Gale Warning 195, NWS Juneau, AK

606 
FZAK51 PAJK 302337
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-011445-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A gale force front pushes through the gulf Thursday night and 
into Friday morning. A storm force low moves into the southern 
gulf Friday afternoon and moves north through Saturday. Seas are 
expected to build to very high conditions late Friday night into 
Saturday. 

$$

PKZ011-011445-
Glacier Bay-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021


.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers.
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-011445-
Northern Lynn Canal-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 3 ft building 
to 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...S gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain
showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-011445-
Southern Lynn Canal-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
Showers.
.SAT...SE gale to 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 7 ft subsiding in the
afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-011445-
Icy Strait-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building
to 5 ft. Showers.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE gale to 40 kt decreasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft in the morning. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-011445-
Cross Sound-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 5 ft
building to 12 ft. Showers.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
S swell. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. Rain
showers. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-011445-
Stephens Passage-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. 
Seas 5 ft. Showers.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 10 ft.
Showers.
.SAT...SE gale to 45 kt in the morning decreasing to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts to 55 kt in the morning. Seas 9 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming N 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-011445-
Northern Chatham Strait-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
Showers early in the evening. Showers late. 
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.SAT...S gale to 40 kt decreasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-011445-
Southern Chatham Strait-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 5 ft
building to 9 ft late. Near ocean entrances, seas 11 ft. Showers.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 13 ft. Near ocean 
entrances, seas 16 ft building to 21 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE storm force wind to 50 kt becoming SW late.
Gusts to 65 kt. Seas 16 ft, except 30 ft near ocean entrances. 
Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S gale to 35 kt in the morning decreasing to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 13 ft, except 26 
ft near ocean entrances. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 12 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-011445-
Frederick Sound-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
Showers.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 10 ft.
Showers.
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt in the morning decreasing to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-011445-
Sumner Strait-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Showers.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 11 ft
building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE storm force wind to 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt near
ocean entrances. Seas 14 ft, except 23 ft near ocean entrances. 
Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt decreasing in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft, 
except 17 ft near ocean entrances. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean 
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-011445-
Clarence Strait-
337 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 3 ft 
building to 7 ft late. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft. Showers 
early in the evening. Showers late. 
.FRI...SE wind increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft 
building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE storm force wind to 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt 
late. Gusts to 65 kt in the evening. Seas 22 ft subsiding to 12 ft
late. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 11 ft near ocean 
entrances. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

215 
FZAK51 PAJK 011217
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-020245-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A gale force front extending SW to NE across the eastern gulf 
tracks slowly E through Friday afternoon as a hurricane force low 
approaches from the S. The hurricane force low weakens slightly to
storm force as it tracks NE Friday night and makes landfall near 
Cape Fairweather Saturday morning. On Sat a ridge of high pressure
builds across the Panhandle as low pressure remains in the 
northern gulf. 

$$

PKZ011-020245-
Glacier Bay-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain
showers. 
.SAT...SE gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-020245-
Northern Lynn Canal-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Rain
showers. 
.SAT...S gale to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-020245-
Southern Lynn Canal-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt late. Seas 7 ft. 
Showers.
.SAT...SE gale to 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-020245-
Icy Strait-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE gale to 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-020245-
Cross Sound-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
Showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 18 ft. 
Showers.
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 22 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-020245-
Stephens Passage-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE gale to 45 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 60 kt decreasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-020245-
Northern Chatham Strait-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 35 kt in the morning, then
diminishing to 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers.
.SAT...S gale to 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts to 55 kt in the morning. Seas 9 ft subsiding to
5 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-020245-
Southern Chatham Strait-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 10 ft building to
14 ft in the afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 13 ft building
to 22 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming SW late. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas
24 ft, except 39 ft near ocean entrances. Showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S gale to 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 15 ft subsiding to
7 ft in the afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 31 ft subsiding
to 18 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 14 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-020245-
Frederick Sound-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming SW 45 kt late. Seas 12 ft. 
Showers.
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Out of interior passes, gusts to
45 kt in the morning. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-020245-
Sumner Strait-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the 
afternoon. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt late. Gusts to 60 
kt. Seas 16 ft, except 27 ft near ocean entrances. Showers and 
slight chance of thunderstorms.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 19 ft subsiding to 13 ft in
the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 10 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-020245-
Clarence Strait-
417 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft building to 17 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 40 kt late. Gusts to 65 kt in
the evening, Seas 20 ft subsiding to 11 ft late. Near ocean
entrances, seas 24 ft subsiding to 16 ft late. Showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in
the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 10 ft near
ocean entrances. Showers.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

