Alert archive / Mississippi / Areal Flood Warnings in 2021

Areal Flood Warning 13, NWS New Orleans, LA

August 30, 2021Harrison County, Jackson County, Mississippi

NWS New Orleans, LA issued this areal flood warning at Aug 30, 2021, 3:51 PM CDT for Harrison County, Jackson County, Mississippi. It was in force for 30 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2021, 3:51 PM CDT (20:51 UTC)
Expired
Aug 31, 2021, 9:45 PM CDT
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS New Orleans, LA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-08-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 881 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-08-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 386 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
881 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
560 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
9.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

768 
WGUS44 KLIX 302051
FLWLIX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
351 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

MSC047-059-311500-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FA.W.0013.210830T2051Z-210831T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Harrison MS-Jackson MS-
351 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

The National Weather Service in New Orleans has issued a

* Flood Warning for...
  East Central Harrison County in southern Mississippi...
  Jackson County in southern Mississippi...

* Until 1000 AM CDT Tuesday.

* At 351 PM CDT, Flooding is already occurring in the warned area 
  from the runoff from the heavy rainfall from Hurricane Ida. 
  Between 5 and 10 inches of rain have fallen.

* Significant widespread flooding is occurring.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Biloxi, Ocean Springs, Moss Point, Escatawpa, St. Martin, Gautier, 
  D'iberville, Vancleave, Hickory Hills, Wade, Helena, Big Point, 
  Hurley, Gulf Park Estates, Gulf Hills and Latimer.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3053 8887 3073 8885 3074 8841 3038 8840
      3038 8841 3035 8840 3036 8844 3033 8845
      3032 8850 3035 8851 3035 8858 3037 8859
      3036 8860 3034 8873 3043 8885 3042 8890
      3039 8886 3040 8891

$$
1 follow-up statement
064 
WGUS44 KLIX 311446
FLWLIX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
946 AM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

MSC047-059-010245-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FA.W.0013.000000T0000Z-210901T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Harrison MS-Jackson MS-
946 AM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

The National Weather Service in New Orleans has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  East Central Harrison County in southern Mississippi...
  Jackson County in southern Mississippi...

* Until 945 PM CDT Tuesday.

* At 946 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain. Flooding is 
  already occurring in the warned area. Between 5 and 10 inches of 
  rain have fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Biloxi, Ocean Springs, Moss Point, Escatawpa, St. Martin, Gautier, 
  D'iberville, Vancleave, Hickory Hills, Wade, Helena, Big Point, 
  Hurley, Gulf Park Estates, Gulf Hills and Latimer.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3053 8887 3073 8885 3074 8841 3038 8840
      3038 8841 3035 8840 3036 8844 3033 8845
      3032 8850 3035 8851 3035 8858 3037 8859
      3036 8860 3034 8873 3043 8885 3042 8890
      3039 8886 3040 8891

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Aug 30, 2:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 30, 2:46 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
Issued by National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
246 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...

Tropical Storm Ida will continue to push slowly northeast MS by
daybreak Tuesday and into Middle Tennessee by Tuesday evening.
During Ida's journey northeast tonight it is expected to become a
depression. A trailing band will train thunderstorms across
coastal SE LA and coastal SW MS and vertically along the MS/LA
border through this evening. Strongest convergence should align
along coastal areas tonight with highest rain totals over coastal
Mississippi where an addition 1 to 1.5 inches are possible where
there is a slight risk of flooding through tonight. Wake trough
and convergent flow will likely persist through mid day Tuesday
night and this will keep thunderstorm and additional rainfall
chances in place mainly south of I-10 stratifying to higher
chances along the coast and adjacent Gulf of Mexico waters. Highs
will will warm into the upper 80s to near 90 on Tuesday. Plenty of
tropical moisture combined with these temperatures will bring heat
indices in some Southeast Louisiana and Southwest Mississippi to
reach 100 degrees during the late morning hours through most of
the afternoon. Heat advisory thresholds in this special
circumstance has been lowered to 100 degrees, due to lack of power
in many places and during the recovery efforts. Please take
frequent breaks and drink plenty of water. Conditions near the
coast will also remain breezy through mid day Tuesday as a fairly
tight pressure gradient lingers over the region in the wake of
Ida. Conditions will continue to improve by Tuesday evening as
the pressure gradient begins to loosen.

.LONG TERM (Wednesday through Saturday)...The trailing wake
trough will to provide a convergence boundary with resultant
showers and thunderstorms developing over the area on Wednesday
and keep likely to categorical POP values in place through the
day. A trailing trough will be extending back into the region
Wednesday, slipping down to the coast by Wednesday night. By
Thursday, a northerly flow will take hold of the region and this
will usher in a much drier and much more stable airmass.
Precipitable water values will decrease to between 1.5 and 2
inches, and rain chances will diminish to 20 percent or less from
Thursday through Saturday as strong upper level subsidence warms
the mid-levels and reduces instability. Some weak cool air
advection will also occur, and this should help with recovery and
restoration efforts. With the deeper moisture is pushed offshore
into the Gulf and a mostly dry forecast is expected through the
extend period except for down near the coast where slightly better
moisture and daily sea breezes will result in some isolated
convection. Temperatures are projected to dip into the 60s and
lower 70s at night and highs are only expected to rise into the
upper 80s. Humidity values will also be a bit lower than normal
for early September.

&&

.AVIATION (18z TAF discussion)...

