Flash Flood Warning 75, NWS Springfield, MO

772 
WGUS73 KSGF 231636
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1136 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

MOC119-145-231745-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0075.000000T0000Z-190623T1745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Newton MO-McDonald MO-
1136 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR the Tiff City to Anderson to 
Neosho to Goodman to Stella areas...

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN NEWTON AND NORTHERN MCDONALD COUNTIES...

At 1133 AM CDT, local law enforcement reported flash flooding in the 
warned area. Up to 6 inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is 
already occurring. Multiple water rescues, roads washed out, and 
buildings damaged or destroyed have occurred in these areas.

THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR the Tiff City to Anderson to 
Neosho to Goodman to Stella areas. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS 
SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW!

Creeks, streams, and low water crossings will be especially
susceptible to the dangers of flash flooding.
Locations in the warning include...
Neosho...                         Big Sugar Creek State Park...
Anderson...                       Goodman...
Lanagan...                        Stella...
Stark City...                     

This warning includes but is not limited to the following low water
crossings...
Highway 43 at Buffalo Creek west of Anderson...
Business Highway 60 just north of Neosho...
Highway 76, 3 miles west of Anderson...
and Route AA at Buffalo Creek just west of Highway 71.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

&&

LAT...LON 3675 9461 3690 9438 3685 9412 3672 9410
      3661 9436 3659 9461

$$

Wise

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
650 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 647 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

Convection is lining up to favor the southern portions of the area
to receive heavy rainfall into this afternoon. Updated forecast
has 2-3+" in the southern two tiers of counties along the MO/AR
border, with potential for 4-5". Therefore, extended the southern
end of the Flash Flood Watch farther east.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

There's a lot going on in the region right now. Ongoing persistent
convection over portions of the forecast area are expected to
continue into the morning hours before scattering out and shifting
east. Convective cluster over south-central KS is shown by
convective models moving into the west late this morning and
exiting the east by late afternoon. Primary risk with these
rounds of convection is flooding given limited instability due to
the atmosphere being worked over continuously. Have expanded the
Flash Flood Watch slightly to the east to account for expected
rainfall and flooding concerns. Could still see a severe threat
with the cluster coming from KS, especially if instability can
push in from the SW as shown by some of the models.

Models then are divided on late day/overnight convection.
Convective models show very little instability to work with, and
therefore show little in the way of convection. Synoptic models
are more enthusiastic in showing widespread convection developing
with ample instability for severe storms. Dynamics will be strong
(height falls from the upper trough moving in, right entrance
region of the jet, and surface cold front and trough), so if
instability can build behind earlier convection then the severe
risk would be solid. If this very conditional threat is realized,
large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps an isolated tornado would
be possible. Additional rainfall would continue a flood threat.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

A more typical summertime pattern will become established this
week, resulting in hot and humid conditions with some low end
chances for showers and storms at times, but nothing widespread.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 647 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

Several round of showers and thunderstorms are expected, making
for a challenging forecast. Worst rainfall and low
cloud/visibility conditions will exist into early this afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ055>058-066>070-
     077>082-088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

UPDATE...Titus
SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Titus

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
359 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-240900-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
359 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited tornado risk.
  Elevated hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue over portions of the area
this morning. The primary risk with these storms is flash
flooding.

Another round of thunderstorms will move in from the west late
this morning into the afternoon hours. Large hail to the size of
quarters, damaging winds to 60 mph, and flash flooding are
possible with this round of storms.

Yet another round of storms is possible this evening into tonight.
There is a conditional risk of severe storms with this round if
enough instability can develop. If instability does develop, half
dollar size hail, 60 mph damaging winds, flash flooding, and
perhaps an isolated tornado would be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible at times this
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed later today.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Titus

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
836 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

MOZ067-078-089-231415-
Cedar MO-Dade MO-St. Clair MO-
836 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CEDAR...SOUTHERN ST. CLAIR AND
DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 915 AM CDT...

At 836 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Walker to 7 miles east of Sheldon to near
Jasper. Movement was east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Stockton Lake...                  Stockton State Park...
Truman Lake...                    El Dorado Springs...
Stockton...                       Greenfield...
Osceola...                        Lockwood...
Dadeville...                      Jerico Springs...
Collins...                        Roscoe...
South Greenfield...               Arcola...
Vista...                          Umber View Heights...
Bearcreek...                      Cane Hill...
Arnica...                         Neola...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until noon CDT for
southwestern and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3812 9360 3781 9363 3737 9363 3735 9408
      3806 9406
TIME...MOT...LOC 1336Z 271DEG 39KT 3798 9422 3768 9415 3737 9438

Wise

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
915 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

MOZ101-102-231500-
Barry MO-McDonald MO-
915 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MCDONALD AND WESTERN
BARRY COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 AM CDT...

At 915 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Pineville, moving east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Big Sugar Creek State Park...     Roaring River State Park...
Cassville...                      Purdy...
Exeter...                         Wheaton...
Butterfield...                    Washburn...
Wayne...                          Mcdowell...
Powell...                         Rocky Comfort...
Ridgley...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until noon CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3650 9439 3671 9434 3675 9407 3688 9376
      3659 9376
TIME...MOT...LOC 1415Z 250DEG 38KT 3658 9430

Wise

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
943 AM CDT SUN JUN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SSE GRANBY            36.88N 94.24W
06/23/2019                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 86, IN THE AREA OF EAST NEWTON HIGH
            SCHOOL IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&