Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 28, NWS Jackson, MS

April 13, 2019Hinds County, Issaquena County, Warren County, Mississippi; Madison Parish, Louisiana

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Apr 13, 2019, 5:05 PM CDT for Hinds County, Issaquena County, Warren County, Mississippi; Madison Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 25 min. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 13, 2019, 5:05 PM CDT (22:05 UTC)
Expired
Apr 13, 2019, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
25 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.5 in

Counties Madison Parish, LA, Hinds County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Warren County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 13, 5:08 PM CDTTORNADO1 Ssw Vicksburg, MSTHE TORNADO BEGAN AT THE INTERSECTION OF BOWMAR AVENUE AND JEANETTE STREET , WHERE IT IMPACTED A BRICK HOME RESULTING IN TAKING THE ROOF COMPLETELY OFF AND THUS CAVING IN THE FRONT OF THE HOUSE. THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEAST TOWARDS HALLS FERRY
Apr 13, 5:10 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 W Beechwood, MSCORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1 W BEECHWOOD. TREE AND POWER LINE DOWN ON LEE ROAD.
Apr 13, 5:21 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG3 S Vicksburg, MSROOF OVER KROGER AND UPS STORE KNOCKED OVER, CARS DESTROYED BY KROGER AND POWER POLES DOWN.
Apr 13, 5:23 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Beechwood, MSDEBRIS ON I-20, TREES DOWN ACROSS WEST-BOUND LANES, POWER LINES CROSSING ALL OF I-20 NEAR MILE MARKER 4 AND 5.
Apr 13, 5:32 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG3 Ssw Vicksburg, MSWARRENTON ROAD BLOCKED BY DOWNED TREES.
Apr 13, 5:34 PM CDTHAIL 11 Nne Flowers, MSCORRECTS TIME FOR PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 1 NNE FLOWERS. QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON BIRDSONG RD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this tornado warning; the first came 3 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 13, 2:20 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-04-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 29 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-04-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 515 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-284 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
491 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
515 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
933 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

763 
WFUS54 KJAN 132205
TORJAN
LAC065-MSC049-055-149-132230-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0028.190413T2205Z-190413T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
505 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  East central Madison Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
  Central Warren County in west central Mississippi...
  Northwestern Hinds County in central Mississippi...
  Southeastern Issaquena County in west central Mississippi...

* Until 530 PM CDT.
    
* At 505 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Vicksburg, moving northeast at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Bovina around 515 PM CDT.
  Redwood and Flowers around 520 PM CDT.
  Youngton and Oak Ridge around 525 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Delta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3264 9075 3239 9049 3221 9094 3232 9103
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 235DEG 49KT 3231 9091 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.50IN

$$

TW
2 follow-up statements
154 
WWUS54 KJAN 132215
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
515 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

LAC065-MSC055-132224-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-190413T2230Z/
Madison LA-Issaquena MS-
515 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MADISON PARISH IN
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for northeastern
Louisiana...and central and west central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3237 9087 3238 9088 3245 9087 3245 9086
      3251 9086 3257 9081 3258 9076 3257 9073
      3261 9072 3239 9049 3225 9084 3231 9091
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 239DEG 32KT 3233 9085 

$$

MSC049-149-132230-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-190413T2230Z/
Warren MS-Hinds MS-
515 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WARREN AND NORTHWESTERN HINDS COUNTIES...
    
At 514 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Vicksburg, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Redwood and Bovina around 525 PM CDT.
  Flowers, Oak Ridge and Youngton around 530 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3237 9087 3238 9088 3245 9087 3245 9086
      3251 9086 3257 9081 3258 9076 3257 9073
      3261 9072 3239 9049 3225 9084 3231 9091
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 239DEG 32KT 3233 9085 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.50IN

$$

TW
461 
WWUS54 KJAN 132223
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
523 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

MSC049-149-132230-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-190413T2230Z/
Warren MS-Hinds MS-
523 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WARREN AND NORTHWESTERN HINDS COUNTIES...
    
At 523 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Flowers, or near Redwood, moving northeast at 55
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and two inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Warren and northwestern Hinds Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3237 9087 3238 9088 3257 9073 3261 9072
      3239 9049 3225 9084 3231 9091
TIME...MOT...LOC 2223Z 235DEG 49KT 3240 9073 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...2.00IN

$$

TW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 13, 4:59 PM CDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 13, 4:59 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
459 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

...THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...

