Alert archive / New Mexico / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 30, 2021Eddy County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at May 30, 2021, 7:16 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2021, 7:16 PM MDT (01:16 UTC)
Expired
May 30, 2021, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
44 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Eddy County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Santa Teresa, NM at 00:00Z on 2021-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Santa Teresa, NM at 00:00Z on 2021-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4828 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 30, 5:47 PM MDT, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 5:47 PM MDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
647 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
Currently have storms north of CNM and HOB and between MAF and
FST... none are threatening the airports but expect storm coverage
to increase during the evening and overnight. Local MVFR cigs and
vsbys can be expected in/near storms and should also see a
redevelopment of stratus overnight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 239 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021/

DISCUSSION...

Clouds packing us in this morning has pushed expected initiation of
severe storms until later this afternoon. The late clearing of
clouds will also help keep us cooler with mostly 80s expected today.
While the severe storm threat has decreased slightly for this
afternoon across the east, multiple rounds of storms are still
expected as the closed low off of Baja CA moves eastward today. Hi-
res models are all over the place with location and timing of
development, however, storms look to develop over the higher terrain
and trek eastward through the afternoon and evening. A separate line
of storms is expected to move down across SE New Mexico and the
Permian Basin late tonight through Monday morning. Expect large
hail, frequent lightning, strong wind gusts and potentially even a
tornado or two with these storms. The greatest chance for large hail
and/or tornadoes looks to be over Eddy and Lea counties in SE New
Mexico today and tonight but the threat will be nonzero across West
Texas as well. Storm motion in this mornings sounding was 7kts, so
localized flash flooding is expected with these storms as well. The
severe threat will continue through Monday morning with the flooding
threat existing through at least 12z Monday. Have gone ahead and
issued a Flash Flood watch for tonight through Monday afternoon for
parts of the Permian Basin.

If we have an active afternoon today with storms, Monday's severe
threat will weaken substantially and we may finally get a break. If
that is not the case, expect another day of severe storms for
Memorial Day activities. Regardless, rain will be off and on for
much of the day across the Permian Basin and Trans Pecos. Highs
Monday afternoon will be mostly in the upper 70s to 80s with 90s
along the Rio Grande. An upper level trough over the region this
week will help keep us cool with thunderstorms possible each
afternoon. Severe weather chances decrease after Tuesday, but
thunderstorms will continue to be possible each day through the
weekend. The main concern with storms this week will be heavy
rain/flooding. Highs for Tuesday will be mostly in the 70s, with low
to mid 80s for Wednesday-Friday.

-Zuber

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     66  75  61  74 /  70  70  70  40
Carlsbad                       65  84  62  78 /  40  50  30  30
Dryden                         70  86  68  81 /  40  40  50  50
Fort Stockton                  67  86  64  79 /  40  40  40  50
Guadalupe Pass                 59  82  56  75 /  40  30  20  40
Hobbs                          61  77  57  74 /  70  80  30  30
Marfa                          55  87  56  79 /  40  30  20  70
Midland Intl Airport           66  80  62  74 /  60  60  50  40
Odessa                         66  80  62  76 /  60  60  50  40
Wink                           68  87  63  80 /  50  50  40  30

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...Flash Flood Watch from 11 PM CDT this evening through Monday
     afternoon for Borden-Dawson-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Martin-
     Mitchell-Scurry.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 5:08 PM MDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
608 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-312315-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
608 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021 /508 PM MDT Sun May 30 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 1 AM CDT for Southeast
New Mexico, the central and northern Permian Basin, and the Western
Low Rolling Plains.

There is a slight risk of severe storms, capable of producing large
hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado.  Heavy rain may also
result in flash flooding.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect beginning 11 PM CDT for the
northeast Permian Basin and Western Low Rolling Plains.

Elsewhere, thunderstorms are possible.  Any storms that do develop
will be accompanied by frequent lightning, small hail, gusty winds,
and brief, heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms Monday, and a
marginal risk Tuesday.  Any severe storms that do develop will be
accompanied by large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado.
Heavy rain may also result in flash flooding.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect until 1 PM CDT Monday for the
northeast Permian Basin and Western Low Rolling Plains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

44

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 30, 3:49 PM MDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
349 PM MDT Sun May 30 2021

NMZ029-302230-
Northern Lea County NM-
349 PM MDT Sun May 30 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LEA COUNTY UNTIL 430
PM MDT...

At 349 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Caprock, or 27 miles northwest of Tatum, moving northeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Caprock.

LAT...LON 3343 10336 3334 10371 3339 10376 3340 10372
      3357 10372 3357 10337
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 230DEG 7KT 3346 10372

88
Local storm report, May 30, 5:18 PM MDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
618 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             1 W CROSSROADS          33.51N 103.36W
05/30/2021  E1.75 INCH       Lea                NM   PUBLIC

&&

MSCHULDT
Local storm report, May 30, 5:33 PM MDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
633 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     HAIL             11 W CROSSROADS         33.51N 103.53W
05/30/2021  E1.00 INCH       Lea                NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL TO QUATER SIZE HAIL
            BRIEFLY AT THEIR LOCATION.

&&

DEVIN.CHEHAK
Special weather statement, May 30, 6:34 PM MDT, 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
634 PM MDT Sun May 30 2021

NMZ028-033-310115-
Eddy County Plains NM-Central Lea County NM-
634 PM MDT Sun May 30 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN EDDY AND WEST
CENTRAL LEA COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM MDT...

