Flash Flood Warning 74, NWS Springfield, MO

777 
WGUS73 KSGF 231407
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
907 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSC021-MOC097-119-145-232115-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0074.000000T0000Z-190623T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cherokee KS-Newton MO-McDonald MO-Jasper MO-
907 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT SUNDAY
FOR CHEROKEE...NEWTON...MCDONALD AND JASPER COUNTIES...

At 903 AM CDT, local law enforcement reported that heavy rain due to 
a thunderstorm over the warned area was causing flooding of low 
water crossing. Up to Four inches of rain have already fallen.  The 
heaviest rainfall so far has fallen across the Tiff City to Anderson 
to Goodman to Stella to south of Granby areas. Flash flooding is 
expected to continue.

Creeks, streams, and low water crossings will be especially
susceptible to the dangers of flash flooding.
Locations in the warning include...
Joplin...                         Carthage...
Neosho...                         Webb City...
Big Sugar Creek State Park...     Carl Junction...
Baxter Springs...                 Columbus...
Galena...                         Oronogo...
Seneca...                         Granby...
Anderson...                       Carterville...
Noel...                           Duquesne...
Dodge...                          Sarcoxie...
Goodman...                        Duenweg...

This warning includes but is not limited to the following low water
crossings...
Highway 43 at Buffalo Creek west of Anderson...
North Main and Murphy Boulevard In Joplin...
Business Highway 60 just north of Neosho...
Highway 37 at The Spring River southwest of Avilla...
and Highway 7 at Little Cherry Creek north of Columbus.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3700 9462 3700 9507 3734 9507
      3734 9462 3736 9461 3736 9452 3734 9409
      3725 9405 3650 9408

$$

Wise

262 
WGUS73 KSGF 231740
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1240 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSC021-MOC097-119-145-232115-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0074.000000T0000Z-190623T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cherokee KS-Newton MO-McDonald MO-Jasper MO-
1240 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR
CHEROKEE...NEWTON...MCDONALD AND JASPER COUNTIES...

At 1236 PM CDT, local law enforcement reported flash flooding in the 
warned area. Up to six inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is 
already occurring. Multiple reports of water rescues, flooding or 
washed out roads, and buildings damaged or destroyed, mainly in the 
Tiff City to Anderson to Neosho to Goodman to Stella areas. The 
rainfall is coming to an end in the area, but run off and flooding 
will continue through the rest of the afternoon hours.  

Creeks, streams, and low water crossings will be especially
susceptible to the dangers of flash flooding.
Locations in the warning include...
Joplin...                         Carthage...
Neosho...                         Webb City...
Big Sugar Creek State Park...     Carl Junction...
Baxter Springs...                 Columbus...
Galena...                         Oronogo...
Seneca...                         Granby...
Anderson...                       Carterville...
Noel...                           Duquesne...
Dodge...                          Sarcoxie...
Goodman...                        Duenweg...

This warning includes but is not limited to the following low water
crossings...
Highway 43 at Buffalo Creek west of Anderson...
North Main and Murphy Boulevard In Joplin...
Business Highway 60 just north of Neosho...
Highway 37 at The Spring River southwest of Avilla...
Highway 7 at Little Cherry Creek north of Columbus...
Route JJ at Center Creek southeast of Carl Junction...
Route F, 3 miles northeast of Reeds...
Route CC at Lost Creek just south of Racine...
Route DD at The Elk River just north of Noel...
and Route O at The Spring River just south of Alba.

The Flash Flood Emergency has ended but Flash Flooding will continue 
through the afternoon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3700 9462 3700 9507 3734 9507
      3734 9462 3736 9461 3736 9452 3734 9409
      3725 9405 3650 9408

$$

Wise

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
650 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 647 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

Convection is lining up to favor the southern portions of the area
to receive heavy rainfall into this afternoon. Updated forecast
has 2-3+" in the southern two tiers of counties along the MO/AR
border, with potential for 4-5". Therefore, extended the southern
end of the Flash Flood Watch farther east.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

There's a lot going on in the region right now. Ongoing persistent
convection over portions of the forecast area are expected to
continue into the morning hours before scattering out and shifting
east. Convective cluster over south-central KS is shown by
convective models moving into the west late this morning and
exiting the east by late afternoon. Primary risk with these
rounds of convection is flooding given limited instability due to
the atmosphere being worked over continuously. Have expanded the
Flash Flood Watch slightly to the east to account for expected
rainfall and flooding concerns. Could still see a severe threat
with the cluster coming from KS, especially if instability can
push in from the SW as shown by some of the models.

Models then are divided on late day/overnight convection.
Convective models show very little instability to work with, and
therefore show little in the way of convection. Synoptic models
are more enthusiastic in showing widespread convection developing
with ample instability for severe storms. Dynamics will be strong
(height falls from the upper trough moving in, right entrance
region of the jet, and surface cold front and trough), so if
instability can build behind earlier convection then the severe
risk would be solid. If this very conditional threat is realized,
large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps an isolated tornado would
be possible. Additional rainfall would continue a flood threat.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

A more typical summertime pattern will become established this
week, resulting in hot and humid conditions with some low end
chances for showers and storms at times, but nothing widespread.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 647 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

Several round of showers and thunderstorms are expected, making
for a challenging forecast. Worst rainfall and low
cloud/visibility conditions will exist into early this afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ055>058-066>070-
     077>082-088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

UPDATE...Titus
SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Titus

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
359 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-240900-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
359 AM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited tornado risk.
  Elevated hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue over portions of the area
this morning. The primary risk with these storms is flash
flooding.

Another round of thunderstorms will move in from the west late
this morning into the afternoon hours. Large hail to the size of
quarters, damaging winds to 60 mph, and flash flooding are
possible with this round of storms.

Yet another round of storms is possible this evening into tonight.
There is a conditional risk of severe storms with this round if
enough instability can develop. If instability does develop, half
dollar size hail, 60 mph damaging winds, flash flooding, and
perhaps an isolated tornado would be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible at times this
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed later today.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Titus