River Flood Warning 222, NWS Little Rock, AR

370 
WGUS84 KLZK 080109
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
809 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Saline River At Benton affecting Saline County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC125-090115-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0222.210608T1741Z-210610T1346Z/
/BTNA4.1.ER.210608T1741Z.210609T0000Z.210609T0746Z.NO/
809 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Saline River At Benton.
* From Tuesday afternoon to Thursday morning.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above the 18 foot flood 
  stage during the day tomorrow, cresting around 19 feet tomorrow 
  evening. It is then expected to fall back below flood stage during 
  the overnight or early morning hours Wednesday. This is expected 
  to be a short-duration minor flooding event.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins at 18 feet, flooding 
  of low lying pastures along the west bank.

&&


            Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location    Stg   Stg Day/Time   Tue   Wed   Thu  Crest  Time  Date  

Saline River
Benton      18.0  6.9  Mon 7 PM  19.0 10.5 8.3    19.0 7 PM 6/08     





&&

LAT...LON 3429 9265 3445 9263 3456 9269 3458 9257
      3444 9253 3429 9255

$$

57

598 
WGUS84 KLZK 081415
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
915 AM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in 
Arkansas...

  Saline River At Benton affecting Saline County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall 
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of 
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall 
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our 
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
 www.weather.gov/lzk

Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.

&&


ARC125-091415-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0222.210609T2252Z-210611T1903Z/
/BTNA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
915 AM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Saline River At Benton.
* From Wednesday afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage on 
  Wednesday morning and continue rising to a crest of 19.0 feet 
  early Thursday morning. However, additional rainfall may lead to 
  additional rises. Continue to monitor the latest river forecast.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins at 18 feet, flooding 
  of low lying pastures along the west bank.

&&


            Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest           
Location    Stg   Stg Day/Time   Wed   Thu   Fri  Crest  Time  Date  

Saline River
Benton      18.0  8.0  Tue 8 AM  11.0 18.3 8.6    19.0 1 AM 6/10     





&&

LAT...LON 3429 9265 3445 9263 3456 9269 3458 9257
      3444 9253 3429 9255

$$

234

406 
WGUS84 KLZK 090056
FLSLZK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
756 PM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Arkansas...

  Saline River At Benton affecting Saline County.

ARC125-090200-
/O.CAN.KLZK.FL.W.0222.210609T2252Z-210609T0056Z/
/BTNA4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Saline River At Benton has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Saline River At Benton.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.3 feet Sunday 
  evening.

&&


            Fld   Observed        Forecast 7 PM      Crest           
Location    Stg   Stg Day/Time   Wed   Thu   Fri  Crest  Time  Date  

Saline River
Benton      18.0  11.7 Tue 7 PM  7.1  5.8  5.6     Falling      





&&

LAT...LON 3429 9265 3445 9263 3456 9269 3458 9257
      3444 9253 3429 9255

$$

62

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
621 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

.AVIATION...

Upper level low over NE OK/NW AR will continue to lift very
slowly to the NE through the period. System will produce
widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms through the period.
Winds will generally be from the south to southeast and on the
light side. MVFR conditions will predominate except IFR conditions
during any convection that moves across any terminal.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 343 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021)
Short Term...Today through Tuesday night

Forecast generally on track and it continues to look very unsettled
with locally heavy rain expected. Main driver continues to be a slow
moving, cut off upper low, and associated upper trough currently
centered over NE Oklahoma. System will be very slow to move out
resulting in numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms. CAMS
guidance seems to have a good handle on this developing situation
and will follow it closely moving forward.

Heavy rain has been experienced across portions of the CWA over the
past 24 hours with several bands of two inch plus amounts noted.
Parts of SW Arkansas did see in excess of four inches early Sunday
morning with additional heavy rain already occurring at this time in
the same general area. This precipitation has left many parts of the
state saturated and subject to flash flooding issues with any
additional precipitation, which by the way seems to be a very good
bet.

The air mass is moisture laden with PWATS currently between 1.5 and
2 inches. PWATS are expected to remain very high with some guidance
showing these values climbing to as high as 2.25 inches as low level
flow will come in from a wide open gulf. Low level convergence is
also evident and with light steering flow, any cells that do develop
will be very efficient rain makers. While instability is noted,
overall threat of severe weather does not seem very high although a
strong storm or two can not be ruled out.

Models are very bullish with widespread precipitation through
Tuesday of several inches of rain, at least. At least one CAMS model
is actually showing a MCV in its reflectivity field which would lead
to additional flooding concerns.

Based on antecedent soil conditions, the potential for slow moving,
training cells and the amount of moisture in place, have decided to
issue a flash flood watch effective this morning. I would not be
surprised to see a large part of central and southern Arkansas
seeing in excess of three to four inches of rain with locally higher
amounts through Tuesday.

Upper trough finally begins to lift out Tuesday night and into
Wednesday as ridging begins to build into the nations mid section.

Long term...Wednesday through Sunday

Beginning of the long term forecast wl lkly mark the beginning of a
prevailing summertime pattern for the Natural State. H500 progs
suggest the lingering weak upper cyclonic perturbation that wl be
shifting Ewrd, w/ Wrn US troughing advancing Ewrd and amplifying
antecedent Cntrl US ridging.

