Severe Thunderstorm Warning 248, NWS North Platte, NE

177 
WWUS53 KLBF 202211
SVSLBF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
511 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

NEC005-101-111-117-202230-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-200720T2230Z/
Arthur NE-Keith NE-Lincoln NE-McPherson NE-
511 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM
CDT/430 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN ARTHUR...NORTHEASTERN KEITH...
NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND SOUTHWESTERN MCPHERSON COUNTIES...

At 511 PM CDT/411 PM MDT/, a severe thunderstorm was located 17 miles
north of Sarben, or 20 miles southeast of Arthur, and is nearly
stationary.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Bucktail Lake, Schnick Lake and Diamond Bar Lake. 

This includes Highway 92 between mile markers 185 and 195.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4136 10147 4153 10147 4159 10111 4136 10106
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 294DEG 3KT 4142 10135 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Taylor

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
342 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

An upper trough in the northern stream will push a disturbance
through the area tonight. A weak cold front, and likely outflow
boundaries from thunderstorms will also move through. Scattered storms
in southern South Dakota will likely develop into organized
clusters of storms in north central Nebraska this evening and move
southeast. Deep layer shear is sufficient at 25 to 35KT with
instability near 3000 J/KG. The area is covered in a slight risk
for severe storms, with large hail and damaging winds possible.
Locally heavy rainfall also, with PWAT amounts near 1.5 inches.

Tuesday looks to be dry through much of the day in the wake of the
system tonight. Moisture will remain plentiful as PWATs still
1-1.5 inches. Slightly warmer in the mid 80s, with upper 80s far
southwest.

Thunderstorm chances increase again Tuesday night as the surface
front stalls in far northern Kansas. The best chances will be
north of this front across southwest and central Nebraska
overnight. A few strong storms possible along with locally heavy
rainfall.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

For Wednesday and beyond, an upper ridge will build into the
region, and with that, hot temperatures into the mid 90s with
humid conditions Thursday through Sunday. Monsoonal moisture will
rotate across the region. Warmer temperatures aloft should
suppress thunderstorm development to some degree, with mainly
isolated late afternoon and evening thunderstorms possible.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1242 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

Visual flight rules expected through 19Z with few clouds clipping
across the north central with the potential for some virga as
cloud bases at 10kft or higher. Beyond 19Z the next round of
convection will enter the north and drop southeast overnight.
Short-term models suggest boundary will move south of the South
Dakota border about 23Z then exit the southwest and north central
after 09Z. Southerly winds turn north as the boundary pushes
through. Little convection expected into the eastern Panhandle
through the period. As the convection rolls through clouds will
lower with the potential of Marginal VFR conditions across the
southwest from 07z and lifting by 15Z to VFR across the area.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Keck

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
338 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-212045-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
338 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020 /238 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

Scattered thunderstorms expected tonight, some of which may be
severe. Storms will be triggered by a cold front moving through
the area from the north. The main hazards will be large hail,
damaging winds and heavy rainfall. Localized minor flooding is
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

Slight chances for thunderstorms Tuesday through Saturday due to a
series of disturbances impacting the region. There is a risk for
a few strong or severe thunderstorms Tuesday, mainly across
southwestern Nebraska. Later outlooks will evaluate the threat for
severe storms the remainder of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to relay any severe weather reports to
the National Weather Service in North Platte.

&&

Get your weather, hydrological, and climate information at
http://www.weather.gov/northplatte

Meltzer/Taylor

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
346 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

NEZ035-036-059-202115-
Arthur-McPherson-Lincoln-
346 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ARTHUR...
NORTHEASTERN KEITH...NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND SOUTHWESTERN MCPHERSON
COUNTIES...

At 345 PM CDT/245 PM MDT/, a strong thunderstorm was located 17 miles
southeast of Arthur, moving east at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail is possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Flatts, Diamond Bar Lake, Bucktail Lake and Schnick Lake.

This includes Highway 92 between mile markers 182 and 190.

LAT...LON 4150 10154 4163 10124 4137 10112 4135 10127
      4140 10127 4140 10148
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 249DEG 10KT 4144 10141

Taylor

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
357 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

NEZ036-057-059-202130-
McPherson-Lincoln-Keith-
357 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN KEITH...
NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND SOUTH CENTRAL MCPHERSON COUNTIES...

At 357 PM CDT/257 PM MDT/, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles
north of Sarben, or 23 miles northeast of Ogallala, moving east at 10
mph.

Nickel size hail is possible with this storm.

LAT...LON 4116 10134 4133 10142 4146 10113 4121 10100
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 249DEG 10KT 4127 10130

Taylor

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
259 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2020

NEZ035-202130-
Arthur-
259 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN ARTHUR COUNTY...

At 259 PM MDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 11 miles west of
Arthur, moving east at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail is possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Arthur, Velma, Haythorn Lake, Jensen Lake and McKeag.

This includes Highway 61 between mile markers 114 and 129, and near
mile marker 133.

LAT...LON 4143 10197 4161 10198 4173 10173 4144 10161
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 249DEG 10KT 4154 10190

Taylor

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
416 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             5 SE BUCKTAIL LAKE      41.44N 101.38W
07/20/2020  E1.75 INCH       MCPHERSON          NE   PUBLIC

&&

SMELTZER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
417 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             5 SE BUCKTAIL LAKE      41.44N 101.38W
07/20/2020  E1.00 INCH       MCPHERSON          NE   PUBLIC

&&

SMELTZER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
429 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

NEZ024-036-202200-
Hooker-McPherson-
429 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN HOOKER AND NORTHWESTERN
MCPHERSON COUNTIES...

At 429 PM CDT/329 PM MDT/, a strong thunderstorm was located 18 miles
northwest of Tryon, moving north at 20 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail are possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Big Lamunyon Flats, Sand Beach Lake, East Cody Lake, Highway 97
crossing the Dismal River and Shimmons Lake.

This includes Highway 97 between mile markers 47 and 60.

LAT...LON 4163 10140 4197 10137 4193 10088 4162 10106
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 195DEG 18KT 4167 10126

Taylor