Gale Warning 194, NWS Juneau, AK

243 
FZAK52 PAJK 302338
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-011745-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force front pushes through the gulf Thursday night and 
into Friday morning. A storm force low moves into the southern 
gulf Friday afternoon and moves north through Saturday. Seas are 
expected to build to very high conditions late Friday night into 
Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-011745-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers late. 
.FRI...S wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 65 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft building to 28 ft in
the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 39 ft. Showers
in the evening, then slight chance of thunderstorms late. 
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 26 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. Rain
showers. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-011745-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt late. Seas 13 ft
building to 17 ft late. Showers.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft building to 27 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas
40 ft. Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 34 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-011745-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt. Seas 12 ft building to
16 ft late. Showers.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E storm force wind to 55 kt becoming SW late.
Gusts to 70 kt. Seas 33 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW gale to 45 kt. Seas 34 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-011745-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building 
to 13 ft. Showers in the evening, then slight chance of 
thunderstorms late. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...E gale to 45 kt becoming N gale to 35 kt late.
Seas 24 ft. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-011745-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the evening, then
becoming S 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 15 ft. Showers in
the evening, then slight chance of thunderstorms late. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
SW swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming NW late. Seas 11 ft
building to 16 ft late. SW swell increasing to S late. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

235 
FZAK52 PAJK 010402 AAA
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
755 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-011745-
755 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force front pushes through the gulf Thursday night and 
into Friday morning. A storm force low moves into the southern 
gulf Friday afternoon and moves north through Saturday. Seas are 
expected to build to very high conditions late Friday night into 
Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-011745-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
755 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers late. 
.FRI...S wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 65 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft building to 28 ft in
the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 39 ft. Showers
in the evening, then slight chance of thunderstorms late. 
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 26 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. Rain
showers. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-011745-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
755 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt late. Seas 13 ft
building to 17 ft late. Showers.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft building to 27 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas
40 ft. Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 34 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-011745-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
755 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt. Seas 12 ft building to
16 ft late. Showers.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E storm force wind to 55 kt becoming SW late.
Gusts to 70 kt. Seas 33 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW gale to 45 kt. Seas 34 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-011745-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
755 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building 
to 13 ft. Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms . 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...E gale to 45 kt becoming N gale to 35 kt late.
Seas 24 ft. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-011745-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
755 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the evening, then
becoming S 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 15 ft. Showers in
the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
SW swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming NW late. Seas 11 ft
building to 16 ft late. SW swell increasing to S late. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

135 
FZAK52 PAJK 010454 AAB
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
850 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-011745-
850 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force front pushes through the gulf Thursday night and 
into Friday morning. A storm force low moves into the southern 
gulf Friday afternoon and moves north through Saturday. Seas are 
expected to build to very high conditions late Friday night into 
Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-011745-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
850 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers late. 
.FRI...S wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon.
Gusts to 65 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft building to 28 ft in
the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 39 ft. Showers
in the evening, then slight chance of thunderstorms late. 
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 26 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. Rain
showers. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-011745-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
850 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt late. Seas 13 ft
building to 17 ft late. Showers.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft building to 27 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas
40 ft. Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 34 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-011745-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
850 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 35 kt. Seas 12 ft building to
16 ft late. Showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E storm force wind to 55 kt becoming SW late.
Gusts to 70 kt. Seas 33 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW gale to 45 kt. Seas 34 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-011745-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
850 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building 
to 13 ft. Showers and isolated thunderstorms. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...E gale to 45 kt becoming N gale to 35 kt late.
Seas 24 ft. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-011745-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
850 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the evening, then
becoming S 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 15 ft. Showers and 
isolated thunderstorms. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
SW swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming NW late. Seas 11 ft
building to 16 ft late. SW swell increasing to S late. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 

$$

411 
FZAK52 PAJK 011157
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
357 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-020600-
357 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force front extending SW to NE across the eastern gulf 
tracks slowly E through Friday afternoon as a hurricane force low 
approaches from the S. The hurricane force low weakens slightly to
storm force as it tracks NE Friday night and makes landfall near 
Cape Fairweather Saturday morning. On Sat a ridge of high pressure
builds across the Panhandle as low pressure remains in the 
northern gulf. 

