Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 13

March 9, 20194 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 9, 2019, 10:32 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2019, 10:32 AM CST (16:32 UTC)
Expired
Mar 9, 2019, 6:53 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 71 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Greene County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 10:59 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie31 min
Mar 9, 11:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie43 min
Mar 9, 11:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Monroe49 min
Mar 9, 11:48 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips42 min
Mar 9, 12:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Drew50 min
Mar 9, 12:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips46 min
Mar 9, 12:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Panola, Quitman, Tate, Tunica34 min
Mar 9, 1:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Tippah35 min
Mar 9, 1:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot20 min
Mar 9, 1:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Marshall26 min
Mar 9, 2:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Tishomingo45 min
Mar 9, 2:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Marshall, Tippah26 min
Mar 9, 2:08 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGHardin, McNairy52 min
Mar 9, 2:25 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Benton, Tippah50 min
Mar 9, 2:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot44 min
Mar 9, 3:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington54 min
Mar 9, 3:08 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGHardin, McNairy52 min
Mar 9, 3:31 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedMEGHardin20 min
Mar 9, 3:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada46 min
Mar 9, 3:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Marshall, Tippah34 min
Mar 9, 4:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Yalobusha39 min
Mar 9, 4:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes38 min
Mar 9, 4:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Chickasaw, Monroe47 min
Mar 9, 5:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery, Webster42 min
Mar 9, 5:08 PM CSTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery52 min
Mar 9, 5:11 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 39 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 313 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 313 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
313 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-148 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
477 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
313 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
287 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

720 
WWUS20 KWNS 091629
SEL3  
SPC WW 091629
ARZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-092300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 13
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Arkansas
  Extreme southern Missouri Bootheel
  Parts of northwestern and northern Mississippi
  Western Tennessee

* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 1030 AM
  until 500 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
    possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...The line of storms in Arkansas is beginning to show more
embedded supercell structures, and this trend should continue
through the afternoon.  The storm environment ahead of the storms
into Mississippi and Tennessee will be favorable for tornadic
supercells, capable of producing a couple of strong tornadoes, as
well as damaging winds and large hail.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Dyersburg TN to 35
miles south southeast of Greenville MS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 11...WW 12...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26050.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 1:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 12 more92 min
Mar 9, 2:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 11 more7 hr
Mar 9, 3:03 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Columbia, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard, Lafayette and 8 more117 min
Mar 9, 3:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCSebastian7 hr
Mar 9, 4:45 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 12 more60 min
Mar 9, 6:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay and 60 more2 hr
Mar 9, 7:18 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 36 more8 hr
Mar 9, 9:45 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 11 more3 hr
Mar 9, 10:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 6 more2 hr
Mar 9, 11:05 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Union4 hr
Mar 9, 1:27 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 3 more2 hr
Mar 9, 1:58 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot5 hr
Mar 9, 2:16 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCItawamba, Lee, Monroe, Prentiss, Tishomingo7 hr
Mar 9, 4:50 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay, Holmes and 11 more85 min
Mar 9, 3:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Jefferson, Lincoln, Perry, Saint Charles and 4 more118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2019Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.