Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2020
Tornado Watch 46
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 12, 2020, 11:44 AM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 12, 2020, 11:44 AM CDT (16:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 12, 2020, 6:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 90 counties
Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Allen County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 1:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Jefferson, Perry | 45 min |
| Mar 12, 1:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Jackson, Perry, Union, Williamson | 51 min |
| Mar 12, 1:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Hamilton, Jefferson, White | 43 min |
| Mar 12, 2:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Hamilton, Johnson, Pope, Saline, Williamson | 39 min |
| Mar 12, 2:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Franklin | 73 min |
| Mar 12, 2:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Gallatin, Hardin, Pope, Saline | 48 min |
| Mar 12, 3:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Crittenden, Hopkins, Union, Webster | 39 min |
| Mar 12, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler | 29 min |
| Mar 12, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg | 65 min |
| Mar 12, 4:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Grayson | 32 min |
| Mar 12, 4:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Grayson | 27 min |
| Mar 12, 4:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Grayson, Hancock, Hardin, Ohio | 33 min |
| Mar 12, 4:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Edmonson, Hart | 32 min |
| Mar 12, 4:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Ohio | 46 min |
| Mar 12, 5:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Muhlenberg | 16 min |
| Mar 12, 5:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Edmonson, Warren | 59 min |
| Mar 12, 5:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Grayson, Hardin, Hart, Larue | 29 min |
| Mar 12, 5:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Muhlenberg | 29 min |
| Mar 12, 5:34 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Grayson, Hardin | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 5:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Butler, Ohio | 3 hr |
| Mar 12, 5:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Green, Hart, Taylor | 47 min |
| Mar 12, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Stoddard | 27 min |
| Mar 12, 5:59 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Hart | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 662 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 156 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 182 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
455
WWUS20 KWNS 121641
SEL6
SPC WW 121641
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-122200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 46
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest and North Central Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1145 AM
until 500 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms will track across the
watch area this afternoon, with a few supercell storms expected to
develop. Strengthening winds aloft will pose a risk of a tornadoes,
possibly strong. Hail and damaging winds are also possible with the
strongest storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest of Cape
Girardeau MO to 35 miles northeast of Bowling Green KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 26035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 9:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Madison, Monroe, Saint Clair | 114 min |
| Mar 12, 11:13 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 4 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 12, 1:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 12 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 12, 2:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Pulaski | 89 min |
| Mar 12, 3:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hardin, Pope | 85 min |
| Mar 12, 3:44 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alexander, Jackson, Johnson, Massac, Pulaski, Union | 7 hr |
| Mar 12, 5:09 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Allen, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge, Bullitt and 30 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 12, 6:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Barren, Clinton, Cumberland, Edmonson, Green and 6 more | 85 min |
| Mar 12, 5:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Dunklin, New Madrid, Pemiscot, Ripley | 84 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2020Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2020Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.