Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Watches in 2019
Tornado Watch 69
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 14, 2019, 6:46 PM EDT for 6 counties in New York; 50 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 14, 2019, 6:46 PM EDT (22:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 15, 2019, 3:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 56 counties
Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Erie County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 6:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CLE | Crawford, Erie | 46 min |
| Apr 14, 6:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Butler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango | 46 min |
| Apr 14, 7:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, York | 54 min |
| Apr 14, 7:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Chautauqua | 53 min |
| Apr 14, 7:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Butler, Washington | 34 min |
| Apr 14, 7:34 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Mercer, Venango | 26 min |
| Apr 14, 7:45 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | York | 45 min |
| Apr 14, 7:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Lawrence, Mercer and 1 more | 30 min |
| Apr 14, 7:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Butler, Clarion, Forest, Mercer, Venango | 44 min |
| Apr 14, 7:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie | 41 min |
| Apr 14, 7:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Warren | 53 min |
| Apr 14, 8:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Forest, Venango | 30 min |
| Apr 14, 8:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie | 57 min |
| Apr 14, 8:03 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Warren | 57 min |
| Apr 14, 8:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Clarion, Forest, Jefferson, Venango | 61 min |
| Apr 14, 8:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Elk, McKean, Warren | 64 min |
| Apr 14, 8:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Erie | 48 min |
| Apr 14, 9:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Livingston, Wyoming | 47 min |
| Apr 14, 9:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Elk, McKean, Potter | 56 min |
| Apr 14, 9:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana | 31 min |
| Apr 14, 9:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Allegany | 36 min |
| Apr 14, 9:54 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Indiana | 21 min |
| Apr 14, 9:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Livingston, Ontario, Wyoming | 48 min |
| Apr 14, 10:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cambria, Clearfield | 42 min |
| Apr 14, 10:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Fulton, Somerset | 43 min |
| Apr 14, 10:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clearfield | 48 min |
| Apr 14, 10:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Potter, Tioga | 55 min |
| Apr 14, 10:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Blair, Centre, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon and 1 more | 47 min |
| Apr 14, 11:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Huntingdon, Juniata, Lycoming, Mifflin and 2 more | 86 min |
| Apr 14, 11:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Franklin, Huntingdon, Juniata, Perry | 49 min |
| Apr 14, 11:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lycoming, Tioga | 59 min |
| Apr 15, 12:41 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan | 52 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1764 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 63 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 337 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 432 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
625 WWUS20 KWNS 142243 SEL9 SPC WW 142243 MDZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-LEZ000-150700- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 69 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 645 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Maryland Western New York Pennsylvania Northern West Virginia Lake Erie * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 645 PM until 300 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Fast-moving bands of storms will spread northeastward across the region tonight. Adequate instability and very strong shear will support the possibility of severe storms capable of damaging winds and tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northeast of Bradford PA to 40 miles west of Hagerstown MD. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 62...WW 63...WW 64...WW 65...WW 66...WW 67...WW 68... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 22040. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 5:57 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 63 min |
| Apr 14, 7:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Livingston, Steuben and 1 more | 54 min |
| Apr 14, 3:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 4 more | 59 min |
| Apr 14, 4:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Cambria, Clarion and 12 more | 116 min |
| Apr 14, 7:42 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | York | 63 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2019Tornado Watches in New York, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.