Through tonight: A powerful shortwave trough and associated cold
front moving from the southern plains into the lower MS Valley are
supporting a significant severe weather event over the ArkLaMiss
region. Prefrontal convection has been robust as it begins to
cross the Mississippi River and move into extreme western MS. The
warm sector environment in this area is characterized by an
extreme combination of instability and wind shear (ML CAPE up to
2500 J/KG and effective SRH > 400 m2/s2) that is supportive of
supercells and strong tornadoes. Expect the prefrontal convection
to gradually shift to the I-55 corridor by early evening, with
additional severe convection developing ahead of the cold front
that is approaching from the west. A broken linear convective
system will likely move across eastern MS late tonight with
straight-line wind damage becoming more of a concern vs strong
tornadoes. In addition heavy rainfall should become less of a
concern as the system becomes more progressive. One thing that is
of higher confidence is that the cold front should push east of
MS before daybreak. Primary points to be made here are that
threats remain about the same and updates going forward will be to
show a diminishing severe weather threat as the cold front pushes
across the area. /EC/

Sunday through Friday: As the upper trough lifts to the northeast
on Sunday morning, showers in cyclonic flow/cold advection will
affect the northern half of the CWA as the surface low lifts
away. A surface high quickly builds into the region on Monday and
upper ridging will set the stage for quiet weather for the first
half of the week. Temperatures will be near normal for this time
of year during this period - highs in the 70s/lower 80s and lows
near 50. Now, Monday morning will be a bit chilly with the surface
high developing over the area and temps will fall into the lower
40s, perhaps into the 30s in some sheltered locations.

The next weather-maker will come as another strong upper trough that
will move over the Central Plains on Wednesday. Being 5 days out,
the global models still differ a bit in solutions. The EMCWF still
has an open trough while the GFS has a deeper, closed low, both over
the same vicinity though. As the trough tracks eastward Wednesday
into Thursday, a frontal boundary will push through the ArkLaMiss.
Diffluent flow aloft will be conducive for intense vertical motion
and storm development over our region. In the warm sector of this
system, PWs will peak above 1.5 inches. At this time, the
instability and shear values appear to be conducive for another
potential round of severe storms. Will hold off of mentioning it in
the HWO at this time since there's so much going on in the short
term and we are still 5 days out with this system. Also, at this
time, it appears that the system will be progressive enough that
heavy rains and flash flooding shouldn't be much of an issue, but
depending on how the models continue to develop this system, that
will need to be re-evaluated. The model consensus has the system
exiting the area by Thursday night. The trough will push east and a
surface high builds into the region again. This appears to allow the
weather over the Easter weekend to be quiet and near normal.
Hopefully this solution continues. /10/

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:

Expect TSRA/+TSRA to increase from west to east across the area
from this afternoon through the evening, moving east of the
GTR/MEI/HBG corridor after 06z, with prevailing ceilings likely
to drop to MVFR category. A strong pressure gradient and frontal
passages will make for changeable, gusty surface wind. Overall,
aviation conditions will be poor to hazardous during this forecast
period. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       56  61  42  73 /  84  20   0   0
Meridian      63  67  43  74 /  89  10   0   0
Vicksburg     55  61  43  72 /  81  28   1   0
Hattiesburg   61  66  43  75 /  82   4   0   0
Natchez       52  61  43  73 /  78  10   0   0
Greenville    53  60  44  69 /  94  31   0   0
Greenwood     55  59  42  70 /  91  54   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-019-
     025>027-034>036-040>043-047>049-053>066-072>074.

LA...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-075.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 13, 3:06 PM CDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ034>036-040>042-047-
142015-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-
Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest
Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-3" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ018-019-025-142015-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds
up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-3" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ029>033-037>039-045-046-051-052-142015-
Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Neshoba-Kemper-Newton-Lauderdale-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds
up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up
to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles
could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ026>028-142015-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, a few possibly strong, damaging winds
up to 70mph, and golf ball size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms will lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-3" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up
to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles
could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ044-050-142015-
Leake-Scott-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds up
to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph. High profile vehicles
could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

LAZ024-026-MSZ043-048-049-053>055-059>063-142015-
Catahoula-Concordia-Madison MS-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and
southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

MSZ056>058-064>066-072>074-142015-
Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-
Forrest-
306 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...The rest of this afternoon through tonight

A severe weather outbreak is likely Saturday afternoon into early
Sunday morning. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong,
widespread damaging winds up to 70mph, and golf ball to baseball
size hail are likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Heavy rainfall from multiple rounds of storms could lead to flash
flooding Saturday afternoon into early Sunday morning. 1-2" of
rain with locally higher amounts is expected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

A few downed trees and power lines are possible due to sustained
winds ranging from 25 to 30 mph and potential for wind gusts
around 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in high
profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through tonight.

3

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 13, 1:47 PM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
147 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RAYVILLE                32.48N 91.76W
04/13/2019                   RICHLAND           LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED TWO LARGE TREES
            DOWN, ONE FROM LIGHTNING, ONE WIND BLOWN.

