Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 73

April 15, 20194 counties in Maryland; 17 counties in North Carolina; 53 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2019, 12:41 AM EDT for 4 counties in Maryland; 17 counties in North Carolina; 53 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2019, 12:41 AM EDT (04:41 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2019, 6:07 AM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 74 counties

Dorchester County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Vance County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Accomack County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 1:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway, Prince Edward45 min
Apr 15, 1:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBrunswick, Dinwiddie, Lunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway42 min
Apr 15, 1:10 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Halifax, Vance, Warren35 min
Apr 15, 1:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett, Johnston, Wake44 min
Apr 15, 1:24 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Wake51 min
Apr 15, 1:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico and 3 more47 min
Apr 15, 1:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline47 min
Apr 15, 1:36 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQCharles City, King William, New Kent24 min
Apr 15, 1:38 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBrunswick, Dinwiddie, Greensville, Sussex52 min
Apr 15, 1:43 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Halifax, Warren47 min
Apr 15, 1:48 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Halifax, Nash, Wake42 min
Apr 15, 1:50 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Essex, Hanover, Henrico, King and Queen, King William and 3 more40 min
Apr 15, 1:53 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQEssex, King and Queen, King William, Middlesex52 min
Apr 15, 2:08 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, Dinwiddie, James City, New Kent, Prince George, Surry and 2 more52 min
Apr 15, 2:09 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQLancaster, Northumberland, Richmond51 min
Apr 15, 2:16 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQCharles City, James City, King and Queen, King William, New Kent, Prince George29 min
Apr 15, 2:26 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGreensville, Southampton, Surry, Sussex, City of Emporia49 min
Apr 15, 2:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHalifax17 min
Apr 15, 2:32 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQHertford, Northampton28 min
Apr 15, 2:32 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQEssex, King and Queen, King William, Middlesex, New Kent43 min
Apr 15, 2:44 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQGloucester, King and Queen, Middlesex31 min
Apr 15, 2:50 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQEssex, Lancaster, Northumberland, Richmond, Westmoreland32 min
Apr 15, 2:51 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico39 min
Apr 15, 2:54 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGloucester, James City, King and Queen, Mathews, Middlesex, York and 1 more66 min
Apr 15, 2:54 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQLancaster, Northumberland51 min
Apr 15, 3:01 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQGloucester, James City, King and Queen, Mathews, Middlesex, York27 min
Apr 15, 3:06 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, James City, Southampton, Surry, Sussex, York and 6 more39 min
Apr 15, 3:26 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQGloucester, James City, Mathews, York, City of Newport News34 min
Apr 15, 3:36 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, Southampton, City of Franklin, City of Suffolk24 min
Apr 15, 3:44 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQSomerset31 min
Apr 15, 3:46 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, York, City of Chesapeake, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Norfolk and 4 more44 min
Apr 15, 3:51 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAccomack, Northampton39 min
Apr 15, 4:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQSomerset, Wicomico, Worcester46 min
Apr 15, 4:16 AM EDTTornado WarningAKQWorcester29 min
Apr 15, 4:29 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth, City of Virginia Beach48 min
Apr 15, 5:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCamden, Currituck30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2019-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 124 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2019-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 196 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
124 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-158 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
806 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

072 
WWUS20 KWNS 150437
SEL3  
SPC WW 150437
MDZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-151100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 73
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Maryland
  Northeast North Carolina
  Southeast Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Monday morning from 1240 AM until 700 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Initial showers and thunderstorms across the Piedmont
vicinity of North Carolina into south-central Virginia should
continue to increase in intensity through the overnight. Very strong
low-level shear/SRH contributes to the potential for a few
supercells and bowing segments capable of damaging winds and some
tornado risk.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles west northwest of Salisbury MD
to 30 miles south southwest of Rocky Mount NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 67...WW 69...WW 71...WW
72...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 11:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil, Frederick and 7 more2 hr
Apr 15, 1:05 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCCaroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot5 hr
Apr 15, 2:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Mary's, Somerset60 min
Apr 15, 3:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne's55 min
Apr 14, 10:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Burke, Cabarrus and 26 more96 min
Apr 14, 10:14 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Burke, Cabarrus and 37 more6 hr
Apr 15, 12:07 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Halifax, Nash, Northampton, Vance, Warren113 min
Apr 15, 2:18 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven and 21 more117 min
Apr 14, 8:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Bland, Craig, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski and 5 more59 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2019Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2019Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.