Areal Flood Warning 22, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1105 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

.UPDATE...
MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Precip finally making an exit to the east and cold front sweeping
through area now west to east. Should have gusty winds this
afternoon across the area as High Pressure fills in. Wind
advisory continues in the mountains until 2pm. These stronger
winds are mainly a pre-frontal threat, so frontal passage will
offer some gusty winds, but for the higher elevations, the winds
will actually decrease, so 2pm expiration looks fine.

Temperatures will likely be dropping this afternoon as the cooler
air moves in--might be offset by diurnal heating somewhat, but
will take a while for clouds to erode from the west, so even
diurnal heating will be muted.

GM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

For the next hour, a line of showers and some embedded
thunderstorms will move east of the terminals. Lower ceilings and
visibilities will continue mainly MVFR conditions but possibly
IFR for an hour. Showers will persist through late morning behind
initial line with mainly MVFR conditions. Gusty west to northwest
winds to about 20 knots will continue through most of the day.
Skies will begin to clear from the southwest between about 18 and
00Z. VFR conditions from about 22Z through the end of the TAF
period with winds decreasing after 00Z this evening.

TD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             69  40  64  46  70 /   0   0   0  10  10
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  67  35  60  40  71 /  10   0   0  10  10
Oak Ridge, TN                       66  37  61  41  70 /  10   0   0  10  10
Tri Cities Airport, TN              66  34  60  36  70 /  40  10   0  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for Cherokee-Clay.

TN...Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for
     Anderson-Bledsoe-Blount Smoky Mountains-Bradley-Campbell-
     Claiborne-Cocke Smoky Mountains-East Polk-Grainger-Hamblen-
     Hamilton-Hancock-Hawkins-Jefferson-Johnson-Knox-Loudon-
     Marion-McMinn-Meigs-Morgan-North Sevier-Northwest Blount-
     Northwest Carter-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-Northwest
     Monroe-Rhea-Roane-Scott-Sequatchie-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
     Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast Monroe-Sullivan-
     Unicoi-Union-Washington-West Polk.

     Wind Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for Blount Smoky
     Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Johnson-Sevier Smoky
     Mountains-Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast
     Monroe-Unicoi.

VA...Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for Lee-Russell-
     Scott-Washington-Wise.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
340 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-290730-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-
Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-Southeast Greene-
Washington-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-
Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-Blount Smoky Mountains-
North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-
McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-
West Polk-East Polk-Lee-Wise-Russell-
340 AM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021 /240 AM CDT Sun Mar 28 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A line of showers and strong thunderstorms will sweep rapidly
across the entire area this morning. The primary threat will be
damaging winds, but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. A
threat of flooding will also continue across much of the area
today as more showers and storms move over the same areas that
were hit Saturday and overnight. The heavy downpours could lead to
flash flooding across the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A cold airmass will move into the eastern Tennessee Valley and
Southern Appalachians Wednesday night through Thursday night.
Below freezing temperatures are expected over northern sections
Thursday morning. Much colder temperatures are forecast for Friday
morning with a hard freeze over all but the extreme southern
Tennessee Valley.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports may be needed today for damaging wind gusts and
flooding reports.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1107 AM EDT SUN MAR 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1103 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NE HOT HOUSE          35.05N 84.19W
03/28/2021                   CHEROKEE           NC   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: RIVER/CREEK OVERFLOWING;
            CROPLAND/YARD/BASEMENT FLOODING.

&&

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