691 
FZAK51 PAJK 012351
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-021430-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A hurricane force low approaches the eastern gulf from the
south. The hurricane force low weakens slightly to storm force as
it tracks NE Friday night and makes landfall near Cape 
Fairweather Saturday morning. Outlook: A ridge of high pressure 
builds across the Panhandle as weak low pressure remains in the 
northern gulf through the weekend. 

$$

PKZ011-021430-
Glacier Bay-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the evening, then 
becoming SE late. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers
in the evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-021430-
Northern Lynn Canal-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N 15 kt in the evening, then
increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft late. Rain 
showers. 
.SAT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then
2 ft or less. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-021430-
Southern Lynn Canal-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the evening, then
becoming SE late. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers in the
evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-021430-
Icy Strait-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then
2 ft or less. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-021430-
Cross Sound-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building 
to 18 ft late. Showers.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 21 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 12 ft. S
swell. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-021430-
Stephens Passage-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt. Gusts to 55 kt 
increasing to 65 kt. Seas 9 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 55 kt decreasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-021430-
Northern Chatham Strait-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-021430-
Southern Chatham Strait-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the evening, then
becoming SW late. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft.
Near ocean entrances, seas 16 ft building to 29 ft. Showers in
the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Showers late. 
.SAT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft in
the afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 22 ft subsiding to
16 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 13 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 12 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 10 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-021430-
Frederick Sound-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. 
Seas 9 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-021430-
Sumner Strait-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt. 
Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 12 ft 
building to 19 ft. Showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 45 kt in the morning. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in
the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-021430-
Clarence Strait-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the evening, then
becoming S 35 kt late. Gusts to 70 kt in the evening. Seas 18 ft 
in the evening. Seas 12 ft late. Near ocean entrances, seas 13 ft 
building to 17 ft in the evening. Showers. Slight chance of 
thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 6 ft, 
except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Showers.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

975 
FZAK51 PAJK 020109 AAA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-021430-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A hurricane force low approaches the eastern gulf from the
south. The hurricane force low weakens slightly to storm force as
it tracks NE Friday night and makes landfall near Cape 
Fairweather Saturday morning. Outlook: A ridge of high pressure 
builds across the Panhandle as weak low pressure remains in the 
northern gulf through the weekend. 

$$

PKZ011-021430-
Glacier Bay-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the evening, then 
becoming SE 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain 
showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers
in the evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-021430-
Northern Lynn Canal-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N 15 kt in the evening, then
increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft late. Rain 
showers. 
.SAT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then
2 ft or less. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-021430-
Southern Lynn Canal-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the evening, then
becoming SE 35 kt late. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers in the
evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-021430-
Icy Strait-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 7 
ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then
2 ft or less. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-021430-
Cross Sound-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building 
to 18 ft late. Showers.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 21 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 12 ft. S
swell. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-021430-
Stephens Passage-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the evening. Gusts 
to 55 kt increasing to 65 kt. Seas 9 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 55 kt decreasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ032-021430-
Northern Chatham Strait-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-021430-
Southern Chatham Strait-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the evening, then
becoming SW late. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft.
Near ocean entrances, seas 16 ft building to 29 ft. Showers in
the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Showers late. 
.SAT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft in
the afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 22 ft subsiding to
16 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 13 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 12 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 10 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ034-021430-
Frederick Sound-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. 
Seas 9 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ035-021430-
Sumner Strait-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt. 
Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 12 ft 
building to 19 ft. Showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 45 kt in the morning. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in
the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ036-021430-
Clarence Strait-
510 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the evening, then
becoming S 35 kt late. Gusts to 70 kt in the evening. Seas 18 ft 
in the evening. Seas 12 ft late. Near ocean entrances, seas 13 ft 
building to 17 ft in the evening. Showers. Slight chance of 
thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 6 ft, 
except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Showers.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

556 
FZAK51 PAJK 020845 AAB
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-021445-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A hurricane force low approaches the eastern gulf from the
south. The hurricane force low weakens slightly to storm  force
as it tracks NE Friday night and makes landfall near Cape 
Fairweather Saturday morning.  Outlook: A ridge of high pressure
builds across the Panhandle as  weak low pressure remains in the
northern gulf through the  weekend.  

$$

PKZ011-021445-
Glacier Bay-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS 
AFTERNOON...

