.

The low-level easterlies are also contributing to sufficient shear
for supercells -- as evidenced by the aforementioned splitting
updraft.  As such, expect continued risk for large hail, and perhaps
locally damaging winds -- particularly if additional storms can
congeal near outflow now moving southeastward/southward across
portions of eastern Colorado.

..Goss.. 06/24/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   38360328 38660388 40110358 40050265 39890188 39940071
            38540042 37750097 37900205 38360328

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 1:49 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Washington, Yuma116 min
Jun 24, 3:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Prowers and 2 more6 hr
Jun 24, 12:36 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Nemaha114 min
Jun 24, 1:20 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Nemaha6 hr
Jun 24, 1:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson, Leavenworth and 7 more3 hr
Jun 24, 2:14 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGray, Haskell, Meade, Seward91 min
Jun 24, 2:44 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Doniphan, Jackson and 8 more5 hr
Jun 24, 4:30 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Clay, Cloud, Doniphan, Marshall, Nemaha and 5 more60 min
Jun 24, 5:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDoniphan, Wyandotte56 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.