Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 490

September 15, 2020Baldwin County, Alabama; 13 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 15, 2020, 5:48 PM CDT for Baldwin County, Alabama; 13 counties in Florida. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 15, 2020, 5:48 PM CDT (22:48 UTC)
Expired
Sep 16, 2020, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Baldwin County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Escambia County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Liberty County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
20%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 5:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin5 hr
Sep 15, 8:01 PM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay29 min
Sep 15, 9:05 PM CDTTornado WarningTAEGulf25 min
Sep 15, 9:10 PM CDTTornado WarningTAEFranklin, Gulf16 min
Sep 15, 9:25 PM CDTTornado WarningTAEGulf10 min
Sep 15, 9:47 PM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay27 min
Sep 15, 10:34 PM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay26 min
Sep 15, 10:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTAEGulf24 hr
Sep 15, 10:44 PM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay10 min
Sep 15, 11:00 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatMOBBaldwin, Mobile8 hr
Sep 15, 11:36 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBEscambia, Santa Rosa28 min
Sep 16, 1:03 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatMOBBaldwin6 hr
Sep 16, 1:23 AM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay16 min
Sep 16, 1:34 AM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay26 min
Sep 16, 1:52 AM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay23 min
Sep 16, 2:09 AM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay16 min
Sep 16, 2:23 AM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay10 min
Sep 16, 2:59 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBSanta Rosa31 min
Sep 16, 3:33 AM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay, Calhoun27 min
Sep 16, 3:42 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBSanta Rosa15 min
Sep 16, 3:44 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBOkaloosa16 min
Sep 16, 3:44 AM CDTTornado WarningTAEFranklin, Gulf, Liberty31 min
Sep 16, 3:45 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatMOBOkaloosa, Santa Rosa8 hr
Sep 16, 3:58 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin, Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia and 1 more6 hr
Sep 16, 3:59 AM CDTTornado WarningTAECalhoun, Franklin, Gulf, Liberty31 min
Sep 16, 4:00 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBOkaloosa15 min
Sep 16, 5:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin, Covington, Escambia10 hr
Sep 16, 5:02 AM CDTTornado WarningTAEFranklin, Gulf28 min
Sep 16, 5:28 AM CDTTornado WarningTAEBay, Calhoun, Jackson, Washington13 min
Sep 16, 5:31 AM CDTTornado WarningTAECalhoun, Franklin, Gulf, Liberty29 min
Sep 16, 5:57 AM CDTTornado WarningTAECalhoun, Liberty33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 204 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2020-09-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 64 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2020-09-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 132 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
64 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-65 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1002 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
120 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

718 
WWUS20 KWNS 152245
SEL0  
SPC WW 152245
ALZ000-FLZ000-CWZ000-161100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 490
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  A small part of southwest Alabama
  Much of the Florida Panhandle
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning from 550
  PM until 600 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...Hurricane Sally will continue to move very slowly toward
the coast through early Wednesday.  Convective bands will spread
inland to the east of the center, and a couple of tornadoes will be
possible overnight as embedded supercells reach the coast.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 40 miles west southwest of Pensacola
FL to 35 miles south of Tallahassee FL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 489. Watch number 489 will not be in effect after
550 PM CDT. 

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 13040.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 6:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Conecuh, Covington, Escambia, Geneva, Mobile2 hr
Sep 15, 6:45 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Mobile11 hr
Sep 15, 10:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile3 hr
Sep 15, 2:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Escambia, Mobile119 min
Sep 15, 5:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEscambia2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2020Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.