.EARLY THIS MORNING...N wind 15 kt becoming SE wind 30 kt. Gusts 
to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain 
showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers
in the evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ012-021445-
Northern Lynn Canal-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.EARLY THIS MORNING...N wind 15 kt becoming 35 kt late. Seas 7 
ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then
2 ft or less. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ013-021445-
Southern Lynn Canal-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.EARLY THIS MORNING...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Showers in the
evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ021-021445-
Icy Strait-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.EARLY THIS MORNING...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then
2 ft or less. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ022-021445-
Cross Sound-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building 
to 18 ft late. Showers.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 21 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 12 ft. S
swell. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 



$$

PKZ031-021445-
Stephens Passage-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.EARLY THIS MORNING...SE wind 50 kt. Gusts to 75 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
Showers.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 55 kt decreasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ032-021445-
Northern Chatham Strait-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ033-021445-
Southern Chatham Strait-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas 20 ft. Near ocean
entrances, seas 29 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Showers. 
.SAT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft in
the afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 22 ft subsiding to
16 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 13 ft near
ocean entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 12 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 10 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ034-021445-
Frederick Sound-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 9 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ035-021445-
Sumner Strait-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt late. Gusts to 65 
kt. Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 12 ft 
building to 19 ft. Showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 45 kt in the morning. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the
afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in
the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

PKZ036-021445-
Clarence Strait-
1245 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.EARLY THIS MORNING...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Showers and
isolated thunderstorms. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 6 ft, 
except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean
entrances. Showers.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 



$$

533 
FZAK51 PAJK 021207
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-030230-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A storm force low over Mt. Fairweather continues NE into the
Canadian Yukon. A ridge of high pressure builds over the Inner
Channels today but weakens tonight. A weak front crosses the
gulf today and reaches the Panhandle tonight as a weak low
follows into the central gulf Sun. 

$$

PKZ011-030230-
Glacier Bay-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain
showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ012-030230-
Northern Lynn Canal-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-030230-
Southern Lynn Canal-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas
4 ft. Showers.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the morning then 2 ft or
less. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ021-030230-
Icy Strait-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt becoming S 15 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to
4 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ022-030230-
Cross Sound-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...STORM WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. Showers.
Isolated thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 14 ft. Isolated
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-030230-
Stephens Passage-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-030230-
Northern Chatham Strait-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Showers. Isolated
thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas
4 ft. Rain shower. Isolated thunderstorms in the evening. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the morning then 2 ft or
less. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds becoming S 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ033-030230-
Southern Chatham Strait-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Near ocean entrances,
seas 30 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon. Showers and
isolated thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 14 ft near ocean
entrances. Isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 12 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 10 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas building to 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-030230-
Frederick Sound-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING EARLY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Showers. Isolated 
thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Isolated thunderstorms in the
evening. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas building to 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-030230-
Sumner Strait-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Near ocean entrances,
seas 20 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Isolated 
thunderstorms. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 10 ft near ocean
entrances. Isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds becoming SW 15 kt. Seas building to
3 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-030230-
Clarence Strait-
407 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 13 ft near ocean
entrances. Isolated thunderstorms. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Showers.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 7 ft near ocean
entrances. Rain showers. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas building to 3 ft. 

$$

303 
FZAK51 PAJK 022335
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-031545-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
The ridge of high pressure over the Inner Channels today weakens 
tonight as a weak front reaches the Panhandle. A weak low moves 
into the central gulf Sunday. 

$$

PKZ011-031545-
Glacier Bay-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas
2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-031545-
Northern Lynn Canal-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Gusts to 40 
kt early in the evening. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft. Rain 
showers.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming NW late. Seas 2 ft or less.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 

$$

PKZ013-031545-
Southern Lynn Canal-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Showers.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the morning then 2 ft or
less. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming SE late. Seas 2 ft or less.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-031545-
Icy Strait-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Slight chance of 
thunderstorms in the evening. Rain showers.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-031545-
Cross Sound-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt late. Seas 13 ft. Rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming E 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-031545-
Stephens Passage-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt early in the evening.
Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
evening. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft
or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-031545-
Northern Chatham Strait-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas
4 ft. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft in the morning then 2 ft or less. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds becoming S 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-031545-
Southern Chatham Strait-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 14 ft near ocean 
entrances. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 12 ft near ocean 
entrances. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 10 ft near 
ocean entrances. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 7 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft
near ocean entrances. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-031545-
Frederick Sound-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and slight 
chance of thunderstorms. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft
or less. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-031545-
Sumner Strait-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 10 ft near ocean 
entrances. Rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 9 ft near ocean entrances.
Rain showers. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft
or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 7 ft. Rain showers in the
evening. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 5 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.WED...Light winds becoming SW 15 kt. Seas building to
3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-031545-
Clarence Strait-
335 PM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 10 ft near ocean 
entrances. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 9 ft near ocean
entrances. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning.
Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft
or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 7 ft. Rain showers in the
evening. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

.SHORT TERM.../Through Friday night/ Very active weather over the
next several days for SE Alaska with different features moving
through each period. An elongated area of low pressure over the
eastern gulf has had multiple smaller vortices or areas of low
pressure rotating about it. These have contributed to a band of
showers tracking northward across the region through the day.
Meanwhile, a new surface low center has formed at the base of the
large scale upper level trough well to the south. This low can be
seen with satellite imagery drawing up moisture from the central
Pacific. The low looks to track into the Dixon Entrance region
around midnight and bring more moderate to heavy showers for the
southern panhandle. A shift in the low track slightly east/west
will cause large changes to the wind direction through Clarence
Strait and the surrounding Ketchikan area. At this time, we think
that the place to see the strongest winds from tonight's low is
the Metlakatla area, very similar to last night, where gusts of 40
mph are in the forecast.

