Flash Flood Warning 81, NWS Little Rock, AR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
314 PM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Obviously, the main concern over the next 12-24 hours will be
ongoing flash flooding concerns across southern/southeast
Arkansas where locations near Dumas have likely picked up more
than 15 inches of rain. The primary thunderstorm complex will
continue making its way east and out of the area by this evening.
While some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will
be possible through the evening and early overnight hours, CAMs
suggest a greater threat developing by early morning with a west
to east oriented line of thunderstorms bringing another round of
heavy rain to the southern half of the state. Given the observed
PW values from the KLZK 12z sounding of 2 inches and forecast
values at or above 2 inches persisting through Wednesday morning,
the concern for heavy rainfall remains very high.

Beyond that, there will be a battle between H500 ridging to the
west of the area while deep troughing exists to the east. This
will provide higher chances for drier conditions across the
western part of the area while rain chances may linger across the
east. It does look like the ridging will be overwhelmed by the
trough with time and a return to wet conditions looks to take
place after briefly drier and warmer temperatures are seen across
the forecast area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     69  86  71  86 /  50  60  50  60
Camden AR         70  89  73  91 /  60  40  30  20
Harrison AR       67  84  69  85 /  30  40  50  40
Hot Springs AR    69  87  71  89 /  80  40  30  30
Little Rock   AR  70  86  72  87 /  80  50  40  40
Monticello AR     72  87  73  88 /  80  50  40  30
Mount Ida AR      68  86  71  89 /  70  40  30  20
Mountain Home AR  68  86  70  86 /  30  40  50  50
Newport AR        71  86  72  85 /  50  60  50  60
Pine Bluff AR     71  87  73  87 /  80  50  40  40
Russellville AR   69  87  71  88 /  70  50  40  40
Searcy AR         69  86  71  86 /  80  50  50  60
Stuttgart AR      72  86  74  86 /  90  50  50  50
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning FOR Arkansas-Bradley-
Calhoun-Clark-Cleveland-Dallas-Desha-Drew-Garland-Grant-Hot
Spring-Jefferson-Lincoln-Logan-Lonoke-Monroe-Montgomery-Ouachita-
Perry-Pike-Polk-Prairie-Pulaski-Saline-Scott-Yell.

&&

67

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
333 AM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-090845-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
333 AM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Persistent showers and thunderstorms are expected across the
southern portion of the state Tuesday. Heavy to excessive rainfall
will accompany these storms, with additional rainfall
accumulations of four to five inches possible, and some locally
greater amounts.

Given a very saturated soil surface from prior
rainfall over the last few days, flash flooding will be likely
where heavy rainfall occurs as will not take much rain for runoff
to begin. Due to the magnitude of rainfall anticipated and the
potential for locally greater amounts, flash flooding may be
considerable in nature at times. Please be sure to heed local
guidance on road closures due to high water.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

Rain chances will continue into Wednesday as the slow moving upper
system finally begins to pull out. Another inch of rain can not be
ruled out over central and eastern sections of the state, mainly
early in the day,

A weather pattern more typical of summer is expected to develop late
Wednesday with a large upper level ridge of high pressure developing
over the nations mid section. This pattern will result in chances of
showers and thunderstorms during mainly the afternoon through early
evening hours. An occasional strong storm can not be discounted but
organized severe weather is not likely.

Concerning temperatures, highs are expected to top out in the upper
80s to lower 90s through the period. With the soil being saturated
and lots of standing water likely, very muggy conditions are
expected as well.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

232/56

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
253 PM CDT TUE JUN 08 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PINE BLUFF              34.21N  92.02W
06/08/2021                   JEFFERSON          AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A SPOTTER REPORTED 33RD AND MAIN STREET IN PINE BLUFF
            IS FLOODED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100676

57

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
332 PM CDT TUE JUN 08 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MITCHELLVILLE           33.91N  91.50W
06/08/2021                   DESHA              AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLASH FLOODING WAS OCCURRING AT MITCHELLVILLE ON
            MCCARREL STREET OFF OF U.S. 65. THIS WAS CONFIRMED BY A
            PICTURE ON SOCIAL MEDIA AND RELAYED BY KARK.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100677

57

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
349 PM CDT TUE JUN 08 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PINE BLUFF              34.21N  92.02W
06/08/2021                   JEFFERSON          AR   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            THE PINE BLUFF FIRE STATION HAS 1-2 INCHES OF WATER IN
            IT. MANY ROADS IN THE CITY ARE CLOSED. THE CITY CANNOT
            HANDLE ANY ADDITIONAL WATER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100678

57

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
352 PM CDT TUE JUN 08 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DUMAS                   33.88N  91.49W
06/08/2021                   DESHA              AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PER THE DUMAS POLICE CHIEF, ALL STREETS IN DUMAS HAVE
            STANDING WATER ON THEM. SOME BUILDINGS ARE STILL
            INUNDATED. PEOPLE KEEP DRIVING AROUND BARRICADED ROADS
            AND GETTING STUCK.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100679

57

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
355 PM CDT TUE JUN 08 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SSE STUTTGART         34.44N  91.52W
06/08/2021                   ARKANSAS           AR   SOCIAL MEDIA

            WATER WAS OVER HIGHWAY 165 AND YODER ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100680

57

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
432 PM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

ARZ053-066>068-082200-
Bradley AR-Calhoun AR-Clark AR-Ouachita AR-
432 PM CDT Tue Jun 8 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BRADLEY...SOUTHEASTERN CLARK...
CALHOUN AND OUACHITA COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

At 432 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Willisville to near Stephens to near
Calion to near Moro Bay State Park. Movement was northeast at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Camden...                         Hampton...
Gurdon...                         Bearden...
Stephens...                       Hermitage...
Calion...                         Chidester...
Harrell...                        Louann...
Whelen Springs...                 Beirne...
Ingalls...                        White Oak Lake State Park...
Hampton Municipal Airport...      Moro Bay...
Poison Springs State Park...      Cullendale...
Hilo...                           Highland Industrial Park...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3318 9216 3321 9218 3321 9222 3325 9223
      3326 9233 3330 9235 3327 9244 3332 9246
      3332 9253 3337 9255 3338 9312 3378 9310
      3382 9314 3382 9322 3391 9320 3367 9230
      3346 9201 3338 9196 3330 9198 3316 9217
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 210DEG 18KT 3353 9319 3346 9303 3338 9259 3325
9231

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