At 634 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 17
miles southeast of Hagerman, or 18 miles east of Artesia, moving east
at 55 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Maljamar, Lea County Zip Franklin Memorial Airport and Loco Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Midland.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight MDT for
southeastern New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3293 10345 3264 10356 3292 10429 3296 10429
      3297 10380
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 286DEG 47KT 3293 10412

44
Special weather statement, May 30, 6:40 PM MDT, 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
740 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

TXZ048-310115-
Scurry TX-
740 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SCURRY COUNTY UNTIL
815 PM CDT...

At 740 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles south of Clairemont, or 17 miles east of Lake Alan Henry,
moving north at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Scurry
County.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
western Texas.

LAT...LON 3290 10090 3297 10090 3296 10066 3286 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 0040Z 192DEG 12KT 3296 10078

88
Special weather statement, May 30, 7:16 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
716 PM MDT Sun May 30 2021

NMZ028-310200-
Eddy County Plains NM-
716 PM MDT Sun May 30 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTY UNTIL
800 PM MDT...

At 716 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southeast of Hope, moving east at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Artesia, Atoka, Dayton and Artesia Municipal Airport.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight MDT for
southeastern New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3261 10472 3278 10478 3293 10438 3267 10429
TIME...MOT...LOC 0116Z 253DEG 15KT 3272 10467

80

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 6:40 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFScurry35 min
May 30, 7:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF45 min
May 30, 8:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFCochran44 min
May 30, 8:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBorden40 min
May 30, 9:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Dawson42 min
May 30, 9:30 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFBorden15 min
May 30, 10:13 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFBorden, Dawson2 hr
May 30, 11:08 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFBorden, Scurry112 min
May 30, 11:46 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFBorden, Dawson3 hr
May 31, 12:31 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBorden44 min
May 31, 1:08 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFBorden, Dawson, Scurry3 hr
May 31, 1:11 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBorden, Scurry64 min
May 31, 1:24 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFBorden, Scurry3 hr
May 31, 3:09 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCulberson51 min
May 31, 4:01 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCulberson59 min
May 31, 4:28 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFMitchell47 min
May 31, 4:52 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCulberson, Reeves38 min
May 31, 5:30 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLoving45 min
May 31, 6:06 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLoving, Winkler39 min
May 31, 6:46 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFAndrews, Ector, Winkler44 min
May 31, 7:33 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEctor42 min
May 31, 7:37 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFTerrell68 min
May 31, 7:39 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLoving51 min
May 31, 8:30 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFWinkler45 min
May 31, 8:54 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFCulberson2 hr
May 31, 9:20 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEctor40 min
May 31, 9:23 AM MDTRiver Flood WarningMAFScurry4 hr
May 31, 9:27 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFBorden, Dawson, Scurry4 hr
May 31, 9:31 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Ector, Martin, Midland59 min
May 31, 9:51 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFEctor, Midland3 hr
May 31, 10:26 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Ector, Glasscock, Martin, Midland64 min
May 31, 10:51 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFMidland3 hr
May 31, 11:27 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFGlasscock, Howard, Martin, Mitchell, Scurry3 hr
May 31, 11:36 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFHoward39 min
May 31, 11:57 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningMAFHoward2 hr
May 31, 1:06 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLoving24 min
May 31, 1:24 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos51 min
May 31, 1:28 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLoving32 min
May 31, 1:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos60 min
May 31, 1:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCulberson, Loving, Reeves61 min
May 31, 2:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler58 min
May 31, 2:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos57 min
May 31, 2:21 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFMidland3 hr
May 31, 2:24 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMAFPecos36 min
May 31, 2:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos54 min
May 31, 2:58 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMAFPecos32 min
May 31, 3:03 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFGlasscock27 min
May 31, 3:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler63 min
May 31, 3:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos26 min
May 31, 3:30 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMAFPecos, Terrell45 min
May 31, 3:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos, Terrell39 min
May 31, 3:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF51 min
May 31, 4:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster, Pecos, Terrell63 min
May 31, 4:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Pecos, Reeves, Ward63 min
May 31, 4:15 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMAFPecos, Terrell45 min
May 31, 4:23 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFBrewster, Pecos, Terrell52 min
May 31, 4:42 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF48 min
May 31, 4:49 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFCrane26 min
May 31, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFTerrell62 min
May 31, 4:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster, Jeff Davis, Pecos, Reeves61 min
May 31, 5:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFCrane41 min
May 31, 5:10 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFPecos, Terrell3 hr
May 31, 5:11 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFBrewster, Terrell49 min
May 31, 5:40 PM MDTRiver Flood WarningMAFScurry20 hr
May 31, 5:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster, Pecos56 min
May 31, 5:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos, Reeves55 min
May 31, 5:57 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFTerrell33 min
May 30, 6:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLea41 min
May 30, 6:42 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFLea3 hr
May 30, 7:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy65 min
May 30, 8:09 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEddy51 min
May 31, 5:42 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFLea3 hr
May 31, 7:23 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEddy37 min
May 31, 11:41 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEddy34 min
May 31, 12:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy, Lea60 min
May 31, 4:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEddy40 min
May 31, 5:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy25 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New Mexico, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.