Severe Thunderstorm Warning 176, NWS Little Rock, AR

297 
WWUS54 KLZK 190146
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
846 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARC045-119-190215-
/O.CON.KLZK.SV.W.0176.000000T0000Z-210519T0215Z/
Faulkner AR-Pulaski AR-
846 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL FAULKNER AND NORTH CENTRAL PULASKI COUNTIES...

At 846 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Marche, or near
Maumelle, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Maumelle...                       Mayflower...
Morgan...                         Marche...
Oak Grove in Pulaski County...    Camp Robinson...
Cato...                           

This includes Interstate 40 near mile marker 133, and between mile
markers 138 and 146.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3483 9231 3485 9243 3502 9241 3501 9220
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 183DEG 2KT 3491 9232 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DTC

361 
WWUS54 KLZK 190154
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
854 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARC045-119-190203-
/O.CAN.KLZK.SV.W.0176.000000T0000Z-210519T0215Z/
Faulkner AR-Pulaski AR-
854 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL FAULKNER AND
NORTH CENTRAL PULASKI COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds and
heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3483 9231 3485 9243 3502 9241 3501 9220
TIME...MOT...LOC 0153Z 190DEG 8KT 3493 9232 

$$

DTC

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
635 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

.AVIATION...
Updated for 00Z TAFs...

For lack of a better way to put it, expect rather sloppy flying
conditions to prevail over the taf period. TSRA will move through
central sites this evening and north during the evening and
overnight, with more scattered convection elsewhere. Prevailing
conditions will be mvfr to ifr (or possibly lower with any heavy
precip areas/storms). Winds will largely be out of the southeast
around 8-12 knots, but will be variable, erratic and gusty with
any storms that hit the terminal.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 250 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021)
SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Thursday

For the most part, have seen a lull in rainfall coverage acrs much
of the FA this aftn as we are in between of upper impulses. Other
than sctd showers acrs mainly Ern AR, skies have been mostly cloudy
with mid aftn temps in the mid 70s to the lower 80s.

An upper lvl low remained centered to the west of AR this aftn, acrs
the southern Rockies. The resulting SW flow aloft conts to keep an
abundant stream of moisture into the region. Another area of
convection was affecting parts of NE TX and SRN OK this aftn, assocd
with the next impulse ejecting fm the upr low.

Latest CAMS data has a good handle on this activity and expect it to
affect SW AR late this aftn, eventually moving into parts of wrn and
cntrl sections of the FA early this evening. Models cont to show an
overall weakening trend thru the overnight hours, but plan to keep
chc PoPs in the fcst for any lingering activity.

Cannot rule out a few strong/svr storms, with the main concerns
being gusty winds and locally heavy downpours. This next round of
convection wl have the potential to drop at least another 1-2 inches
of rain over already saturated grounds. Thus, wl keep the Flood
Watch in place as is thru Wed night.

Yet another upr lvl wave is fcst to head our way later Wed and Wed
night. There are suggestions that this feature wl pass further to
the S of AR, keeping the bulk of the convection out of our area. Did
not make any sig changes to PoP trends durg this time once again due
to contd uncertainties with smaller scale convective trends.

The aforementioned upper low is fcst to finally bcm an open wave as
it lifts to the NE Wed ngt and Thu. The better rain chances durg
this timeframe wl trend more toward Wrn AR, as high pres aloft ovr
the SE U.S. begins to build sloly to the W. This wl also allow temps
to modify as the week progresses, with a taste of summer returning
to the fcst.

LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Tuesday

Slight chance to chance PoPs remain late Thurs through early Fri,
mainly over western AR, as high pressure expands westward and
continues to wrap Gulf moisture northward across the southern
Plains. An additional one-tenth to one-quarter inch QPF will be
possible over much of the western half of the state, possibly more
over the southwesternmost counties.

Several days of rainfall come to an end during the day Friday. High
pressure will promote dry weather and mostly clear conditions
through early next week. Temperatures will warm through the weekend,
from highs in the upper 70s to the mid 80s Fri to the 80s and lower
90s early next week. Lows will remain in the lower to mid 60s.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flood Watch through Thursday morning FOR Clark-Conway-Faulkner-
Garland-Hot Spring-Montgomery-Perry-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Saline-
Scott-Yell.

&&

Aviation...57

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
517 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
517 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will continue through tonight, with
locally heavy rainfall possible. Additional rainfall amounts of
one to two inches are forecast through tonight across the far
west and southwest sections of the area. Locally higher amounts
will be possible...with an increased threat for flash flooding as
a result across the southwest sections of the area.

A few strong to briefly severe thunderstorms could be
seen...mainly across far southwest sections of the area through
this evening. Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary
threat with the strongest storms. Otherwise...the overall threat
for organized severe weather looks low at this time for the
remainder of the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

Chances for showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast
through Friday as an active weather pattern persists. While the
overall threat for seeing severe weather looks to remain low...a
strong storm or two could be seen. There will remain an increased
threat for flash flooding for portions of western and southwest
Arkansas...where total rainfall amounts of one to three inches
are expected from Tuesday morning through Friday...with locally
higher amounts possible.