Mainly MVFR ceilings rest of today and into tonight with main
band of showers from near or east of KGPT to extreme southeast
LA. Some trailing bands of showers will still be possible into the
evening hours as they rotate around TC Ida. Included IFR ceiling
for KMCB for Tuesday morning with support from MOS and SREF but
otherwise mainly MVFR Tuesday morning. Additional shower activity
possible overnight but more isolated and scattered in coverage.
South to southwest winds close to 15G25kt rest of the aftn and
will diminish tonight. Mainly southwest and west winds 10-15 kt
Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...Hazardous conditions for maritime interests continue
most of this evening as Tropical Storm Ida moves further inland
across Mississippi. Winds will start to ease overnight, but a
tight pressure gradient over the coastal waters will keep winds in
the Small Craft Advisory range (20-30 kts) through this evening.
The pressure gradient should continue to weaken overnight through
Wednesday as winds should decrease to 10 to 15 knots by Wednesday
night. Seas will correspondingly decrease to 3 to 5 feet by this
time. A weak front will slip through on Thursday and winds will
shift to the north at 5 to 10 knots for the end of the week. Seas
of 2 feet or less are expected with these lighter winds.

&&

.CWF (Marine Light)...
Tropical Storm Ida will continue to move north away from the region
today but hazardous winds and seas will continue across most of
the area waters rest of today and into tonight. Breezy southwest
winds and roughs seas are likely over open waters on Tuesday.
Winds will begin to ease further Tuesday night. A feeder band of
training showers and thunderstorms expected to continue across
Louisiana and Mississippi Gulf waters through the evening.
Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect for portions of the
eastern waters and Small Craft Advisory to the west.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Surge will slowly pull back through this evening along
the coastal and river parishes. However, coastal flooding will
likely continue. Moderate to Major river flooding will continue
at through at least early Wednesday on Tchefuncte, Tangipahoa,
Bougue, Falaya River and Hobolochito Creek. Creeks and
tributaries of the Pearl River are also expected to remain or reach
moderate to major flood stages as well over the next 12 to 24
hours.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  72  89  73  89 /  40   0  20  50
BTR  72  89  73  89 /  30   0  40  60
ASD  75  90  75  91 /  60  20  40  70
MSY  77  92  78  92 /  70  30  50  70
GPT  76  89  75  90 /  90  20  40  60
PQL  75  88  73  90 /  90  50  40  60

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for LAZ049-057>061-
     063>070-075>078.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for LAZ056-
     058>061-063>070-072-075>078.

     Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 5 PM CDT Tuesday for LAZ046>050-
     056>061-063>070-072-075-077-078.

     Tropical Storm Warning for LAZ039-071.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM CDT Tuesday for GMZ530-534-538-
     550-552-555-570-572-575.

     Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ532-536-557-577.

MS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MSZ077-080>082.

     Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 5 PM CDT Tuesday for MSZ077-080>082.

     Tropical Storm Warning for MSZ070-071-077-080>082.

     Storm Surge Warning for MSZ080>082.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM CDT Tuesday for GMZ534-538-550-
     552-555-570-572-575.

     Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ536-557-577.

&&

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 30, 11:32 AM CDT, 4 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1132 AM CDT MON AUG 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 AM     TORNADO          3 E ESCATAWPA           30.48N 88.51W
08/30/2021                   JACKSON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER RELAYED PUBLIC REPORT OF
            POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE AT THE INTERSECTION
            OF CODA ROAD AND SARACENNIA ROAD. TIME
            ESTIMATED.

&&

KLG
Local storm report, Aug 30, 1:17 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
117 PM CDT MON AUG 30 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MOSS POINT              30.43N 88.53W
08/30/2021                   JACKSON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS WATER RESCUES REPORTED IN EASTERN
            JACKSON COUNTY. ESTIMATED 300 HOMES ARE
            AFFECTED BY FLOODING AND 150 ROAD CLOSURES.

&&

JRK

The office that day

Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 29, 8:22 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River38 min
Aug 29, 9:04 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River26 min
Aug 29, 9:05 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River12 days
Aug 29, 9:05 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXPike, Walthall38 hr
Aug 29, 9:05 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River11 days
Aug 29, 9:06 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXJackson9 days
Aug 29, 9:32 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River13 min
Aug 29, 9:36 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River24 min
Aug 29, 10:01 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River14 min
Aug 29, 10:34 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River41 min
Aug 29, 11:45 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXHancock, Harrison31 min
Aug 30, 12:41 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson49 min
Aug 30, 2:39 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLIXHancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River9 hr
Aug 30, 2:47 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson47 min
Aug 30, 2:55 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLIXAmite, Pike, Walthall5 hr
Aug 30, 2:55 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson65 min
Aug 30, 3:55 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXAmite, Pike, Walthall5 hr
Aug 30, 4:11 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson8 hr
Aug 30, 5:43 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXPearl River5 hr
Aug 30, 7:28 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson22 min
Aug 30, 7:37 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison23 min
Aug 30, 8:02 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson28 min
Aug 30, 9:30 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson60 min
Aug 30, 10:53 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River35 hr
Aug 30, 11:04 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLIXPearl River, Pike, Walthall35 hr
Aug 30, 11:17 AM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson28 min
Aug 30, 11:34 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River34 hr
Aug 30, 12:33 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyConsiderable damage threatLIXHarrison, Jackson3 hr
Aug 30, 2:57 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryLIXPearl River26 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2021Every areal flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.