Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2019
Tornado Watch 13
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 9, 2019, 10:32 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 9, 2019, 10:32 AM CST (16:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 9, 2019, 6:53 PM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 71 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Greene County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 80%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 10:59 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie | 31 min |
| Mar 9, 11:02 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie | 43 min |
| Mar 9, 11:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Jefferson, Monroe | 49 min |
| Mar 9, 11:48 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 42 min |
| Mar 9, 12:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Drew | 50 min |
| Mar 9, 12:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips | 46 min |
| Mar 9, 12:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Panola, Quitman, Tate, Tunica | 34 min |
| Mar 9, 1:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Tippah | 35 min |
| Mar 9, 1:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Chicot | 20 min |
| Mar 9, 1:49 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Marshall | 26 min |
| Mar 9, 2:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Tishomingo | 45 min |
| Mar 9, 2:04 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Marshall, Tippah | 26 min |
| Mar 9, 2:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Hardin, McNairy | 52 min |
| Mar 9, 2:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Benton, Tippah | 50 min |
| Mar 9, 2:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley, Chicot | 44 min |
| Mar 9, 3:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington | 54 min |
| Mar 9, 3:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Hardin, McNairy | 52 min |
| Mar 9, 3:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Hardin | 20 min |
| Mar 9, 3:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Grenada | 46 min |
| Mar 9, 3:57 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Marshall, Tippah | 34 min |
| Mar 9, 4:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Yalobusha | 39 min |
| Mar 9, 4:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Carroll, Holmes | 38 min |
| Mar 9, 4:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Monroe | 47 min |
| Mar 9, 5:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Montgomery, Webster | 42 min |
| Mar 9, 5:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Montgomery | 52 min |
| Mar 9, 5:11 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe | 49 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 39 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 313 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -148 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 477 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 313 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 287 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.7
The text
As transmitted.
720
WWUS20 KWNS 091629
SEL3
SPC WW 091629
ARZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-092300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 13
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Sat Mar 9 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
Extreme southern Missouri Bootheel
Parts of northwestern and northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 1030 AM
until 500 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...The line of storms in Arkansas is beginning to show more
embedded supercell structures, and this trend should continue
through the afternoon. The storm environment ahead of the storms
into Mississippi and Tennessee will be favorable for tornadic
supercells, capable of producing a couple of strong tornadoes, as
well as damaging winds and large hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Dyersburg TN to 35
miles south southeast of Greenville MS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 11...WW 12...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26050.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 1:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 12 more | 92 min |
| Mar 9, 2:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 11 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 9, 3:03 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Columbia, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard, Lafayette and 8 more | 117 min |
| Mar 9, 3:49 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Sebastian | 7 hr |
| Mar 9, 4:45 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 12 more | 60 min |
| Mar 9, 6:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay and 60 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 9, 7:18 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 36 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 9, 9:45 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 11 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 10:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 9, 11:05 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Columbia, Lafayette, Union | 4 hr |
| Mar 9, 1:27 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 3 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 9, 1:58 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot | 5 hr |
| Mar 9, 2:16 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 7 hr |
| Mar 9, 4:50 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Attala, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay, Holmes and 11 more | 85 min |
| Mar 9, 3:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Jefferson, Lincoln, Perry, Saint Charles and 4 more | 118 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2019Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.