&&

TP
Special weather statement, Apr 13, 1:52 PM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
152 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

ARZ074-075-131930-
Chicot AR-Ashley AR-
152 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CHICOT AND EASTERN ASHLEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

At 152 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Montrose, or 14 miles west of Lake Village, moving north at 55
mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Dermott around 205 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3339 9163 3339 9146 3356 9145 3356 9135
      3352 9135 3353 9133 3352 9132 3352 9125
      3356 9123 3353 9122 3351 9118 3347 9121
      3345 9123 3344 9123 3343 9120 3301 9130
      3301 9159 3312 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 201DEG 48KT 3333 9153

BYB
Local storm report, Apr 13, 3:38 PM CDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
338 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DERMOTT                 33.52N 91.43W
04/13/2019                   CHICOT             AR   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTS OF VEHICLE STUCK IN THE 400
            BLOCK S MAIN ST DUE TO FLOODING IN DERMOTT
            AR VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

TP
Local storm report, Apr 13, 4:27 PM CDT, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
427 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TORNADO          10 WNW NEWELLTON        32.12N 91.39W
04/13/2019                   TENSAS             LA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS OF POWER LINES DOWN AND SOME SHEET
            METAL DEBRIS NEAR HIGHWAY 888 BETWEEN
            NEWELLTON AND GILBERT. TORNADO DEBRIS
            SIGNATURE ALSO NOTED ON RADAR. LIKELY
            TORNADO.

&&

JC
Local storm report, Apr 13, 4:42 PM CDT, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
442 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0434 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 N NEWELLTON           32.18N 91.23W
04/13/2019                   TENSAS             LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MULTIPLE POWER POLES BROKEN INTO MULTIPLE
            PIECES NEAR US65 AND HWY 888.

&&

TP
Local storm report, Apr 13, 4:54 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
454 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW RICHMOND          32.35N 91.21W
04/13/2019                   MADISON            LA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER POLES DOWN 3 MILES SSW OF RICHMOND,
            LA.

&&

TP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 12, 8:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah45 min
Apr 12, 10:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAdams, Jefferson42 min
Apr 12, 10:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Claiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson39 min
Apr 12, 11:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCopiah38 min
Apr 12, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Rankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith38 min
Apr 13, 3:19 AM CDTWind AdvisoryJANAdams, Bolivar, Carroll, Claiborne, Clarke, Copiah and 26 more19 hr
Apr 13, 5:25 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANForrest35 min
Apr 13, 5:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANHinds, Madison51 min
Apr 13, 7:08 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSharkey52 min
Apr 13, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANClay4 days
Apr 13, 9:59 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake10 days
Apr 13, 10:01 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake4 days
Apr 13, 10:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson15 days
Apr 13, 10:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLawrence16 days
Apr 13, 10:24 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore8 days
Apr 13, 10:24 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANHumphreys34 hr
Apr 13, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne61 min
Apr 13, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Washington57 min
Apr 13, 4:05 PM CDTTornado WarningJANWarren55 min
Apr 13, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower, Washington48 min
Apr 13, 4:42 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHinds, Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo63 min
Apr 13, 4:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANClaiborne, Warren3 hr
Apr 13, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Sharkey, Sunflower, Washington51 min
Apr 13, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Warren48 min
Apr 13, 5:23 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHumphreys, Sunflower23 min
Apr 13, 5:27 PM CDTTornado WarningJANMadison, Yazoo63 min
Apr 13, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison50 min
Apr 13, 5:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo3 hr
Apr 13, 5:57 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHinds, Madison, Warren, Yazoo15 min
Apr 13, 6:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison3 hr
Apr 13, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Leake, Madison, Yazoo43 min
Apr 13, 6:42 PM CDTTornado WarningJANAttala, Holmes11 min
Apr 12, 11:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANFranklin25 min
Apr 13, 5:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse39 min
Apr 13, 6:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll51 min
Apr 13, 6:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, West Carroll41 min
Apr 13, 10:53 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWest Carroll37 min
Apr 13, 11:54 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse36 min
Apr 13, 12:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMorehouse, Richland31 min
Apr 13, 12:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, Richland, West Carroll39 min
Apr 13, 12:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll52 min
Apr 13, 2:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll6 hr
Apr 13, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse61 min
Apr 13, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia, Franklin43 min
Apr 13, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Morehouse, Richland66 min
Apr 13, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, West Carroll58 min
Apr 13, 3:35 PM CDTTornado WarningJANMorehouse, Richland, West Carroll30 min
Apr 13, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANEast Carroll, Franklin, Madison, Richland26 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Tornado Warnings in Louisiana, 2019Every tornado warning in 2019Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.