Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2020
Tornado Watch 48
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 12, 2020, 5:09 PM CDT for 36 counties in Kentucky; 7 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 12, 2020, 5:09 PM CDT (22:09 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 12, 2020, 10:26 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 43 counties
Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Clay County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Trousdale County, TN
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 5:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Warren | 59 min |
| Mar 12, 5:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Grayson, Hardin, Hart, Larue | 29 min |
| Mar 12, 5:34 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Grayson, Hardin | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 5:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Butler, Ohio | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 5:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Green, Hart, Taylor | 47 min |
| Mar 12, 5:59 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Hart | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 6:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Ohio, Warren | 27 min |
| Mar 12, 6:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren | 38 min |
| Mar 12, 6:16 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Green, Taylor | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 6:21 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Hart, Warren | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Warren | 36 min |
| Mar 12, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Casey, Green, Taylor | 33 min |
| Mar 12, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Warren | 45 min |
| Mar 12, 6:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Larue | 2 hr |
| Mar 12, 6:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Adair, Casey, Taylor | 31 min |
| Mar 12, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Grayson | 47 min |
| Mar 12, 7:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Adair, Casey | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 7:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Adair, Cumberland, Green, Metcalfe | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Cumberland, Metcalfe | 50 min |
| Mar 12, 7:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Clinton, Russell | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 7:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Hart | 27 min |
| Mar 12, 8:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Clinton, Russell | 26 min |
| Mar 12, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL | McCreary, Whitley | 43 min |
| Mar 12, 9:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JKL | Bell, McCreary, Whitley | 31 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 662 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 156 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 182 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
232
WWUS20 KWNS 122202
SEL8
SPC WW 122202
KYZ000-TNZ000-130500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 48
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
505 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central Kentucky
Northern Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 505 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms including several supercells will continue
to move east-southeastward this evening, particularly in vicinity of
a warm front. This includes the potential for a couple of tornadoes
aside from large hail and damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles west northwest of Bowling
Green KY to 115 miles east of Bowling Green KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 46...WW 47...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28040.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 11:13 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian and 24 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 12, 11:44 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allen, Ballard, Barren, Breckinridge, Butler, Caldwell and 30 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 12, 1:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Crittenden, Livingston, Lyon, McCracken, Union and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 12, 2:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Fulton | 89 min |
| Mar 12, 3:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caldwell, Christian, Crittenden, Hopkins, Livingston, Lyon and 2 more | 85 min |
| Mar 12, 3:44 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ballard, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, McCracken | 7 hr |
| Mar 12, 6:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Barren, Clinton, Cumberland, Edmonson, Green and 6 more | 85 min |
| Mar 12, 5:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dyer, Lake, Obion | 84 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2020Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.