$$

PKZ041-020600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
357 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 65 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft building to 29 ft in the 
afternoon. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 55 kt becoming SW 35 kt late. Seas 43 ft. 
Showers in the evening, then slight chance of thunderstorms late.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
31 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-020600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
357 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft building to 28 ft in the afternoon. Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 55 kt becoming W. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas 44 ft. 
Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 37 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
Showers in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-020600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
357 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
19 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 60 kt becoming SW 50 kt late. 
Seas 36 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW gale to 45 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 35 ft subsiding to 22 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-020600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
357 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Showers in 
the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt becoming NW 30 kt late. Seas 26 ft. 
Showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft.
Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-020600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
357 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
Slight chance of thunderstorms early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming NW 20 kt late. Seas 12 ft
building to 17 ft late. S swell late. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the
afternoon. SE swell becoming S in the afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

215 
FZAK52 PAJK 012351
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-021800-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A hurricane force low approaches the eastern gulf from the
south. The hurricane force low weakens slightly to storm force as
it tracks NE Friday night and makes landfall near Cape 
Fairweather Saturday morning. Outlook: A ridge of high pressure 
builds across the Panhandle as weak low pressure remains in the 
northern gulf through the weekend. 

$$

PKZ041-021800-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 55 kt becoming SW 45 kt late. Seas 26 ft
building to 38 ft. Showers in the evening, then slight chance of
thunderstorms late. 
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon. Showers in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. W swell. Showers in
the evening. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. W swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-021800-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft building to 39 ft. Showers
in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 28 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. W swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-021800-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt increasing to 55 kt in the evening, then
becoming W late. Seas 21 ft building to 35 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 32 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. Rain
showers in the evening. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. W swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. W swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-021800-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 50 kt in the evening, then
becoming N 35 kt late. Seas 16 ft building to 25 ft. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W late. Seas 13 ft. SW
swell. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-021800-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
351 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 18 ft. SW swell
early in the evening. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. SE swell becoming S in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming E late. Seas 11 ft. SW
swell. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

835 
FZAK52 PAJK 020143 AAA
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
540 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-021800-
540 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A hurricane force low approaches the eastern gulf from the
south. The hurricane force low weakens slightly to storm force as
it tracks NE Friday night and makes landfall near Cape 
Fairweather Saturday morning. Outlook: A ridge of high pressure 
builds across the Panhandle as weak low pressure remains in the 
northern gulf through the weekend. 

$$

PKZ041-021800-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
540 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 55 kt becoming SW 45 kt late. Seas 26 ft
building to 38 ft. Showers. Isolated thunderstorms. 
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon. Showers in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. W swell. Showers in
the evening. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. W swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-021800-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
540 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft building to 39 ft. Showers. 
Isolated thunderstorms. 
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 28 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. W swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-021800-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
540 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt increasing to 55 kt in the evening, then
becoming W late. Seas 21 ft building to 35 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 32 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the
afternoon. Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. Rain
showers in the evening. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. W swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. W swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-021800-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
540 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...STORM WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 50 kt in the evening, then
becoming N 35 kt late. Seas 16 ft building to 25 ft. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
Showers.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W late. Seas 13 ft. SW
swell. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-021800-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
540 PM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 18 ft. SW swell
early in the evening. Showers.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. SE swell becoming S in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming E late. Seas 11 ft. SW
swell. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

886 
FZAK52 PAJK 021145
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
345 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-030545-
345 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A storm force low over Mt. Fairweather continues NE into the
Canadian Yukon. A ridge of high pressure builds over the Inner
Channels today but weakens tonight. A weak front crosses the
gulf today and reaches the Panhandle tonight as a weak low
follows into the central gulf Sun. 

$$

PKZ041-030545-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
345 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING EARLY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 30 ft subsiding
to 20 ft in the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms. Showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. W swell. Isolated
thunderstorms in the evening. Showers.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. W swell. Showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. W swell. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-030545-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
345 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 36 ft subsiding
to 21 ft in the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms. Showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. W swell. Showers.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. W swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-030545-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
345 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...STORM WARNING EARLY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 37
ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon. Showers. Isolated 
thunderstorms.  
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. Rain showers. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...Light winds. Seas 10 ft. W swell. 
.MON...Light winds becoming N 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 10 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-030545-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
345 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft. Showers in the morning, then isolated thunderstorms in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 12 ft late.
Isolated thunderstorms in the evening. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
SW swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-030545-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
345 AM AKDT Sat Oct 2 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. S swell in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft
building to 7 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

.SHORT TERM.../Through Friday night/ Very active weather over the
next several days for SE Alaska with different features moving
through each period. An elongated area of low pressure over the
eastern gulf has had multiple smaller vortices or areas of low
pressure rotating about it. These have contributed to a band of
showers tracking northward across the region through the day.
Meanwhile, a new surface low center has formed at the base of the
large scale upper level trough well to the south. This low can be
seen with satellite imagery drawing up moisture from the central
Pacific. The low looks to track into the Dixon Entrance region
around midnight and bring more moderate to heavy showers for the
southern panhandle. A shift in the low track slightly east/west
will cause large changes to the wind direction through Clarence
Strait and the surrounding Ketchikan area. At this time, we think
that the place to see the strongest winds from tonight's low is
the Metlakatla area, very similar to last night, where gusts of 40
mph are in the forecast.

