Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 69

April 14, 20196 counties in New York; 50 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 14, 2019, 6:46 PM EDT for 6 counties in New York; 50 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 14, 2019, 6:46 PM EDT (22:46 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2019, 3:00 AM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 56 counties

Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Erie County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 6:59 PM EDTTornado WarningCLECrawford, Erie46 min
Apr 14, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZButler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango46 min
Apr 14, 7:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, York54 min
Apr 14, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFChautauqua53 min
Apr 14, 7:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Butler, Washington34 min
Apr 14, 7:34 PM EDTTornado WarningPBZMercer, Venango26 min
Apr 14, 7:45 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPYork45 min
Apr 14, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Lawrence, Mercer and 1 more30 min
Apr 14, 7:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZButler, Clarion, Forest, Mercer, Venango44 min
Apr 14, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie41 min
Apr 14, 7:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPWarren53 min
Apr 14, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZForest, Venango30 min
Apr 14, 8:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie57 min
Apr 14, 8:03 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPWarren57 min
Apr 14, 8:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZClarion, Forest, Jefferson, Venango61 min
Apr 14, 8:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPElk, McKean, Warren64 min
Apr 14, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCattaraugus, Erie48 min
Apr 14, 9:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Livingston, Wyoming47 min
Apr 14, 9:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Elk, McKean, Potter56 min
Apr 14, 9:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZIndiana31 min
Apr 14, 9:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany36 min
Apr 14, 9:54 PM EDTTornado WarningPBZIndiana21 min
Apr 14, 9:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLivingston, Ontario, Wyoming48 min
Apr 14, 10:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria, Clearfield42 min
Apr 14, 10:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford, Blair, Cambria, Fulton, Somerset43 min
Apr 14, 10:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clearfield48 min
Apr 14, 10:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPPotter, Tioga55 min
Apr 14, 10:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford, Blair, Centre, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon and 1 more47 min
Apr 14, 11:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton, Huntingdon, Juniata, Lycoming, Mifflin and 2 more86 min
Apr 14, 11:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Franklin, Huntingdon, Juniata, Perry49 min
Apr 14, 11:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLycoming, Tioga59 min
Apr 15, 12:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2019-04-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2019-04-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 337 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1764 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
337 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
432 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

625 
WWUS20 KWNS 142243
SEL9  
SPC WW 142243
MDZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-LEZ000-150700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 69
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
645 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern Maryland
  Western New York
  Pennsylvania
  Northern West Virginia
  Lake Erie

* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 645 PM
  until 300 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Fast-moving bands of storms will spread northeastward
across the region tonight. Adequate instability and very strong
shear will support the possibility of severe storms capable of
damaging winds and tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 100 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north northeast of Bradford PA
to 40 miles west of Hagerstown MD. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 62...WW 63...WW 64...WW
65...WW 66...WW 67...WW 68...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 5:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCattaraugus, Chautauqua63 min
Apr 14, 7:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Livingston, Steuben and 1 more54 min
Apr 14, 3:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 4 more59 min
Apr 14, 4:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Cambria, Clarion and 12 more116 min
Apr 14, 7:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCYork63 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2019Tornado Watches in New York, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.