Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2021
Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at May 31, 2021, 8:37 AM CDT for Terrell County, Texas. It was in force for 68 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 31, 2021, 8:37 AM CDT (13:37 UTC)
- Expired
- May 31, 2021, 9:45 AM CDT
- In force
- 68 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
County Terrell County, TX
The radar
The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 161 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 382 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -145 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 628 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 176 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 393 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 4.1
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 31, 6:41 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 31, 6:41 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
641 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021
.DISCUSSION...
Please see the 12Z aviation discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
MVFR ceilings have overspread much of the region this morning,
with brief deterioration to IFR possible within the first couple
hours of the forecast period. A thunderstorm moving east toward
PEQ this morning may possibly impact INK, with erratic gusty
winds, heavy rain, and lightning possible. Another more widespread
round of thunderstorms is possible this afternoon/tonight, however
confidence is currently too low in TS timing/location to include
mention. Ceilings will gradually lift to VFR between 15-17Z at
all but MAF, where low ceilings may persist until 18-20Z this
afternoon. Winds will generally vary between NE/SE when not
impacted by storms or outflow boundaries.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 256 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021/
DISCUSSION...
We are looking at continued chances for severe weather and heavy
rain this Memorial Day.
Weak convection and widespread clouds that occurred across much of
the area yesterday really hampered instability and thus there were
much fewer storms. Currently we see strong storms and very heavy
rain from Gail to Snyder. These storms are likely producing areas
of flash flooding. We have extended the current Flash Flood Watch
into this evening for the northern and eastern Permian Basin.
There is much less confidence further south and we have not see
rain in the Midland/Odessa area for a couple days. This watch
could be expanded south at a later time.
Hi-res models aren't handling current convection very well and
however the morning storms and associated outflow boundaries
evolve will greatly affect what happens this afternoon. If
convection continues across the Permian Basin this morning we may
see very little in the way of storms there this afternoon. We will
have to wait and see. However, further south it appears we will
see quite a bit of heating which should lead to very unstable
conditions. More storms will likely develop across the higher
terrain and move east onto the plains. All modes of severe weather
including large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes are
possible with these storms. Heavy rain continues to be a threat as
well and areas of flash flooding remain a concern. These storms
will likely grow upscale into one or more convective systems as
they move east.
As we head into midweek, upper troughing will remain over the
area with a chance for storms each day. The widespread severe
weather threat will decrease while the heavy rain and flooding
threat continues, especially if we see a lot of rain over the next
24 hours. Temperatures will remain well below normal in this
pattern with highs in the 70's and 80's for much of this week.
Storm chances become more scattered by next weekend as
temperatures warm back to near normal.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 76 62 76 62 / 70 50 30 40
Carlsbad 83 63 81 62 / 60 30 40 40
Dryden 85 68 83 66 / 40 40 60 50
Fort Stockton 86 64 79 62 / 60 30 60 50
Guadalupe Pass 81 57 76 58 / 40 20 40 40
Hobbs 78 59 77 59 / 80 40 40 40
Marfa 86 60 81 56 / 40 20 70 40
Midland Intl Airport 78 62 77 62 / 60 40 40 40
Odessa 79 62 78 62 / 60 40 40 40
Wink 85 63 81 63 / 60 30 40 40
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for Borden-Dawson-Gaines-
Glasscock-Howard-Martin-Mitchell-Scurry.
&&
29/84Hazardous weather outlook, May 31, 3:06 AM CDT, 5 hours 31 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 306 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-010815- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 306 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021 /206 AM MDT Mon May 31 2021/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible once again today into tonight. Large hail, damaging winds, and heavy rain resulting in flash flooding are the main concerns. An isolated tornado will also be possible. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for northern and eastern portions of the Permian Basin until early this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible Tuesday and Wednesday, with storm chances persisting through the end of the week. The strongest storms will be capable of producing large hail and damaging winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is anticipated beginning this afternoon. Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 31, 6:30 AM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 630 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021 TXZ059-067-274-311215- Loving TX-Ward TX-Reeves County Plains TX- 630 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN REEVES... NORTHWESTERN WARD...SOUTHWESTERN WINKLER AND SOUTHEASTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 715 AM CDT... At 630 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12 miles north of Toyah, moving east at 30 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Pecos, Mentone, Barstow and Pecos Municipal Airport. This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 32 and 56. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3134 10391 3160 10396 3190 10342 3143 10324 TIME...MOT...LOC 1130Z 249DEG 28KT 3149 10380 29
Special weather statement, May 31, 7:06 AM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
706 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021
NMZ034-TXZ059-060-067-311245-
Southern Lea County NM-Loving TX-Ward TX-Winkler TX-
706 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LEA...NORTHWESTERN
WARD...WINKLER AND EASTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 745 AM CDT/645 AM
MDT/...
At 705 AM CDT/605 AM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 9 miles east of Mentone, moving northeast at 35 mph.
Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Kermit, Jal, Wink, Jal Airport, Bennett, Slash Ranch, Monahans
Sandhills State Park and Winkler County Airport.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3226 10316 3219 10308 3208 10307 3208 10296
3197 10286 3164 10281 3154 10344 3160 10348
3163 10351 3165 10354 3182 10366
TIME...MOT...LOC 1205Z 246DEG 28KT 3168 10343
29Special weather statement, May 31, 7:46 AM CDT, 51 minutes before
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</html>Special weather statement, May 31, 8:23 AM CDT, 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 723 AM MDT Mon May 31 2021 NMZ028-311400- Eddy County Plains NM- 723 AM MDT Mon May 31 2021 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTY UNTIL 800 AM MDT... At 723 AM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8 miles west of Artesia, moving north at 35 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Artesia, Hope, Atoka, Dayton, Artesia Municipal Airport and Lakewood. LAT...LON 3296 10480 3296 10418 3261 10434 3263 10482 TIME...MOT...LOC 1323Z 199DEG 31KT 3287 10455 88
Special weather statement, May 31, 8:33 AM CDT, 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 833 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021 TXZ050-060-061-311415- Andrews TX-Ector TX-Winkler TX- 833 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN ECTOR...SOUTH CENTRAL ANDREWS AND EASTERN WINKLER COUNTIES UNTIL 915 AM CDT... At 833 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8 miles southwest of Goldsmith, or 21 miles east of Kermit, moving northeast at 25 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Odessa, Goldsmith, West Odessa, Notrees and Odessa Schlemeyer Field. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3173 10293 3196 10305 3224 10244 3196 10229 TIME...MOT...LOC 1333Z 243DEG 23KT 3192 10273 88
Special weather statement, May 31, 8:37 AM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
837 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021
TXZ082-311445-
Terrell TX-
837 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN PECOS AND
NORTHEASTERN TERRELL COUNTIES UNTIL 945 AM CDT...
At 837 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles west of Terrell County Gas Plant, or 24 miles north of Dryden,
moving east at 30 mph.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Terrell County Gas Plant.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3052 10168 3047 10169 3046 10170 3047 10173
3044 10172 3042 10174 3040 10170 3034 10166
3035 10170 3032 10174 3027 10234 3060 10234
3060 10214 3065 10213 3066 10176 3064 10168
3055 10165
TIME...MOT...LOC 1337Z 260DEG 27KT 3040 10209
88The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 7:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Scurry | 35 min |
| May 30, 8:30 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | 45 min | |
| May 30, 9:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Cochran | 44 min |
| May 30, 9:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Borden | 40 min |
| May 30, 10:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Dawson | 42 min |
| May 30, 10:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Borden | 15 min |
| May 30, 11:13 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Borden, Dawson | 2 hr |
| May 31, 12:08 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 112 min |
| May 31, 12:46 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Dawson | 3 hr |
| May 31, 1:31 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Borden | 44 min |
| May 31, 2:08 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Borden, Dawson, Scurry | 3 hr |
| May 31, 2:11 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 64 min |
| May 31, 2:24 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 3 hr |
| May 31, 4:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Culberson | 51 min |
| May 31, 5:01 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Culberson | 59 min |
| May 31, 5:28 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Mitchell | 47 min |
| May 31, 5:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Culberson, Reeves | 38 min |
| May 31, 6:30 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Loving | 45 min |
| May 31, 7:06 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Loving, Winkler | 39 min |
| May 31, 7:46 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Winkler | 44 min |
| May 31, 8:33 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Ector | 42 min |
| May 31, 8:39 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Loving | 51 min |
| May 31, 9:30 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Winkler | 45 min |
| May 31, 9:54 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Culberson | 2 hr |
| May 31, 10:20 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Ector | 40 min |
| May 31, 10:23 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MAF | Scurry | 4 hr |
| May 31, 10:27 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Dawson, Scurry | 4 hr |
| May 31, 10:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland | 59 min |
| May 31, 10:51 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Ector, Midland | 3 hr |
| May 31, 11:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Glasscock, Martin, Midland | 64 min |
| May 31, 11:51 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Midland | 3 hr |
| May 31, 12:27 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Mitchell, Scurry | 3 hr |
| May 31, 12:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Howard | 39 min |
| May 31, 12:57 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Howard | 2 hr |
| May 31, 2:06 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Loving | 24 min |
| May 31, 2:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 51 min |
| May 31, 2:28 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Loving | 32 min |
| May 31, 2:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos | 60 min |
| May 31, 2:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Culberson, Loving, Reeves | 61 min |
| May 31, 3:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler | 58 min |
| May 31, 3:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos | 57 min |
| May 31, 3:21 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Midland | 3 hr |
| May 31, 3:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Pecos | 36 min |
| May 31, 3:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos | 54 min |
| May 31, 3:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Pecos | 32 min |
| May 31, 4:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Glasscock | 27 min |
| May 31, 4:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler | 63 min |
| May 31, 4:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 26 min |
| May 31, 4:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Pecos, Terrell | 45 min |
| May 31, 4:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos, Terrell | 39 min |
| May 31, 4:54 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | 51 min | |
| May 31, 5:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster, Pecos, Terrell | 63 min |
| May 31, 5:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Pecos, Reeves, Ward | 63 min |
| May 31, 5:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Pecos, Terrell | 45 min |
| May 31, 5:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Brewster, Pecos, Terrell | 52 min |
| May 31, 5:42 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | 48 min | |
| May 31, 5:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Crane | 26 min |
| May 31, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Terrell | 62 min |
| May 31, 5:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster, Jeff Davis, Pecos, Reeves | 61 min |
| May 31, 6:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Crane | 41 min |
| May 31, 6:10 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Pecos, Terrell | 3 hr |
| May 31, 6:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Brewster, Terrell | 49 min |
| May 31, 6:40 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | MAF | Scurry | 20 hr |
| May 31, 6:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster, Pecos | 56 min |
| May 31, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos, Reeves | 55 min |
| May 31, 6:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Terrell | 33 min |
| May 30, 7:34 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Lea | 41 min |
| May 30, 7:42 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Lea | 3 hr |
| May 30, 8:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Eddy | 44 min |
| May 30, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 65 min |
| May 30, 9:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Eddy | 51 min |
| May 31, 6:42 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MAF | Lea | 3 hr |
| May 31, 8:23 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Eddy | 37 min |
| May 31, 12:41 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Eddy | 34 min |
| May 31, 1:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy, Lea | 60 min |
| May 31, 5:50 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Eddy | 40 min |
| May 31, 6:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 25 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.