On Thursday morning the low will shift NE into central B.C. and
most of the inside waters will have a wind shift from N-NE to
S-SW through the day. A trough of low pressure extending over the
NE gulf from the Dixon Entrance low will have a more organized
band of showers along it all the way up to Yakutat. Expect this
band to track into the outer coast mid-day and inland through the
afternoon. Some potential exists with this band of showers for
some lightning or ice pellets, particularly in the vicinity of
Mt. Fairweather.

**SIGNIFICANT FALL SYSTEM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY**

An atmospheric river approaches the NE gulf coast Thursday night,
then spreads east over the entire panhandle by early Friday
morning. A new low center will develop and track along the front
into the eastern gulf Friday night and increase rainfall
rates/continue the heavy rain into the weekend. Between Thursday
night and Saturday night 2.5 to 5 inches of rain is expected with
greatest amounts in the Pelican area and in upslope favored areas.

Marine/wind impacts: A major fall storm system is expected to
develop in the north pacific on Friday as energy from both the
northern and southern streams of the jet stream phase together. A
powerful 150+ kt jet streak rounds the base of a large trough over
the gulf of Alaska Friday then pushes northward into SE Alaska. A
near hurricane force low develops in the north pacific in
response to the phasing systems then pushes northward into the
eastern gulf late Friday night. After coordination with the Ocean
Prediction Center and reviewing the latest models and ensembles,
confidence is increasing that much of the eastern gulf will see
high end storm force winds with hurricane force gusts likely.
Models continue to trend eastward with the track of the low
pushing it into Cape Fairweather on Saturday. A further east track
will mean significant impacts possible for the eastern gulf and
through the Inner Channels. Gale force winds are expected through
the Central and Southern Inner Channels Friday into Saturday. An
80 kt low level jet associated with the low combined with low
level instability may lead to a widespread high wind event across
Southeast Alaska. High Wind Watches have been posted from the Icy
Strait Corridor (including Juneau) and southward for Friday
evening through Saturday afternoon. Another significant risk
factor will be a possible wind shift from the SE to the SW as the
front passes through. A wind shift with high winds may cause
additional impacts as weakened trees and power lines may easily
be knocked down. Also cannot rule out the potential for
landslides. during the time of the windshift. This storm system
will be monitored very closely over the next few days.

Confidence is increasing throughout the short term as guidance
comes into better agreement. There is still some uncertainty
regarding the track of the near hurricane force low on Friday;
however guidance is converging on a more eastern track. A blend of
the GFS/EURO was preferred for this forecast package.

.LONG TERM.../ Friday to Wednesday as of 9 pm Tuesday / Friday
and Saturday look to be the most active portion of the next week.
A strongly deepening low with central pressure likely below 960
mb will pull into the gulf and then curve northwest before heading
back towards the Kenai Peninsula by Saturday night. The system
looks to have its main front moving into the panhandle Friday
evening, and a second wrap about the low center to the northeast
gulf coast by early Saturday morning. Model solutions are closing
in on a more central single solution, and as a result need to
adjust the Friday/Saturday forecast a bit more.

Have deepened the low depth into the 950s, and bumped up winds as
well where there is a significant band of 50 to 60 kt over the
outer waters, and 35 to 45 kt gales over a several of the inner
channels. Forecast seas for Friday to Saturday were also increased
significantly. Rainfall for the panhandle for the 48 hour period
also ranging generally between 3 and 8 inches through Saturday
night. QPF totals in the forecast looking to range between 2 and 5
year return intervals over the panhandle. Will be watching this
as rivers have been primed with rain from 2 prior events. Rapidly
improving conditions will occur during the day on Saturday as the
low weakens and pushes into Canada.

If the pattern holds and seas build and move as models are
thinking there could be some very impressive waves moving into
the northeast gulf coast area around Yakutat structures near the
shoreline.

After Saturday Southeast Alaska should expect a continuation of
showers and the improvement starting on Monday into Tuesday. A
ridge is building over the eastern gulf towards the panhandle for
Tuesday while a new deep low continues to develop over the
northern Bering Sea and will be attempting to push the next front
to the western gulf Tuesday night.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning
     for AKZ017-022-023-027-028.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-033-035-036-041>043-051-052.

&&

Ferrin/CM/Bezenek

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