Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Springfield, MO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1252 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

All modes of severe weather and flooding are expected this evening
into tonight. A warm front has pushed into the southern portions
of the area this afternoon and is expected to make little
northward progress through this evening and early tonight. Along
and south of that front, storms will try to become surface based
with all modes of severe weather possible. Strongest storms will
be over southwest MO and extreme southeast KS where large hail to
2", damaging winds to 70 mph, and a few tornadoes will be
possible. This is very conditional on the evolution of upstream
convection, though, and will need to be watched closely. Flooding
will also be a significant concern over the southwester part of
the CWA as training convection and ample moisture coincide. A
Flash Flood Watch remains in effect.

A line of severe thunderstorms is then expected to move west to
east across the area on Tuesday, starting midday and going through
the evening. Strong winds and an isolated tornado will be the
primary threat with large hail also being possible. Additional
heavy rain, although brief given the speed of the line, will lead
to additional flooding where excessive rain falls into tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

No significant changes were made to the long term forecast.
Looking at above normal temperatures with highs in the 80s and
chances for showers and thunderstorms, mainly NW of I-44.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019

Showers and storms will continue to impact the region through the
overnight hours and into the morning. As a result of the
continued rain, ceilings and visibilities will struggle and bounce
between low end VFR and MVFR where storms or heavier bands of
rain occur. low level wind shear will continue to impact the
regions terminals as well.

A cold front will move across the region during the day Tuesday.
Behind the front, clearing is expected with rapidly improving
flight conditions for tomorrow evening.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for MOZ066-077>079-
     088>090-093>095-101>104.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1122 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-220430-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1122 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated tornado risk.
  Elevated hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Extreme flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

 Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to impact areas
 mainly along and west of Highway 65 overnight as an unstable
 airmass interacts with warm front moving northward across the
 region. The main threat will be large hail to the size of golf
 balls and damaging winds up to 70 mph. An isolated tornado will
 remain possible mainly along and south of Interstate 44.

 Moderate to heavy rainfall will bring the potential for
 flooding, mainly along and west of Highway 65 through tonight.
 Multiple rounds of storms are expected to occur with 1 to 4
 inches of rain possible. Some localized rainfall amounts may
 exceed 5 inches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

 On Tuesday another round of strong to severe storms will be
 possible across the entire region as a strong storm system
 approaches the area. All modes of severe weather will be
 possible.

 The potential for flooding will continue Tuesday, as additional
 moderate to heavy rainfall is expected.

 Intermittent storm activity is expected through the end of next
 weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Hatch

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1208 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1026 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 SSE WILLARD           37.24N 93.39W
05/20/2019  M56 MPH          GREENE             MO   ASOS

            SGF ASOS REPORTED 56 MPH GUST.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1249 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CROSS TIMBERS           38.02N 93.23W
05/20/2019                   HICKORY            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. RELAYED BY ARES AREA
            COORDINATOR.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
118 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N NORTHVIEW           37.30N 92.99W
05/21/2019                   WEBSTER            MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            AT LEAST A FOOT OF WATER FLOWING OVER
            GREENWOOD ROAD AT THE POMME DE TERRE RIVER
            HEADWATERS . ROAD RIGHT NEXT TO IT COLOGNA
            ROAD HAS AROUND 6 INCHES FLOWING OVER IT.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
201 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW JOPLIN             37.11N 94.54W
05/20/2019                   JASPER             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            CAR SWEPT OFF ROAD SCHIFFERDECKER AVE JUST
            SOUTH OF ZORA AVE.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
212 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FRISTOE                 38.11N 93.28W
05/20/2019                   BENTON             MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DAMAGE TO A BARN AND ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME.
            REPORT RELAYED BY LOCAL MEDIA FROM PUBLIC.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
214 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW JOPLIN             37.11N 94.54W
05/20/2019                   JASPER             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS FLASH FLOOD REPORT FROM 3
            NW JOPLIN. THREE CARS SWEPT OFF ROAD
            SCHIFFERDECKER AVE JUST SOUTH OF ZORA AVE.

&&

DSA