On Thursday morning the low will shift NE into central B.C. and
most of the inside waters will have a wind shift from N-NE to
S-SW through the day. A trough of low pressure extending over the
NE gulf from the Dixon Entrance low will have a more organized
band of showers along it all the way up to Yakutat. Expect this
band to track into the outer coast mid-day and inland through the
afternoon. Some potential exists with this band of showers for
some lightning or ice pellets, particularly in the vicinity of
Mt. Fairweather.

**SIGNIFICANT FALL SYSTEM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY**

An atmospheric river approaches the NE gulf coast Thursday night,
then spreads east over the entire panhandle by early Friday
morning. A new low center will develop and track along the front
into the eastern gulf Friday night and increase rainfall
rates/continue the heavy rain into the weekend. Between Thursday
night and Saturday night 2.5 to 5 inches of rain is expected with
greatest amounts in the Pelican area and in upslope favored areas.

Marine/wind impacts: A major fall storm system is expected to
develop in the north pacific on Friday as energy from both the
northern and southern streams of the jet stream phase together. A
powerful 150+ kt jet streak rounds the base of a large trough over
the gulf of Alaska Friday then pushes northward into SE Alaska. A
near hurricane force low develops in the north pacific in
response to the phasing systems then pushes northward into the
eastern gulf late Friday night. After coordination with the Ocean
Prediction Center and reviewing the latest models and ensembles,
confidence is increasing that much of the eastern gulf will see
high end storm force winds with hurricane force gusts likely.
Models continue to trend eastward with the track of the low
pushing it into Cape Fairweather on Saturday. A further east track
will mean significant impacts possible for the eastern gulf and
through the Inner Channels. Gale force winds are expected through
the Central and Southern Inner Channels Friday into Saturday. An
80 kt low level jet associated with the low combined with low
level instability may lead to a widespread high wind event across
Southeast Alaska. High Wind Watches have been posted from the Icy
Strait Corridor (including Juneau) and southward for Friday
evening through Saturday afternoon. Another significant risk
factor will be a possible wind shift from the SE to the SW as the
front passes through. A wind shift with high winds may cause
additional impacts as weakened trees and power lines may easily
be knocked down. Also cannot rule out the potential for
landslides. during the time of the windshift. This storm system
will be monitored very closely over the next few days.

Confidence is increasing throughout the short term as guidance
comes into better agreement. There is still some uncertainty
regarding the track of the near hurricane force low on Friday;
however guidance is converging on a more eastern track. A blend of
the GFS/EURO was preferred for this forecast package.

.LONG TERM.../ Friday to Wednesday as of 9 pm Tuesday / Friday
and Saturday look to be the most active portion of the next week.
A strongly deepening low with central pressure likely below 960
mb will pull into the gulf and then curve northwest before heading
back towards the Kenai Peninsula by Saturday night. The system
looks to have its main front moving into the panhandle Friday
evening, and a second wrap about the low center to the northeast
gulf coast by early Saturday morning. Model solutions are closing
in on a more central single solution, and as a result need to
adjust the Friday/Saturday forecast a bit more.

Have deepened the low depth into the 950s, and bumped up winds as
well where there is a significant band of 50 to 60 kt over the
outer waters, and 35 to 45 kt gales over a several of the inner
channels. Forecast seas for Friday to Saturday were also increased
significantly. Rainfall for the panhandle for the 48 hour period
also ranging generally between 3 and 8 inches through Saturday
night. QPF totals in the forecast looking to range between 2 and 5
year return intervals over the panhandle. Will be watching this
as rivers have been primed with rain from 2 prior events. Rapidly
improving conditions will occur during the day on Saturday as the
low weakens and pushes into Canada.

If the pattern holds and seas build and move as models are
thinking there could be some very impressive waves moving into
the northeast gulf coast area around Yakutat structures near the
shoreline.

After Saturday Southeast Alaska should expect a continuation of
showers and the improvement starting on Monday into Tuesday. A
ridge is building over the eastern gulf towards the panhandle for
Tuesday while a new deep low continues to develop over the
northern Bering Sea and will be attempting to push the next front
to the western gulf Tuesday night.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning
     for AKZ017-022-023-027-028.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-033-035-036-041>043-051-052.

&&

Ferrin/CM/Bezenek

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