Calmer conditions will be seen by the weekend...with the threat
for organized hazardous weather becoming low.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

57

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
634 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARZ021-022-030-038-190015-
Pope AR-Johnson AR-Logan AR-Yell AR-
634 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL LOGAN...SOUTH
CENTRAL JOHNSON...NORTH CENTRAL YELL AND SOUTHERN POPE COUNTIES UNTIL
715 PM CDT...

At 634 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Mt Nebo State Park, or 9 miles west of Russellville, moving northeast
at 30 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Russellville...                   Dardanelle...
Lamar...                          Dover...
London...                         Knoxville...
Hector...                         Lake Dardanelle State Park...
Lake Dardanelle...                Mt Nebo State Park...
Taral...                          Augsburg...
Piney Bay Recreation Area...      Delaware...
Pleasant Valley in Pope County... Gum Log...
Caglesville...                    Moreland...
New Blaine...                     Scottsville...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
western and central Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3547 9336 3546 9285 3517 9330 3515 9340
      3511 9349
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 221DEG 27KT 3525 9331

DTC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
707 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARZ022-023-031-032-039-042>044-190100-
Pulaski AR-Pope AR-Perry AR-Van Buren AR-Saline AR-Faulkner AR-
Conway AR-Garland AR-
707 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN PERRY...SOUTHWESTERN VAN
BUREN...WESTERN FAULKNER...CONWAY...EASTERN GARLAND...NORTHWESTERN
SALINE...NORTHWESTERN PULASKI AND CENTRAL POPE COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM
CDT...

At 707 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Broomfield to 6 miles northwest of Happy
Bend to Perry to near Williams Junction to 8 miles east of Hot
Springs Village to 6 miles east of Hot Springs. Movement was east at
35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Little Rock...                    Conway...
Hot Springs...                    Maumelle...
Hot Springs Village...            Morrilton...
Perryville...                     Atkins...
Mayflower...                      Dover...
Oppelo...                         Hector...
Menifee...                        Perry...
Adona...                          Houston...
Bethlehem...                      Sequoya Park...
Hill Creek...                     Little Italy...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
central and southwestern Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3535 9252 3514 9245 3484 9240 3461 9266
      3452 9289 3443 9299 3454 9316 3483 9288
      3514 9296 3517 9291 3517 9297 3533 9303
      3545 9330 3547 9330 3547 9323 3551 9322
      3567 9288
TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 265DEG 30KT 3549 9313 3535 9292 3505 9281 3485
9278 3468 9280 3449 9294

DTC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
721 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARZ053-054-190100-
Hot Spring AR-Clark AR-
721 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CLARK AND SOUTHWESTERN
HOT SPRING COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

At 721 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Gum Springs in Clark County, or near Arkadelphia, moving north at 25
mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Arkadelphia...                    Caddo Valley...
Gum Springs in Clark County...    Richwoods...
DeGray Lake State Park...         Friendship...
Bismarck...                       Lower Lake Recreation Area...
De Roche...                       Curtis...
Midway in Hot Spring County...    Hollywood...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
southwestern Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3392 9306 3400 9323 3434 9328 3434 9295
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 179DEG 22KT 3408 9311

DTC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
804 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARZ032-044-190145-
Pulaski AR-Faulkner AR-
804 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN FAULKNER AND
NORTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

At 803 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Roland in Pulaski County, or near Maumelle, moving east at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
North Little Rock...              Conway...
Maumelle...                       Mayflower...
Pinnacle Mountain State Park...   Little Italy...
Gibson...                         Morgan...
Marche...                         Roland in Pulaski County...
Oak Grove in Pulaski County...    Camp Robinson...
Chenal Valley...                  Palarm...
Natural Steps...

LAT...LON 3480 9254 3493 9261 3494 9259 3494 9255
      3495 9254 3496 9256 3506 9240 3487 9222
TIME...MOT...LOC 0103Z 250DEG 14KT 3491 9248

DTC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
808 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARZ023-024-031-032-190145-
Van Buren AR-Faulkner AR-Conway AR-Cleburne AR-
808 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN VAN BUREN...
SOUTHWESTERN CLEBURNE...NORTHERN FAULKNER AND NORTHEASTERN CONWAY
COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

At 806 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Damascus to near Greenbrier to near Pickles Gap
to near Conway. Movement was northeast at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.
Additionally, areas of weak rotation have been noted with these
storms. While not imminent, a brief tornado cannot be ruled out.

Locations impacted include...
Conway...                         Greenbrier...
Vilonia...                        Wooster...
Quitman...                        Guy...
Damascus...                       Enola...
Twin Groves...                    Fairbanks...
Mallet Town...                    Pickles Gap...
Springhill...                     Woolly Hollow State Park...
Holland...                        Barney...
Hamlet...                         Southside in Van Buren County...
Morganton...                      Martinville...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3552 9229 3540 9221 3528 9215 3510 9222
      3502 9246 3508 9246 3520 9248 3535 9252
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 232DEG 17KT 3538 9245 3527 9239 3515 9233 3507
9236

DTC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
822 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

ARZ032-190200-
Faulkner AR-
822 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN FAULKNER COUNTY
UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

At 822 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Mayflower, or near Conway, moving north at 10 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Conway...                         Vilonia...
Mayflower...                      Holland...
Hamlet...                         Saltillo...
Cato...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3502 9223 3493 9223 3493 9228 3500 9246
      3508 9246 3516 9220
TIME...MOT...LOC 0122Z 192DEG 8KT 3502 9238

DTC