Alert archive / New Jersey / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 74

April 15, 20195 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2019, 1:05 AM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2019, 1:05 AM EDT (05:05 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2019, 5:45 AM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 53 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Greene County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 1:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe47 min
Apr 15, 2:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICecil, Kent45 min
Apr 15, 2:25 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICaroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot50 min
Apr 15, 2:39 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Columbia, Greene, Rensselaer28 min
Apr 15, 2:43 AM EDTTornado WarningPHICaroline, Kent, Queen Anne's32 min
Apr 15, 2:46 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHINew Castle44 min
Apr 15, 3:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren20 min
Apr 15, 3:07 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, New Castle, Sussex38 min
Apr 15, 3:19 AM EDTTornado WarningPHINew Castle26 min
Apr 15, 3:21 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent24 min
Apr 15, 3:26 AM EDTTornado WarningALYGreene13 min
Apr 15, 3:27 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Morris, Somerset32 min
Apr 15, 3:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHISussex47 min
Apr 15, 3:31 AM EDTTornado WarningPHISussex29 min
Apr 15, 3:36 AM EDTTornado WarningPHIKent, Sussex24 min
Apr 15, 3:36 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXOrange39 min
Apr 15, 3:39 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth and 2 more37 min
Apr 15, 3:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, Sussex64 min
Apr 15, 3:57 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMiddlesex, Morris, Somerset13 min
Apr 15, 4:08 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union37 min
Apr 15, 4:22 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYDutchess, Ulster38 min
Apr 15, 4:37 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 2 more23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 7 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 236 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-95 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
437 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
236 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
268 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 11:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex2 hr
Apr 15, 3:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex55 min
Apr 15, 12:41 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester5 hr
Apr 15, 2:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Mary's, Somerset60 min
Apr 14, 9:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chemung, Schuyler, Steuben, Wyoming61 min
Apr 14, 9:56 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBroome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware and 10 more5 hr
Apr 15, 12:33 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEssex, Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Jefferson, Lewis and 8 more117 min
Apr 15, 12:44 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMontour, Northumberland, Snyder, Union61 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2019Tornado Watches in New York, 2019Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.