As Cntrl US H500 ridging becomes more steady, temperature trends
across the FA wl become more seasonable for June in AR, w/ afternoon
highs approaching the upper 80s and low 90s at most locations. As
such, w/ minimal forcing mechanisms in play, a transition to
diurnally driven PoPs is anticipated, w/ SCT showers/tstorms
becoming more prevalent in the afternoon hours across the region.

Late in the PD, H500 ridging appears to retrograde, positioning a
fetch of weak N/Wrly flow over the Cntrl US, w/ broad diffluence
noted over the Srn Gulf Coast. Synoptic forcing for descent on the
downstream branch of this ridge looks to support a sfc high over the
Nrn Great Plains, which is progged to sag S/wrd through through
Cntrl US sometime late next weekend. 00Z suite of global
deterministic guidance remains more variable on magnitude and
positioning of the sfc high and weak cold frnt, however, some
similarities do exist including the retrograding upper ridge and sfc
anticyclonic flow. 00Z GFS remains more aggressive w/ a stronger sfc
high and cold frnt, while ECMWF guidance is more tame, w/ the frnt
washing out. Given the anticipated summertime pattern, this upcoming
feature remains one of the more interesting fcst features to watch
in the extended term, and may offer a brief relief after the coming
week of sweltering conditions.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning FOR Arkansas-Bradley-
Calhoun-Clark-Cleburne-Cleveland-Conway-Dallas-Desha-Drew-
Faulkner-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Independence-Jackson-Jefferson-
Johnson-Lincoln-Logan-Lonoke-Monroe-Montgomery-Ouachita-Perry-
Pike-Polk-Pope-Prairie-Pulaski-Saline-Scott-Van Buren-White-
Woodruff-Yell.

&&

Aviation...56

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
358 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-081000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
358 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through the
period with locally heavy rain possible. Several inches of rain
have fallen across a good part of the state over the past day or
so leaving the ground saturated in many areas.

Rainfall amounts could surpass three inches for much of central
and southern Arkansas through tonight leading to flash flooding
concerns. These concerns will be heightened in those areas that
have already experienced heavy rain. Area streams and rivers will
likely see some rises as the water drains off.

While a strong storm or two cannot be ruled out, widespread severe
weather is not expected and the main concern will continue to be
heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Additional periods of rain, locally heavy, are expected Tuesday
and into Tuesday night. Several more inches of rain could fall on
saturated ground leading to additional flash flooding concerns.

Come Wednesday, a stagnant, summertime pattern is expected to
develop follow a period of heavy and persistent rainfall in the
short term. Daily chances for afternoon showers and a few
thunderstorms will prevail, with an occasional strong storm,
however no organized severe weather is anticipated. Afternoon
temperatures will be on the rising trend, with highs beginning to
approach 90F, along with muggy and sweltering conditions settling
in.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

56/232

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
459 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WHELEN SPRINGS          33.84N  93.13W
06/07/2021                   CLARK              AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN OVER HWY 53 BETWEEN GURDON AND
            WHELEN SPRINGS AND CAUSED AN ACCIDENT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100659

232

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
504 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

ARZ055-056-062>064-067>069-071045-
Bradley AR-Grant AR-Drew AR-Cleveland AR-Calhoun AR-Lincoln AR-
Dallas AR-Jefferson AR-
504 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN BRADLEY...CLEVELAND...
SOUTHEASTERN GRANT...NORTHEASTERN CALHOUN...EASTERN DALLAS...
NORTHWESTERN DREW...SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON AND WESTERN LINCOLN
COUNTIES UNTIL 545 AM CDT...

At 502 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Lamont to near Rison to near Ellisville.
Movement was east at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Pine Bluff...                     Warren...
Fordyce...                        Star City...
Rison...                          White Hall...
Altheimer...                      Wilmar...
Grady...                          Kingsland...
Thornton...                       Whitefield...
Plantersville...                  Weeks...
Woodville...                      Tipton...
Herbine...                        Nebo...
Feenyville...                     Ellisville...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3437 9177 3406 9164 3364 9183 3359 9265
      3390 9237 3420 9253
TIME...MOT...LOC 1002Z 257DEG 34KT 3413 9234 3395 9226 3373 9240

232

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
507 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 AM     TSTM WND DMG     GURDON                  33.92N  93.15W
06/07/2021                   CLARK              AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            *UPDATED* A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN OVER HWY 53 JUST SOUTH
            OF GURDON, AND CAUSED AN ACCIDENT INVOLVING A LOG TRUCK
            ROLLOVER.

&&

CORRECTED LOCATION...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100659

232

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
552 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

ARZ056-057-063>065-071130-
Cleveland AR-Lincoln AR-Desha AR-Arkansas AR-Jefferson AR-
552 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CLEVELAND...
NORTHWESTERN DESHA...JEFFERSON...LINCOLN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS
COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CDT...

At 551 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Altheimer to Linwood to near Cane Creek
State Park. Movement was east at 40 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Pine Bluff...                     Dumas...
Star City...                      White Hall...
Altheimer...                      Gould...
Gillett...                        Grady...
Mitchellville...                  Whitefield...
Little Bayou Meto Park...         Woodville...
Douglas...                        Herbine...
Nebo...                           Feenyville...
Cottondale...                     Linwood...
Cane Creek State Park...          Madding...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3444 9156 3420 9133 3389 9136 3380 9204
      3408 9201 3431 9216
TIME...MOT...LOC 1051Z 257DEG 33KT 3433 9194 3415 9177 3385 9182

232