Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 15

March 9, 2019Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; 7 parishes in Louisiana; 30 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 9, 2019, 1:58 PM CST for Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; 7 parishes in Louisiana; 30 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2019, 1:58 PM CST (19:58 UTC)
Expired
Mar 9, 2019, 7:22 PM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 2:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot44 min
Mar 9, 3:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington54 min
Mar 9, 3:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada46 min
Mar 9, 4:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes38 min
Mar 9, 5:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery, Webster42 min
Mar 9, 5:08 PM CSTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Montgomery52 min
Mar 9, 5:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw50 min
Mar 9, 5:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANOktibbeha62 min
Mar 9, 6:09 PM CSTTornado WarningJANOktibbeha30 min
Mar 9, 6:33 PM CSTTornado WarningJANLowndes42 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 188 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 238 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
188 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-270 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
652 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
238 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
268 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 1:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 12 more92 min
Mar 9, 2:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 11 more7 hr
Mar 9, 3:03 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Columbia, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard, Lafayette and 8 more117 min
Mar 9, 3:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCSebastian7 hr
Mar 9, 4:45 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 12 more60 min
Mar 9, 6:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay and 60 more2 hr
Mar 9, 7:18 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 36 more8 hr
Mar 9, 9:45 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 11 more3 hr
Mar 9, 10:32 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden and 15 more8 hr
Mar 9, 10:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 6 more2 hr
Mar 9, 11:05 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Union4 hr
Mar 9, 1:27 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Crittenden, Desha, Drew and 3 more2 hr
Mar 9, 2:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Caldwell, De Soto, Grant, Jackson, LaSalle and 4 more2 hr
Mar 9, 2:16 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCItawamba, Lee, Monroe, Prentiss, Tishomingo7 hr
Mar 9, 4:50 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay, Holmes and 11 more85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2019Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.